M. Bola
90'+9
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Crawley Town 30%). The final result was Watford 1–0 Crawley Town.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
10
61%
Possession
39%
12
Corners
1
17
Tackles
30
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Bove
24'
K. Baah
/ A. Nabizada
46'
56'
O. Aderoju
/
G. Di Biase
62'
C. Barker
I. Bravo
63'
64'
O. Kamara
/
M. Ebiowei
67'
K. Gordon
E. Bove
/ E. Kayembe
68'
L. Kjerrumgaard
/ M. Doumbia
68'
I. Bravo
/ M. Payero
69'
76'
P. Arganese-McDermott
/
A. Odimayo
76'
O. Mrisho
/
K. Gordon
76'
J. Russell
/
A. Adeyemo
O. Maamma
/ R. Vata
77'
90'+7
O. Aderoju
⚽M. Bola
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
38.09%
Watford ←
31.03%
X
30.88%
Crawley
we assigned to the actual result (Watford)
38.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
—
—
1.00
—
—
Lineups
1
F. Ravaglia
G
F. Ravaglia
G
16
M. Bola
1 ⚽
D
M. Bola
1 ⚽
D
4
K. Keben
D
K. Keben
D
6
M. Pollock
D
M. Pollock
D
23
O. Traoré
D
O. Traoré
D
5
H. Kyprianou
M
H. Kyprianou
M
8
E. Bove
68'
M
E. Bove
68'
M
7
O. Maamma
77'
M
O. Maamma
77'
M
17
Iker Bravo
69'
M
Iker Bravo
69'
M
14
Kwadwo Baah
45'
M
Kwadwo Baah
45'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
68'
F
L. Kjerrumgaard
68'
F
Bench
21
Amin Nabizada
57'
F
Amin Nabizada
57'
F
26
D. Bachmann
G
D. Bachmann
G
39
E. Kayembe
34'
M
E. Kayembe
34'
M
10
I. Louza
M
I. Louza
M
53
James Andrew Clarridge
D
James Andrew Clarridge
D
33
J. Zemura
D
J. Zemura
D
20
M. Doumbia
34'
F
M. Doumbia
34'
F
22
M. Payero
33'
M
M. Payero
33'
M
11
R. Vata
25'
F
R. Vata
25'
F
1
Vito Mannone
G
Vito Mannone
G
22
Ade Adeyemo
76'
D
Ade Adeyemo
76'
D
5
C. Barker
D
C. Barker
D
24
Akin Odimayo
76'
D
Akin Odimayo
76'
D
2
K. Gordon
76'
D
K. Gordon
76'
D
25
J. Fourcroy
M
J. Fourcroy
M
20
J. Arthurs
M
J. Arthurs
M
10
Stephen Duke-McKenna
M
Stephen Duke-McKenna
M
8
L. Watson
M
L. Watson
M
7
M. Ebiowei
64'
M
M. Ebiowei
64'
M
14
Gianmarco Di Biase
56'
F
Gianmarco Di Biase
56'
F
Bench
9
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
F
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
F
16
Johnny Russell
26'
D
Johnny Russell
26'
D
56
Jude Robertson
M
Jude Robertson
M
28
Nathan Tinsdale
M
Nathan Tinsdale
M
13
Nicholas Michalski
G
Nicholas Michalski
G
33
Omari Mrisho
26'
D
Omari Mrisho
26'
D
17
Osman Kamara
38'
F
Osman Kamara
38'
F
11
P. Aderoju
46'
F
P. Aderoju
46'
F
4
Pele Arganese-McDermott
26'
D
Pele Arganese-McDermott
26'
D
Best on the pitch
Vito Mannone
G · Crawley
9.00
· 42 pass
M. Bola
D · Watford
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 50 pass
Ade Adeyemo
D · Crawley
8.20
1 shots
· 14 pass
O. Maamma
M · Watford
7.90
2 shots
· 34 pass
C. Barker
D · Crawley
7.90
1 shots
· 45 pass
M. Pollock
D · Watford
7.70
1 shots
· 55 pass
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia | G | 102 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Bola | D | 102 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Keben | D | 102 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 102 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Traoré | D | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| H. Kyprianou | M | 102 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Bove | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Maamma | M | 77 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Iker Bravo | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Kwadwo Baah | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Amin Nabizada | F | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Vata | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Crawley Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vito Mannone | G | 102 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ade Adeyemo | D | 76 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 7 | — | — |
| C. Barker | D | 102 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Akin Odimayo | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Gordon | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Fourcroy | M | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arthurs | M | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 7 | — | — |
| Stephen Duke-McKenna | M | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Watson | M | 102 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Ebiowei | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gianmarco Di Biase | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Russell | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Omari Mrisho | D | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Osman Kamara | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Aderoju | F | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Pele Arganese-McDermott | D | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Crawley Town?
The final score was Watford 1–0 Crawley Town.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Crawley Town?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Watford win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Crawley Town win.