50'
P. Bamford
59'
(ast. F. Seriki)
P. Bamford
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 36% win probability (draw 27%, Watford 35%). The final result was Watford 0–2 Sheffield Utd. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sheffield Utd.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.93
Actual xG
0.75
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
5
16
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
I. Louza
26'
50'
P. Bamford⚽
O. Maamma
/ G. Chakvetadze
58'
E. Kayembe
/ A. Nabizada
59'
59'
ast. F. Seriki ·
P. Bamford⚽
60'
T. Chong
/
A. Brooks
65'
G. Hamer
67'
D. Ings
/
G. Hamer
67'
S. Peck
/
J. Riedewald
J. Abankwah
/ M. Bola
71'
M. Doumbia
/ L. Kjerrumgaard
71'
75'
D. Ings
77'
O. Arblaster
/
J. Rothwell
77'
T. Bindon
/
C. O'Hare
81'
S. Peck
N. Mendy
/ E. Bove
81'
90'+1
T. Chong
M. Pollock
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
35.91%
Watford
27.71%
X
36.38%
Sheffield ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sheffield Utd)
36.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
0.93
-0.21
1.40
0.75
-0.66
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
25
J. Abankwah
71'
D
J. Abankwah
71'
D
3
Saba Goglichidze
D
6
M. Pollock
D
29
J. Petris
D
42
O. Maamma
58'
M
10
I. Louza
M
I. Louza
M
23
N. Mendy
81'
M
66
N. Irankunda
M
N. Irankunda
M
39
Edo Kayembe
59'
F
Edo Kayembe
59'
F
20
M. Doumbia
71'
F
Bench
15
E. Bove
15'
M
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
38'
M
2
J. Ngakia
D
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
25'
F
16
M. Bola
25'
D
17
G
14
H. Burrows
D
25
Mark McGuinness
D
Mark McGuinness
D
2
J. Tanganga
D
J. Tanganga
D
38
F. Seriki
1 👟
D
F. Seriki
1 👟
D
48
J. Rothwell
77'
M
44
J. Riedewald
67'
M
8
G. Hamer
67'
M
G. Hamer
67'
M
10
C. O'Hare
77'
M
C. O'Hare
77'
M
11
A. Brooks
60'
M
45
P. Bamford
2 ⚽
F
P. Bamford
2 ⚽
F
Bench
9
D. Ings
29'
F
12
K. Hoever
D
5
L. F. Hjelde
D
4
O. Arblaster
19'
M
42
S. Peck
29'
M
7
T. Cannon
F
T. Cannon
F
24
T. Chong
36'
M
T. Chong
36'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Bamford
F · Sheffield
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
J. Tanganga
D · Sheffield
7.90
· 42 pass
F. Seriki
D · Sheffield
7.70
1 👟
· 16 pass
H. Burrows
D · Sheffield
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
J. Rothwell
M · Sheffield
7.30
· 21 pass
N. Irankunda
M · Watford
7.30
3 shots
· 16 pass
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Abankwah | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Saba Goglichidze | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Petris | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Maamma | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Louza | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Mendy | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Irankunda | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Edo Kayembe | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Bove | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Bola | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| H. Burrows | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Mark McGuinness | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Tanganga | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Seriki | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rothwell | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Riedewald | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| C. O'Hare | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Brooks | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Bamford | F | 96 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ings | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Arblaster | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Peck | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Chong | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Sheffield Utd?
The final score was Watford 0–2 Sheffield Utd.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Sheffield Utd?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Watford win, 27% to a draw, and 36% to an Sheffield Utd win.