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Championship · Regular Season - 7 September 12, 2026 16:00 Vicarage Road, Watford
Watford
#13 · 8 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Stoke City
#15 · 7 pts
Amin Nabizada (ast. Edo Kayembe) 90'+1
45'+4 Jack Mcglynn
57' (ast. Lamine Cissé) Eric Junior Bocat
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Stoke City 31%). The final result was Watford 1–2 Stoke City. In 2 previous meetings, Watford have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stoke City.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
18
2
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
5
Corners
8
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Iker Bravo
19'
33'
El Hadji Soumare
↕ Jordan Zemura / Haktab Omar Traore
42'
45'+4
Jack Mcglynn⚽
57'
ast. Lamine Cissé · Eric Junior Bocat⚽
↕ Stephy Mavididi / Rocco Vata
58'
↕ Othmane Maamma / Amin Nabizada
58'
65'
George Hirst / Lamine Cissé ↕
↕ Iker Bravo / Luca Kjerrumgaard
69'
80'
Luca Bombino / Eric Junior Bocat ↕
82'
George Hirst
⚽Amin Nabizada · ast. Edo Kayembe
90'+1
Amin Nabizada
90'+3
90'
Ben Pearson / Jack Mcglynn ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.81%
Watford
32.86%
X
31.33%
Stoke ←
we assigned to the actual result (Stoke City) 31.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Watford
1.29
—
—
Stoke
1.11
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Watford Watford 4-2-3-1
1 F. Ravaglia F. Ravaglia G 6.72
33 J. Zemura J. Zemura 42' D 6.02
3 S. Coulibaly S. Coulibaly D 6.56
6 M. Pollock M. Pollock D 6.33
4 K. Keben K. Keben D 5.31
5 H. Kyprianou H. Kyprianou M 6.24
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe 1 👟 M 5.78
45 S. Mavididi S. Mavididi 58' M 5.93
17 Iker Bravo Iker Bravo 69' M 6.22
7 O. Maamma O. Maamma 58' M 6.33
20 M. Doumbia M. Doumbia F 6.41
Bench
56 Albert Eames Albert Eames D 0.00
21 Amin Nabizada Amin Nabizada 1 ⚽ 32' F 6.83
26 D. Bachmann D. Bachmann G 0.00
9 L. Kjerrumgaard L. Kjerrumgaard 21' F 6.52
18 M. Antonio M. Antonio F 0.00
23 O. Traoré O. Traoré 48' D 6.08
11 R. Vata R. Vata 32' F 6.68
24 S. Walker S. Walker G 0.00
Stoke City Stoke City 3-5-2
1 V. Johansson V. Johansson G 6.66
5 L. Graham L. Graham D 7.08
40 M. Talovierov M. Talovierov D 7.09
16 B. Wilmot B. Wilmot D 6.94
17 E. Bocat E. Bocat 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.20
8 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith M 7.20
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 6.59
13 J. Devenny J. Devenny M 6.91
2 B. Johnson B. Johnson M 6.64
7 J. McGlynn J. McGlynn 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
11 L. Cissé L. Cissé 1 👟 65' F 7.70
Bench
23 B. Gibson B. Gibson D 0.00
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson 1' M 0.00
43 F. Anderson F. Anderson D 0.00
15 G. Hirst G. Hirst 25' F 6.13
24 J. Griffiths J. Griffiths G 0.00
21 L. Bombino L. Bombino 10' D 6.77
42 M. Manhoef M. Manhoef F 0.00
9 R. Boženík R. Boženík F 0.00
19 T. Rigo T. Rigo M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
F · Stoke
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
E. Bocat
E. Bocat
M · Stoke
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
L. Cissé
L. Cissé
F · Stoke
7.70
1 👟
4 shots · 15 pass
E. Galbraith
E. Galbraith
M · Stoke
7.20
2 shots · 80 pass
M. Talovierov
M. Talovierov
D · Stoke
7.09
· 61 pass
L. Graham
L. Graham
D · Stoke
7.08
· 78 pass
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ravaglia G 90 6.72 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
J. Zemura D 42 6.02 — — 0 13 11% 2 — —
S. Coulibaly D 90 6.56 — — 0 37 34% 2 — —
M. Pollock D 90 6.33 — — 0 48 37% 1 — —
K. Keben D 90 5.31 — — 0 34 23% 2 — —
H. Kyprianou M 90 6.24 — — 2 46 38% 3 — —
E. Kayembe M 90 5.78 — 1 0 45 36% 1 — —
S. Mavididi M 58 5.93 — — 0 15 9% 0 — —
Iker Bravo M 69 6.22 — — 0 20 18% 0 1 —
O. Maamma M 58 6.33 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
M. Doumbia F 90 6.41 — — 1 20 14% 2 — —
Amin Nabizada F 32 6.83 1 — 1 10 8% 1 1 —
L. Kjerrumgaard F 21 6.52 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
O. Traoré D 48 6.08 — — 0 21 18% 0 — —
R. Vata F 32 6.68 — — 0 10 8% 2 — —
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Johansson G 90 6.66 — — 0 34 31% 0 — —
L. Graham D 90 7.08 — — 0 78 68% 2 — —
M. Talovierov D 90 7.09 — — 0 61 57% 2 — —
B. Wilmot D 90 6.94 — — 0 53 42% 2 — —
E. Bocat M 80 8.20 1 — 3 32 28% 1 — —
E. Galbraith M 90 7.20 — — 2 80 70% 4 — —
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 90 6.59 — — 0 54 48% 4 1 —
J. Devenny M 90 6.91 — — 2 35 31% 2 — —
B. Johnson M 90 6.64 — — 3 40 34% 0 — —
J. McGlynn F 89 8.20 1 — 3 41 37% 0 — —
L. Cissé F 65 7.70 — 1 4 15 10% 1 — —
B. Pearson M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
G. Hirst F 25 6.13 — — 1 9 8% 0 1 —
L. Bombino D 10 6.77 — — 0 7 7% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Stoke City?
The final score was Watford 1–2 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Watford win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Stoke City win.