✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
19'
(ast. J. Bidwell)
E. Simms
43'
(ast. J. Eccles)
E. Simms
58'
(ast. V. Torp)
E. Simms
85'
(ast. J. Allen)
V. Torp
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Watford 16%). The final result was Watford 0–4 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
1.26
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
0
Corners
6
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. J. Bidwell ·
E. Simms⚽
I. Louza
25'
25'
J. Latibeaudiere
43'
ast. J. Eccles ·
E. Simms⚽
58'
ast. V. Torp ·
E. Simms⚽
G. Chakvetadze
/ E. Bove
62'
N. Mendy
/ J. Grieves
62'
S. Goglichidze
/ M. Bola
62'
70'
E. Mason-Clark
/
R. Esse
70'
J. Allen
/
J. Eccles
70'
M. van Ewijk
/
K. Kesler-Hayden
N. Irankunda
78'
79'
H. Wright
/
E. Simms
O. Maamma
/ T. Ince
82'
I. Louza
/ M. Doumbia
82'
85'
ast. J. Allen ·
V. Torp⚽
87'
M. Brau
/
B. Thomas-Asante
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Watford
16.54%
X
66.89%
Coventry ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Coventry)
66.89%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.26
+0.36
2.51
0.93
-1.58
Watford dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
3
Saba Goglichidze
62'
D
6
M. Pollock
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
J. Abankwah
D
42
O. Maamma
82'
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
E. Kayembe
M
10
I. Louza
82'
M
I. Louza
82'
M
23
N. Mendy
62'
M
2
J. Ngakia
M
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
62'
F
66
Nestory Irankunda
F
Nestory Irankunda
F
Bench
15
E. Bove
28'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
F
16
M. Bola
28'
D
20
M. Doumbia
8'
F
17
P. Ekwah
M
19
G
21
1 👟
D
26
D
22
J. Latibeaudiere
D
20
K. Kesler-Hayden
70'
D
6
Matt Grimes
M
29
V. Torp
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
V. Torp
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
14
R. Esse
70'
M
28
J. Eccles
1 👟
70'
M
23
Brandon Thomas-Asante
87'
M
Brandon Thomas-Asante
87'
M
9
E. Simms
3 ⚽
79'
F
E. Simms
3 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
4
B. Thomas
D
B. Thomas
D
10
E. Mason-Clark
20'
F
E. Mason-Clark
20'
F
16
Frank Onyeka
M
Frank Onyeka
M
11
Haji Wright
11'
F
Haji Wright
11'
F
27
M. van Ewijk
20'
D
M. van Ewijk
20'
D
Best on the pitch
E. Simms
F · Coventry
9.90
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
V. Torp
M · Coventry
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
G · Coventry
8.30
· 57 pass
Matt Grimes
M · Coventry
8.00
· 88 pass
J. Latibeaudiere
D · Coventry
7.60
· 58 pass
D · Coventry
7.60
· 60 pass
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Saba Goglichidze | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Abankwah | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Maamma | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Louza | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Mendy | M | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ngakia | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 6 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Bove | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bola | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Coventry — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 52% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Latibeaudiere | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Kesler-Hayden | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Matt Grimes | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 88 | 82% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Torp | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Esse | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Eccles | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| E. Simms | F | 79 | 9.90 | 3 | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Mason-Clark | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Haji Wright | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. van Ewijk | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Coventry?
The final score was Watford 0–4 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Coventry?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Watford win, 16% to a draw, and 66% to an Coventry win.