Championship · Regular Season - 36 March 17, 2026 20:45 Vicarage Road, Watford

Watford

#20 · 8 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Wrexham

#14 · 10 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Watford 30%). The final result was Watford 3–1 Wrexham. In 2 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

1

1.97

Actual xG

0.35

43%

Possession

57%

3

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

30.29%

Watford ←

26.31%

X

43.4%

Wrexham

we assigned to the actual result (Watford) 30.29% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Watford

0.90

1.97

+1.07

Wrexham

1.59

0.35

-1.24

Watford dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Swansea	8	17
2	West Ham	8	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	15
4	Wolves	7	14
5	West Brom	8	14
6	QPR	8	13
7	Stoke City	8	13
8	Bristol City	8	13
9	Charlton	8	12
10	Birmingham	8	11
11	Millwall	8	11
12	Lincoln	8	11
13	Southampton	8	10
14	Wrexham	8	10
15	Bolton	8	10
16	Blackburn	8	9
17	Norwich	8	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	9
19	Portsmouth	7	8
20	Watford	8	8
21	Cardiff	8	7
22	Derby	8	5
23	Preston	8	4
24	Burnley	8	4