The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Leicester 23%). The final result was Watford 0–0 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leicester.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.27
Actual xG
2.11
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
47.73%
Watford
28.98%
X ←
23.29%
Leicester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
0.27
-1.08
0.93
2.11
+1.18
Leicester dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Leicester?
The final score was Watford 0–0 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Leicester?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Watford win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Leicester win.