Premier Division
· Regular Season - 26
August 02, 2026 16:00
T. Lonergan
(ast. P. Amond)
48'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Shelbourne 28%). The final result was Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne. In 2 previous meetings, Waterford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
1
1.61
Actual xG
1.34
1
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
8
Corners
6
18
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
A. Coote
J. Houston
43'
⚽T. Lonergan
· ast. P. Amond
48'
W. Johnson
/ N. Mawene
51'
55'
J. Henry-Francis
⚽T. Lonergan
(missed pen.)
56'
71'
S. Moore
/
E. Caffrey
71'
S. Gannon
/
M. Mbeng
80'
D. Ring
/
A. Coote
80'
J. Lunney
/
K. McInroy
80'
J. Norris
/
K. Ledwidge
E. McLaughlin
/ D. McMenamy
83'
C. Noonan
/ L. Heeney
84'
J. Houston
/ J. Voilas
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
48.54%
Waterford ←
23.18%
X
28.28%
Shelbourne
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford)
48.54%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
1.61
-0.3
1.34
1.34
+-0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
3
Benny Couto
M
Benny Couto
M
8
E. McLaughlin
83'
M
E. McLaughlin
83'
M
4
Will Johnson
51'
M
Will Johnson
51'
M
2
Jordan Houston
89'
M
Jordan Houston
89'
M
10
C. Noonan
84'
F
C. Noonan
84'
F
18
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
9
P. Amond
1 👟
F
P. Amond
1 👟
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
27
D. McMenamy
11'
M
D. McMenamy
11'
M
32
G. Amedu
D
G. Amedu
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
1'
F
J. Voilås
1'
F
15
L. Heeney
10'
M
L. Heeney
10'
M
7
N. Mawene
39'
M
N. Mawene
39'
M
19
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
4
K. Ledwidge
80'
D
K. Ledwidge
80'
D
15
Sam Bone
D
Sam Bone
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
Paddy Barrett
D
25
M. Mbeng
71'
D
M. Mbeng
71'
D
23
Kerr McInroy
80'
M
Kerr McInroy
80'
M
21
Jack Henry-Francis
M
Jack Henry-Francis
M
17
D. Kelly
M
D. Kelly
M
27
E. Caffrey
70'
M
E. Caffrey
70'
M
14
A. Coote
80'
M
A. Coote
80'
M
20
R. Freitas
F
R. Freitas
F
Bench
44
Daniel Ring
10'
F
Daniel Ring
10'
F
18
James Barry Norris
10'
D
James Barry Norris
10'
D
55
James Roche
D
James Roche
D
6
J. Lunney
10'
M
J. Lunney
10'
M
56
Joey Ikala Wuna
F
Joey Ikala Wuna
F
13
M. Johnson
G
M. Johnson
G
2
S. Gannon
19'
D
S. Gannon
19'
D
22
S. Moore
20'
D
S. Moore
20'
D
36
W. Jarvis
M
W. Jarvis
M
Best on the pitch
H. Cann
D · Waterford
7.70
1 shots
· 20 pass
Sam Bone
D · Shelbourne
7.50
1 shots
· 60 pass
K. Long
D · Waterford
7.30
· 13 pass
E. Beach
G · Shelbourne
7.30
· 25 pass
Kerr McInroy
M · Shelbourne
7.20
· 39 pass
Paddy Barrett
D · Shelbourne
7.20
· 49 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Benny Couto | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | M | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Houston | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 4 | 1 | — |
| C. Noonan | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Kerr McInroy | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Coote | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Ring | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Barry Norris | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Gannon | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Moore | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Waterford win, 23% to a draw, and 28% to an Shelbourne win.