A-League Men
· Regular Season - 2
October 25, 2026 03:00
R. Duran
(ast. M. Sheridan)
55'
C. Piper
(ast. K. Nagasawa)
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wellington Phoenix a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Central Coast Mariners 30%). The final result was Wellington Phoenix 2–0 Central Coast Mariners. In 2 previous meetings, Wellington Phoenix have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Central Coast Mariners.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
2
9
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
A. De Lima
/
A. Bolton
⚽R. Duran
· ast. M. Sheridan
55'
⚽C. Piper
· ast. K. Nagasawa
57'
59'
A. Auglah
61'
J. Mantell
/
H. Eames
62'
L. Becvinovski
/
T. Mckibbin
62'
S. Mutokoyi
/
B. Brandtman
R. Duran
/ R. Bidois
70'
72'
M. Naylor
/
A. Auglah
B. Duke
/ N. Walker
84'
C. Piper
/ L. Mitchell
84'
90'+2
S. Mutokoyi
Pre-match prediction
38.75%
Wellington ←
31.1%
X
30.15%
Central
we assigned to the actual result (Wellington Phoenix)
38.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
—
—
0.69
—
—
Lineups
13
Henry Gray
G
Henry Gray
G
23
James McGarry
D
James McGarry
D
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald
D
Lukas Kelly-Heald
D
28
Bill Tuiloma
D
Bill Tuiloma
D
27
Matthew Sheridan
1 👟
D
Matthew Sheridan
1 👟
D
25
Kazuki Nagasawa
1 👟
M
Kazuki Nagasawa
1 👟
M
14
Alex Rufer
M
Alex Rufer
M
8
Max Anderson
M
Max Anderson
M
7
Bryce Duke
84'
M
Bryce Duke
84'
M
9
Rafael Duran
1 ⚽
70'
F
Rafael Duran
1 ⚽
70'
F
99
Corban Piper
1 ⚽
84'
F
Corban Piper
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
G
Alby Kelly-Heald
G
34
Dylan Gardiner
D
Dylan Gardiner
D
35
Luke Mitchell
10'
M
Luke Mitchell
10'
M
17
Nathan Walker
10'
F
Nathan Walker
10'
F
11
Riley Bidois
20'
F
Riley Bidois
20'
F
24
Tze-xuan Loke
F
Tze-xuan Loke
F
5
Walter Scott
D
Walter Scott
D
30
Andrew Redmayne
G
Andrew Redmayne
G
5
Lucas Mauragis
D
Lucas Mauragis
D
12
Noah Mccann
D
Noah Mccann
D
3
Diesel Herrington
D
Diesel Herrington
D
51
Ty Mckibbin
62'
D
Ty Mckibbin
62'
D
8
Chris Donnell
M
Chris Donnell
M
39
Alexander Bolton
45'
M
Alexander Bolton
45'
M
6
Haine Eames
61'
M
Haine Eames
61'
M
37
Bailey Brandtman
62'
M
Bailey Brandtman
62'
M
72
Ali Auglah
72'
M
Ali Auglah
72'
M
9
Oliver Lavale
F
Oliver Lavale
F
Bench
22
Arthur De Lima
45'
M
Arthur De Lima
45'
M
46
Callum McCaskey
D
Callum McCaskey
D
50
Jai Ajanovic
G
Jai Ajanovic
G
45
Jesse Mantell
29'
M
Jesse Mantell
29'
M
43
Luke Becvinovski
28'
F
Luke Becvinovski
28'
F
42
Max Naylor
18'
F
Max Naylor
18'
F
41
Shumba Mutokoyi
28'
D
Shumba Mutokoyi
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Max Anderson
M · Wellington
8.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Bill Tuiloma
D · Wellington
7.70
· 40 pass
Kazuki Nagasawa
M · Wellington
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Alex Rufer
M · Wellington
7.60
1 shots
· 38 pass
Matthew Sheridan
D · Wellington
7.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
Noah Mccann
D · Central
7.30
· 66 pass
Wellington Phoenix — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Gray | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| James McGarry | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Kelly-Heald | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| Bill Tuiloma | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Matthew Sheridan | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Kazuki Nagasawa | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Rufer | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Max Anderson | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Duran | F | 70 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Corban Piper | F | 84 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Luke Mitchell | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Nathan Walker | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Riley Bidois | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Central Coast Mariners — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Redmayne | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Mauragis | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Noah Mccann | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Diesel Herrington | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 77 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| Ty Mckibbin | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Chris Donnell | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| Alexander Bolton | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 5 | — | — |
| Haine Eames | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Bailey Brandtman | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Auglah | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Oliver Lavale | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Arthur De Lima | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesse Mantell | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Luke Becvinovski | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Max Naylor | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| Shumba Mutokoyi | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
The final score was Wellington Phoenix 2–0 Central Coast Mariners.
What did the model predict before Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Wellington Phoenix win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Central Coast Mariners win.