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Watford - Peterborough

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 20:45 Vicarage Road, Watford
Watford
vs
Peterborough
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 18.7°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 37% · Watford
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.58%
Win
Watford
31.2%
Draw
30.22%
Win
Peterborough
1.33
Expected xG
0.83

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.62%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Watford a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Peterborough. Expected goals are 1.3 for Watford and 0.8 for Peterborough (total 2.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.62% probability.

Season Stats

Watford
1W 0D 1L
Peterborough
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
6.5
Shots OT
3.0
10.0
Corners
6.5
53%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Watford
1W 0D 1L · at home
Peterborough
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Watford Peterborough →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% —
1 15.4% 12.7% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 10.3% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Watford Watford
W Crawley Town 1–0
L Norwich 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Peterborough Peterborough
W Bristol Rovers 0–1
L Accrington ST 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Watford Watford
Attack
39
Defence
63
Form
51
Peterborough Peterborough
Attack
26
Defence
70
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Watford vs Peterborough?
The model gives Watford a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Peterborough win.
How many goals are expected in Watford vs Peterborough?
Expected goals: Watford 1.3, Peterborough 0.8 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Watford vs Peterborough?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.62%.