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Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30 Vicarage Road, Watford
Watford
#13 · 8 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Coventry
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
19' (ast. J. Bidwell) E. Simms
43' (ast. J. Eccles) E. Simms
58' (ast. V. Torp) E. Simms
85' (ast. J. Allen) V. Torp
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Watford 16%). The final result was Watford 0–4 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
1.26
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
0
Corners
6
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. J. Bidwell · E. Simms⚽
I. Louza
25'
25'
J. Latibeaudiere
43'
ast. J. Eccles · E. Simms⚽
58'
ast. V. Torp · E. Simms⚽
↕ G. Chakvetadze / E. Bove
62'
↕ N. Mendy / J. Grieves
62'
↕ S. Goglichidze / M. Bola
62'
70'
E. Mason-Clark / R. Esse ↕
70'
J. Allen / J. Eccles ↕
70'
M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden ↕
N. Irankunda
78'
79'
H. Wright / E. Simms ↕
↕ O. Maamma / T. Ince
82'
↕ I. Louza / M. Doumbia
82'
85'
ast. J. Allen · V. Torp⚽
87'
M. Brau / B. Thomas-Asante ↕
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Watford
16.54%
X
66.89%
Coventry ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 66.89% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Watford
0.90
1.26
+0.36
Coventry
2.51
0.93
-1.58
Watford dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Watford Watford 3-5-1-1
1 E. Selvik E. Selvik G 7.20
3 S. Goglichidze S. Goglichidze 62' D 6.20
6 M. Pollock M. Pollock D 6.30
25 J. Abankwah J. Abankwah D 6.70
42 O. Maamma O. Maamma 82' M 6.50
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe M 6.30
10 I. Louza I. Louza 82' M 7.20
23 N. Mendy N. Mendy 62' M 7.20
2
J. Ngakia M 6.90
8 G. Chakvetadze G. Chakvetadze 62' F 6.90
66 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda F 5.90
Bench
15 E. Bove E. Bove 28' M 6.70
9 L. Kjerrumgaard L. Kjerrumgaard F
16 Marc Bola Marc Bola 28' D 6.70
20 M. Doumbia M. Doumbia 8' F 6.60
17 P. Ekwah P. Ekwah M
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 8.30
21
1 👟 D 7.30
26
D 7.60
22 J. Latibeaudiere J. Latibeaudiere D 7.60
20
K. Kesler-Hayden 70' D 7.20
6 M. Grimes M. Grimes M 8.00
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
14 R. Esse R. Esse 70' M 7.00
28 Josh Eccles Josh Eccles 1 👟 70' M 7.20
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 87' M 6.70
9 E. Simms E. Simms 3 ⚽ 79' F 9.90
Bench
4 B. Thomas B. Thomas D
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 20' F 6.20
16 F. Onyeka F. Onyeka M
11 Haji Wright Haji Wright 11' F 6.50
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 20' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
E. Simms
E. Simms
F · Coventry
9.90
3 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
G · Coventry
8.30
· 57 pass
M. Grimes
M. Grimes
M · Coventry
8.00
· 88 pass
J. Latibeaudiere
J. Latibeaudiere
D · Coventry
7.60
· 58 pass
D · Coventry
7.60
· 60 pass
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 90 7.20 — — — 26 22% — — —
S. Goglichidze D 62 6.20 — — — 27 19% 2 — —
M. Pollock D 90 6.30 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
J. Abankwah D 90 6.70 — — — 40 30% 1 — —
O. Maamma M 82 6.50 — — 2 29 25% 1 — —
E. Kayembe M 90 6.30 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
I. Louza M 82 7.20 — — — 71 67% 1 1 —
N. Mendy M 62 7.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
J. Ngakia M 90 6.90 — — — 30 22% 2 — —
G. Chakvetadze F 62 6.90 — — — 32 30% — — —
N. Irankunda F 90 5.90 — — 6 12 8% — 1 —
E. Bove M 28 6.70 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
Marc Bola D 28 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
M. Doumbia F 8 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 — — — 57 42% — — —
D 90 7.30 — 1 1 56 52% — — —
D 90 7.60 — — — 60 56% 4 — —
J. Latibeaudiere D 90 7.60 — — — 58 53% 2 1 —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 70 7.20 — — 1 30 25% 3 — —
M. Grimes M 90 8.00 — — — 88 82% 4 — —
V. Torp M 90 8.50 1 1 2 31 29% 2 — —
R. Esse M 70 7.00 — — 1 16 14% 3 — —
Josh Eccles M 70 7.20 — 1 2 32 31% 2 — —
B. Thomas-Asante M 87 6.70 — — 2 24 20% — — —
E. Simms F 79 9.90 3 — 3 14 8% — — —
E. Mason-Clark F 20 6.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Haji Wright F 11 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
M. van Ewijk D 20 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Coventry?
The final score was Watford 0–4 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Coventry?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Watford win, 16% to a draw, and 66% to an Coventry win.