← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Watford
#16 · 57 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Coventry
#1 · 95 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
19' (ast. J. Bidwell) E. Simms
43' (ast. J. Eccles) E. Simms
58' (ast. V. Torp) E. Simms
85' (ast. J. Allen) V. Torp

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Watford 16%). The final result was Watford 0–4 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
1.26
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
0
Corners
6
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. J. Bidwell · E. Simms⚽
I. Louza
25'
25'
J. Latibeaudiere
43'
ast. J. Eccles · E. Simms⚽
58'
ast. V. Torp · E. Simms⚽
↕ G. Chakvetadze / E. Bove
62'
↕ N. Mendy / J. Grieves
62'
↕ S. Goglichidze / M. Bola
62'
70'
E. Mason-Clark / R. Esse ↕
70'
J. Allen / J. Eccles ↕
70'
M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden ↕
N. Irankunda
78'
79'
H. Wright / E. Simms ↕
↕ O. Maamma / T. Ince
82'
↕ I. Louza / M. Doumbia
82'
85'
ast. J. Allen · V. Torp⚽
87'
M. Brau / B. Thomas-Asante ↕
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Watford
16.54%
X
66.89%
Coventry ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 66.89% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Watford
0.90
1.26
+0.36
Coventry
2.51
0.93
-1.58
Watford dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Watford Watford 3-5-1-1
1
E. Selvik G 7.20
3
Saba Goglichidze 62' D 6.20
6
M. Pollock D 6.30
25
J. Abankwah D 6.70
42
O. Maamma 82' M 6.50
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe M 6.30
10 I. Louza I. Louza 82' M 7.20
23
N. Mendy 62' M 7.20
2
J. Ngakia M 6.90
8
G. Chakvetadze 62' F 6.90
66 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda F 5.90
Bench
15
E. Bove 28' M 6.70
9
L. Kjerrumgaard F
16
M. Bola 28' D 6.70
20
M. Doumbia 8' F 6.60
17
P. Ekwah M
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 8.30
21
1 👟 D 7.30
26
D 7.60
22
J. Latibeaudiere D 7.60
20
K. Kesler-Hayden 70' D 7.20
6
Matt Grimes M 8.00
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
14
R. Esse 70' M 7.00
28
J. Eccles 1 👟 70' M 7.20
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 87' M 6.70
9 E. Simms E. Simms 3 ⚽ 79' F 9.90
Bench
4
B. Thomas D
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 20' F 6.20
16
F. Onyeka M
11 H. Wright H. Wright 11' F 6.50
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 20' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
E. Simms
E. Simms
F · Coventry
9.90
3 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
G · Coventry
8.30
· 57 pass
Matt Grimes
M · Coventry
8.00
· 88 pass
J. Latibeaudiere
D · Coventry
7.60
· 58 pass
D · Coventry
7.60
· 60 pass
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 90 7.20 — — — 26 22% — — —
Saba Goglichidze D 62 6.20 — — — 27 19% 2 — —
M. Pollock D 90 6.30 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
J. Abankwah D 90 6.70 — — — 40 30% 1 — —
O. Maamma M 82 6.50 — — 2 29 25% 1 — —
E. Kayembe M 90 6.30 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
I. Louza M 82 7.20 — — — 71 67% 1 1 —
N. Mendy M 62 7.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
J. Ngakia M 90 6.90 — — — 30 22% 2 — —
G. Chakvetadze F 62 6.90 — — — 32 30% — — —
N. Irankunda F 90 5.90 — — 6 12 8% — 1 —
E. Bove M 28 6.70 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
M. Bola D 28 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
M. Doumbia F 8 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 — — — 57 42% — — —
D 90 7.30 — 1 1 56 52% — — —
D 90 7.60 — — — 60 56% 4 — —
J. Latibeaudiere D 90 7.60 — — — 58 53% 2 1 —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 70 7.20 — — 1 30 25% 3 — —
Matt Grimes M 90 8.00 — — — 88 82% 4 — —
V. Torp M 90 8.50 1 1 2 31 29% 2 — —
R. Esse M 70 7.00 — — 1 16 14% 3 — —
J. Eccles M 70 7.20 — 1 2 32 31% 2 — —
B. Thomas-Asante M 87 6.70 — — 2 24 20% — — —
E. Simms F 79 9.90 3 — 3 14 8% — — —
E. Mason-Clark F 20 6.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
H. Wright F 11 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
M. van Ewijk D 20 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Coventry?
The final score was Watford 0–4 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Coventry?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Watford win, 16% to a draw, and 66% to an Coventry win.