Premier Division
· Regular Season - 33
October 19, 2026 20:45
Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
Padraig Amond
(ast. Tom Lonergan)
18'
Padraig Amond
45'+1
Tom Lonergan
(ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
89'
52'
Lee Devitt Molloy
60'
(ast. francely lomboto)
Stephen Walsh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Galway United 23%). The final result was Waterford 3–2 Galway United. In 3 previous meetings, Waterford have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Galway United.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
5
1.84
Actual xG
0.61
3
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
3
10
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Padraig Amond
· ast. Tom Lonergan
18'
32'
Stephen Walsh
Noah Mawene
34'
⚽Padraig Amond
45'+1
45'
francely lomboto
/
Kristopher Twardek
45'
Matthew Wolfe
/
Ed McCarthy
52'
Gianfranco Facchineri
52'
Lee Devitt Molloy⚽
60'
ast. francely lomboto ·
Stephen Walsh⚽
Graham Coughlan
64'
67'
Aaron Bolger
74'
Frantz Pierrot
/
Stephen Walsh
C.Noonan
/ Dean Mcmenamy
80'
Noah Mawene
/ Luke Heeney
80'
Jordan Houston
/ Jørgen Voilås
81'
⚽Tom Lonergan
· ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto
89'
Tom Lonergan
90'
90'
Junior Thiam
/
Lee Devitt Molloy
90'
Dylan Connolly
/
Aaron Bolger
Pre-match prediction
51.05%
Waterford ←
25.54%
X
23.41%
Galway
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford)
51.05%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
1.84
+0.19
1.02
0.61
-0.41
Waterford dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
1 👟
D
Benny Couto
1 👟
D
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
10
C. Noonan
80'
M
C. Noonan
80'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
M
E. McLaughlin
M
7
N. Mawene
80'
M
N. Mawene
80'
M
2
J. Houston
81'
M
18
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
P. Amond
2 ⚽
F
P. Amond
2 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
27
D. McMenamy
10'
M
D. McMenamy
10'
M
32
G. Amedu
D
G. Amedu
D
6
J. Ashton
D
J. Ashton
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
9'
F
J. Voilås
9'
F
15
L. Heeney
10'
M
L. Heeney
10'
M
50
Noah O'Brien
D
Noah O'Brien
D
11
T. Coyle
F
T. Coyle
F
16
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
20
L. Devitt
1 ⚽
89'
D
L. Devitt
1 ⚽
89'
D
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
2
A. O'Connor
D
A. O'Connor
D
3
Connor Barratt
D
Connor Barratt
D
4
J. Keohane
M
J. Keohane
M
8
A. Bolger
89'
M
A. Bolger
89'
M
24
E. McCarthy
45'
M
E. McCarthy
45'
M
10
D. Hurley
M
D. Hurley
M
11
K. Twardek
45'
M
K. Twardek
45'
M
7
S. Walsh
1 ⚽
74'
F
S. Walsh
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
54
C. Whittaker
M
C. Whittaker
M
21
D. Connolly
1'
F
D. Connolly
1'
F
9
F. Lomboto
1 👟
45'
F
F. Lomboto
1 👟
45'
F
23
F. Pierrot
16'
F
F. Pierrot
16'
F
28
J. Morahan
D
J. Morahan
D
17
Junior Thiam
1'
M
Junior Thiam
1'
M
14
M. Wolfe
45'
M
M. Wolfe
45'
M
32
Vincent Angelini
G
Vincent Angelini
G
Best on the pitch
P. Amond
F · Waterford
9.07
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 19 pass
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
8.13
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
S. Walsh
F · Galway
7.66
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
K. Long
D · Waterford
6.86
1 shots
· 35 pass
Benny Couto
D · Waterford
6.75
1 👟
2 shots
· 38 pass
F. Pierrot
F · Galway
6.52
2 shots
· 6 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 5 | 36 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 80 | 5.73 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 80 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Houston | M | 81 | 5.86 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 90 | 8.13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 90 | 9.07 | 2 | — | 6 | 19 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 10 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 9 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 10 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha | G | 90 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Devitt | D | 89 | 6.14 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 90 | 5.23 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. O'Connor | D | 90 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Barratt | D | 90 | 5.18 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Keohane | M | 90 | 5.08 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bolger | M | 89 | 5.40 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. McCarthy | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 90 | 5.52 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Twardek | M | 45 | 5.67 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Walsh | F | 74 | 7.66 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Connolly | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lomboto | F | 45 | 6.43 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 16 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Junior Thiam | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Wolfe | M | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Galway United?
The final score was Waterford 3–2 Galway United.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Galway United?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Waterford win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Galway United win.