Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 13:30 Vicarage Road, Watford
Watford
#21 · 11 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Charlton
#19 · 14 pts
Luca Kjerrumgaard 58'
Jordan Zemura (ast. Rocco Vata) 90'+4
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlton a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Watford 32%). The final result was Watford 2–0 Charlton. In 2 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Charlton.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
14
10
Shots on target
3
2.87
Actual xG
1.31
3
Saves
8
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
3
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
10'
Dan McNamara
Myron Boadu
17'
Iker Bravo
31'
32'
Oliver Skipp
44'
Tyreece Campbell
45'
Alan Mwamba / Oliver Skipp ↕
47'
Conor Coventry
⚽Luca Kjerrumgaard
58'
62'
sonny carey / Conor Coventry ↕
63'
Harvey Knibbs / Karlan Grant ↕
63'
Charlie Kelman / Dan McNamara ↕
↕ Krépin Diatta / Jordan Zemura
66'
↕ Myron Boadu / Martin Payero
66'
↕ Marc Bola / Branimir Mlacic
76'
↕ Luca Kjerrumgaard / Mamadou Doumbia
76'
77'
Millenic Alli / Tyreece Campbell ↕
Jordan Zemura
79'
↕ Iker Bravo / Rocco Vata
86'
90'+2
Alan Mwamba
⚽Jordan Zemura · ast. Rocco Vata
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
32.38%
Watford ←
31.95%
X
35.68%
Charlton
we assigned to the actual result (Watford) 32.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Watford
0.94
2.87
+1.93
Charlton
1.10
1.31
+0.21
Watford dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Watford Watford 5-3-2
1 F. Ravaglia F. Ravaglia G 6.73
16 M. Bola M. Bola 76' D 7.29
3 S. Coulibaly S. Coulibaly D 7.68
6 M. Pollock M. Pollock D 7.50
4 K. Keben K. Keben D 6.94
15 K. Diatta K. Diatta 66' D 7.70
17 Iker Bravo Iker Bravo 86' M 7.20
5 H. Kyprianou H. Kyprianou M 6.55
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe M 7.20
10 M. Boadu M. Boadu 66' F 6.46
9 L. Kjerrumgaard L. Kjerrumgaard 1 ⚽ 76' F 8.20
Bench
21 Amin Nabizada Amin Nabizada F 0.00
29 Branimir Mlačić Branimir Mlačić 14' D 7.02
26 D. Bachmann D. Bachmann G 0.00
33 J. Zemura J. Zemura 1 ⚽ 24' D 7.58
20 M. Doumbia M. Doumbia 14' F 6.62
22 M. Payero M. Payero 24' M 7.12
7 O. Maamma O. Maamma F 0.00
11 R. Vata R. Vata 1 👟 4' F 6.91
45 S. Mavididi S. Mavididi F 0.00
Charlton Charlton 3-4-2-1
13 A. Okonkwo A. Okonkwo G 7.15
12 Billy Dawson Koumetio Billy Dawson Koumetio D 6.47
5 L. Jones L. Jones D 6.97
2 K. Ramsay K. Ramsay D 6.61
18 I. Mesík I. Mesík M 6.37
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry 62' M 5.90
34 O. Skipp O. Skipp 45' M 6.02
20 D. McNamara D. McNamara 63' M 6.25
7 T. Campbell T. Campbell 77' M 5.88
9 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 63' M 5.48
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn F 6.55
Bench
17 A. Bell A. Bell D 0.00
32 A. Mwamba A. Mwamba 45' D 5.81
23 C. Kelman C. Kelman 27' F 6.64
8 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs 27' M 6.08
19 M. Alli M. Alli 13' F 6.34
33 Micah Mbick Micah Mbick F 0.00
14 S. Carey S. Carey 28' M 6.38
44 Tyler Bindon Tyler Bindon D 0.00
25 W. Mannion W. Mannion G 0.00
Best on the pitch
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
F · Watford
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
K. Diatta
K. Diatta
D · Watford
7.70
2 shots · 21 pass
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
D · Watford
7.68
1 shots · 39 pass
J. Zemura
J. Zemura
D · Watford
7.58
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
D · Watford
7.50
· 36 pass
M. Bola
M. Bola
D · Watford
7.29
2 shots · 31 pass
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ravaglia G 90 6.73 — — 0 27 17% 0 — —
M. Bola D 76 7.29 — — 2 31 17% 1 — —
S. Coulibaly D 90 7.68 — — 1 39 34% 3 — —
M. Pollock D 90 7.50 — — 0 36 29% 2 — —
K. Keben D 90 6.94 — — 2 31 22% 1 — —
K. Diatta D 66 7.70 — — 2 21 18% 1 — —
Iker Bravo M 86 7.20 — — 1 31 30% 3 1 —
H. Kyprianou M 90 6.55 — — 0 44 35% 3 — —
E. Kayembe M 90 7.20 — — 3 45 39% 0 — —
M. Boadu F 66 6.46 — — 3 19 14% 1 1 —
L. Kjerrumgaard F 76 8.20 1 — 2 17 13% 0 — —
Branimir Mlačić D 14 7.02 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
J. Zemura D 24 7.58 1 — 1 4 2% 1 1 —
M. Doumbia F 14 6.62 — — 1 2 0% 0 — —
M. Payero M 24 7.12 — — 4 5 3% 0 — —
R. Vata F 4 6.91 — 1 0 4 2% 0 — —
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Okonkwo G 90 7.15 — — 0 34 15% 0 — —
Billy Dawson Koumetio D 90 6.47 — — 2 49 35% 2 — —
L. Jones D 90 6.97 — — 0 56 50% 2 — —
K. Ramsay D 90 6.61 — — 3 37 28% 2 — —
I. Mesík M 90 6.37 — — 1 22 12% 2 — —
C. Coventry M 62 5.90 — — 0 36 29% 2 1 —
O. Skipp M 45 6.02 — — 0 17 13% 1 1 —
D. McNamara M 63 6.25 — — 0 11 8% 0 1 —
T. Campbell M 77 5.88 — — 1 19 13% 0 1 —
K. Ahearne-Grant M 63 5.48 — — 0 20 14% 1 — —
M. Leaburn F 90 6.55 — — 3 22 15% 1 — —
A. Mwamba D 45 5.81 — — 0 12 12% 2 1 —
C. Kelman F 27 6.64 — — 3 5 3% 0 — —
H. Knibbs M 27 6.08 — — 0 4 0% 1 — —
M. Alli F 13 6.34 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
S. Carey M 28 6.38 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Charlton?
The final score was Watford 2–0 Charlton.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Charlton?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Watford win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Charlton win.