M. Bola
90'+9
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Crawley Town 30%). The final result was Watford 1–0 Crawley Town.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
10
61%
Possession
39%
12
Corners
1
17
Tackles
30
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Bove
24'
K. Baah
/ A. Nabizada
46'
56'
O. Aderoju
/
G. Di Biase
62'
C. Barker
I. Bravo
63'
64'
O. Kamara
/
M. Ebiowei
67'
K. Gordon
E. Bove
/ E. Kayembe
68'
L. Kjerrumgaard
/ M. Doumbia
68'
I. Bravo
/ M. Payero
69'
76'
P. Arganese-McDermott
/
A. Odimayo
76'
O. Mrisho
/
K. Gordon
76'
J. Russell
/
A. Adeyemo
O. Maamma
/ R. Vata
77'
90'+7
O. Aderoju
⚽M. Bola
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
38.09%
Watford ←
31.03%
X
30.88%
Crawley
we assigned to the actual result (Watford)
38.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
—
—
1.00
—
—
Lineups
1
Federico Ravaglia
G
Federico Ravaglia
G
16
Marc Bola
1 ⚽
D
Marc Bola
1 ⚽
D
4
Kévin Keben Biakolo
D
Kévin Keben Biakolo
D
6
Matthew Pollock
D
Matthew Pollock
D
23
Omar Haktab Traore
D
Omar Haktab Traore
D
5
Hector Kyprianou
M
Hector Kyprianou
M
8
Edoardo Bove
68'
M
Edoardo Bove
68'
M
7
Othmane Maamma
77'
M
Othmane Maamma
77'
M
17
Iker Bravo
69'
M
Iker Bravo
69'
M
14
Kwadwo Baah
45'
M
Kwadwo Baah
45'
M
9
Luca Kjerrumgaard
68'
F
Luca Kjerrumgaard
68'
F
Bench
21
Amin Nabizada
57'
F
Amin Nabizada
57'
F
26
Daniel Bachmann
G
Daniel Bachmann
G
39
E. Kayembe
34'
M
E. Kayembe
34'
M
10
Imrân Louza
M
Imrân Louza
M
53
James Clarridge
D
James Clarridge
D
33
Jordan Zemura
D
Jordan Zemura
D
20
Mamadou Doumbia
34'
F
Mamadou Doumbia
34'
F
22
Martín Payero
33'
M
Martín Payero
33'
M
11
Rocco Vata
25'
F
Rocco Vata
25'
F
1
Vito Mannone
G
Vito Mannone
G
22
Ade Adeyemo
76'
D
Ade Adeyemo
76'
D
5
C. Barker
D
C. Barker
D
24
Akin Odimayo
76'
D
Akin Odimayo
76'
D
2
K. Gordon
76'
D
K. Gordon
76'
D
25
Klaudio Krasniqi
M
Klaudio Krasniqi
M
20
J. Arthurs
M
J. Arthurs
M
10
Stephen Duke-McKenna
M
Stephen Duke-McKenna
M
8
Louie Watson
M
Louie Watson
M
7
Malcolm Ebiowei
64'
M
Malcolm Ebiowei
64'
M
14
Gianmarco Di Biase
56'
F
Gianmarco Di Biase
56'
F
Bench
9
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
F
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
F
16
Johnny Russell
26'
D
Johnny Russell
26'
D
56
Jude Robertson
M
Jude Robertson
M
28
Nathan Tinsdale
M
Nathan Tinsdale
M
13
Nicholas Michalski
G
Nicholas Michalski
G
33
Omari Mrisho
26'
D
Omari Mrisho
26'
D
17
Osman Kamara
38'
F
Osman Kamara
38'
F
4
Pele Arganese-McDermott
26'
D
Pele Arganese-McDermott
26'
D
11
Pemi Aderoju
46'
F
Pemi Aderoju
46'
F
Best on the pitch
Vito Mannone
G · Crawley
9.00
· 42 pass
Marc Bola
D · Watford
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 50 pass
Ade Adeyemo
D · Crawley
8.20
1 shots
· 14 pass
Othmane Maamma
M · Watford
7.90
2 shots
· 34 pass
C. Barker
D · Crawley
7.90
1 shots
· 45 pass
Matthew Pollock
D · Watford
7.70
1 shots
· 55 pass
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ravaglia | G | 102 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Marc Bola | D | 102 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Kévin Keben Biakolo | D | 102 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthew Pollock | D | 102 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Haktab Traore | D | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Hector Kyprianou | M | 102 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Edoardo Bove | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Othmane Maamma | M | 77 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Iker Bravo | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Kwadwo Baah | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Amin Nabizada | F | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Doumbia | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Martín Payero | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Rocco Vata | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Crawley Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vito Mannone | G | 102 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ade Adeyemo | D | 76 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 7 | — | — |
| C. Barker | D | 102 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Akin Odimayo | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Gordon | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Klaudio Krasniqi | M | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arthurs | M | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 7 | — | — |
| Stephen Duke-McKenna | M | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Louie Watson | M | 102 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Ebiowei | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gianmarco Di Biase | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Russell | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Omari Mrisho | D | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Osman Kamara | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Pele Arganese-McDermott | D | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Pemi Aderoju | F | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Crawley Town?
The final score was Watford 1–0 Crawley Town.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Crawley Town?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Watford win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Crawley Town win.