Championship · Regular Season - 36 March 17, 2026 20:45 Vicarage Road, Watford

Watford

#17 · 0 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Wrexham

#23 · 0 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Watford 30%). The final result was Watford 3–1 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

1

1.97

Actual xG

0.35

43%

Possession

57%

3

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

30.29%

Watford ←

26.31%

X

43.4%

Wrexham

we assigned to the actual result (Watford) 30.29% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Watford

0.90

1.97

+1.07

Wrexham

1.59

0.35

-1.24

Watford dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0
4	Derby	0	0
5	Middlesbrough	0	0
6	Portsmouth	0	0
7	West Ham	0	0
8	Bristol City	0	0
9	Burnley	0	0
10	Cardiff	0	0
11	Charlton	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0
13	Preston	0	0
14	QPR	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0
16	Stoke City	0	0
17	Watford	0	0
18	West Brom	0	0
19	Wolves	0	0
20	Millwall	0	0
21	Swansea	0	0
22	Lincoln	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0
24	Southampton	0	0