Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30 Vicarage Road, Watford
Watford
#21 · 11 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Coventry
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
19' (ast. J. Bidwell) E. Simms
43' (ast. J. Eccles) E. Simms
58' (ast. V. Torp) E. Simms
85' (ast. J. Allen) V. Torp
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Watford 16%). The final result was Watford 0–4 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
1.26
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
0
Corners
6
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. J. Bidwell · E. Simms⚽
I. Louza
25'
25'
J. Latibeaudiere
43'
ast. J. Eccles · E. Simms⚽
58'
ast. V. Torp · E. Simms⚽
↕ G. Chakvetadze / E. Bove
62'
↕ N. Mendy / J. Grieves
62'
↕ S. Goglichidze / M. Bola
62'
70'
E. Mason-Clark / R. Esse ↕
70'
J. Allen / J. Eccles ↕
70'
M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden ↕
N. Irankunda
78'
79'
H. Wright / E. Simms ↕
↕ O. Maamma / T. Ince
82'
↕ I. Louza / M. Doumbia
82'
85'
ast. J. Allen · V. Torp⚽
87'
M. Brau / B. Thomas-Asante ↕
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Watford
16.54%
X
66.89%
Coventry ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 66.89% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Watford
0.90
1.26
+0.36
Coventry
2.51
0.93
-1.58
Watford dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Watford Watford 3-5-1-1
1 E. Selvik E. Selvik G 7.20
3 S. Goglichidze S. Goglichidze 62' D 6.20
6 M. Pollock M. Pollock D 6.30
25 J. Abankwah J. Abankwah D 6.70
42 O. Maamma O. Maamma 82' M 6.50
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe M 6.30
10 I. Louza I. Louza 82' M 7.20
23 N. Mendy N. Mendy 62' M 7.20
2
J. Ngakia M 6.90
8 G. Chakvetadze G. Chakvetadze 62' F 6.90
66 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda F 5.90
Bench
15 E. Bove E. Bove 28' M 6.70
9 L. Kjerrumgaard L. Kjerrumgaard F
16 M. Bola M. Bola 28' D 6.70
20 M. Doumbia M. Doumbia 8' F 6.60
17 P. Ekwah P. Ekwah M
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 8.30
21
1 👟 D 7.30
26
D 7.60
22 J. Latibeaudiere J. Latibeaudiere D 7.60
20 K. Kesler-Hayden K. Kesler-Hayden 70' D 7.20
6 M. Grimes M. Grimes M 8.00
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
14 R. Esse R. Esse 70' M 7.00
28 Josh Eccles Josh Eccles 1 👟 70' M 7.20
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 87' M 6.70
9 E. Simms E. Simms 3 ⚽ 79' F 9.90
Bench
4 B. Thomas B. Thomas D
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 20' F 6.20
16 F. Onyeka F. Onyeka M
11 Haji Wright Haji Wright 11' F 6.50
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 20' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
E. Simms
E. Simms
F · Coventry
9.90
3 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
G · Coventry
8.30
· 57 pass
M. Grimes
M. Grimes
M · Coventry
8.00
· 88 pass
J. Latibeaudiere
J. Latibeaudiere
D · Coventry
7.60
· 58 pass
D · Coventry
7.60
· 60 pass
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 90 7.20 — — — 26 22% — — —
S. Goglichidze D 62 6.20 — — — 27 19% 2 — —
M. Pollock D 90 6.30 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
J. Abankwah D 90 6.70 — — — 40 30% 1 — —
O. Maamma M 82 6.50 — — 2 29 25% 1 — —
E. Kayembe M 90 6.30 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
I. Louza M 82 7.20 — — — 71 67% 1 1 —
N. Mendy M 62 7.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
J. Ngakia M 90 6.90 — — — 30 22% 2 — —
G. Chakvetadze F 62 6.90 — — — 32 30% — — —
N. Irankunda F 90 5.90 — — 6 12 8% — 1 —
E. Bove M 28 6.70 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
M. Bola D 28 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
M. Doumbia F 8 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 — — — 57 42% — — —
D 90 7.30 — 1 1 56 52% — — —
D 90 7.60 — — — 60 56% 4 — —
J. Latibeaudiere D 90 7.60 — — — 58 53% 2 1 —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 70 7.20 — — 1 30 25% 3 — —
M. Grimes M 90 8.00 — — — 88 82% 4 — —
V. Torp M 90 8.50 1 1 2 31 29% 2 — —
R. Esse M 70 7.00 — — 1 16 14% 3 — —
Josh Eccles M 70 7.20 — 1 2 32 31% 2 — —
B. Thomas-Asante M 87 6.70 — — 2 24 20% — — —
E. Simms F 79 9.90 3 — 3 14 8% — — —
E. Mason-Clark F 20 6.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Haji Wright F 11 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
M. van Ewijk D 20 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Coventry?
The final score was Watford 0–4 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Coventry?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Watford win, 16% to a draw, and 66% to an Coventry win.