A-League Men
· Regular Season - 1
October 18, 2026 04:00
C. Piper
(ast. M. Sheridan)
14'
R. Bidois
(ast. N. Walker)
77'
24'
C. Nduka
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Melbourne Victory a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Wellington Phoenix 32%). The final result was Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Melbourne Victory. In 3 previous meetings, Wellington Phoenix have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Melbourne Victory.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽C. Piper
· ast. M. Sheridan
14'
24'
C. Nduka⚽
R. Duran
/ N. Walker
28'
45'
P. Ziereis
62'
K. Jelacic
/
Clarismario
62'
T. Lockyer
/
P. Ziereis
J. McGarry
/ W. Scott
62'
71'
D. Genreau
74'
X. Stella
/
G. May
74'
M. Ghossaini
/
M. Grimaldi
L. Mitchell
/ R. Bidois
77'
⚽R. Bidois
· ast. N. Walker
77'
87'
B. Hamill
/
C. Nduka
Pre-match prediction
32.94%
Wellington ←
32.81%
X
34.25%
Melbourne
we assigned to the actual result (Wellington Phoenix)
32.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
—
—
1.60
—
—
Lineups
13
Henry Gray
80'
G
Henry Gray
80'
G
23
James McGarry
62'
D
James McGarry
62'
D
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald
80'
D
Lukas Kelly-Heald
80'
D
28
Bill Tuiloma
80'
D
Bill Tuiloma
80'
D
27
Matthew Sheridan
1 👟
80'
D
Matthew Sheridan
1 👟
80'
D
35
M
25
Kazuki Nagasawa
80'
M
Kazuki Nagasawa
80'
M
8
Max Anderson
80'
M
Max Anderson
80'
M
9
Rafael Duran
28'
F
Rafael Duran
28'
F
99
Corban Piper
1 ⚽
80'
F
Corban Piper
1 ⚽
80'
F
7
Bryce Duke
80'
F
Bryce Duke
80'
F
Bench
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
G
Alby Kelly-Heald
G
37
Anaru Cassidy
M
Anaru Cassidy
M
17
Nathan Walker
1 👟
52'
F
Nathan Walker
1 👟
52'
F
11
Riley Bidois
3'
F
Riley Bidois
3'
F
24
Tze-xuan Loke
F
Tze-xuan Loke
F
5
Walter Scott
18'
D
Walter Scott
18'
D
25
J. Duncan
80'
G
J. Duncan
80'
G
18
F. Lino
80'
D
F. Lino
80'
D
3
Jason Davidson
80'
D
Jason Davidson
80'
D
4
P. Ziereis
62'
D
P. Ziereis
62'
D
16
Joshua Inserra
80'
D
Joshua Inserra
80'
D
14
M. Grimaldi
74'
M
M. Grimaldi
74'
M
10
D. Genreau
80'
M
D. Genreau
80'
M
8
J. Valadon
80'
M
J. Valadon
80'
M
11
Clarismario Rodrigues
62'
M
Clarismario Rodrigues
62'
M
21
Guillermo May
74'
F
Guillermo May
74'
F
44
C. Nduka
1 ⚽
80'
F
C. Nduka
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
5
B. Hamill
D
B. Hamill
D
36
H. Shillington
D
H. Shillington
D
1
J. Warshawsky
G
J. Warshawsky
G
23
K. Jelacic
18'
F
K. Jelacic
18'
F
29
Michael Ghossaini
6'
F
Michael Ghossaini
6'
F
15
T. Lockyer
18'
D
T. Lockyer
18'
D
22
X. Stella
6'
D
X. Stella
6'
D
Best on the pitch
Bill Tuiloma
D · Wellington
7.70
· 36 pass
Corban Piper
F · Wellington
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Bryce Duke
F · Wellington
7.50
· 37 pass
Riley Bidois
F · Wellington
7.30
1 shots
C. Nduka
F · Melbourne
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Max Anderson
M · Wellington
7.20
1 shots
· 36 pass
Wellington Phoenix — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Gray | G | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — |
| James McGarry | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kelly-Heald | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Bill Tuiloma | D | 80 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Matthew Sheridan | D | 80 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kazuki Nagasawa | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Max Anderson | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Rafael Duran | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Corban Piper | F | 80 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | F | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Nathan Walker | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Riley Bidois | F | 3 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter Scott | D | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
Melbourne Victory — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Duncan | G | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Lino | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Davidson | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 64% | — | — | — |
| P. Ziereis | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joshua Inserra | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Grimaldi | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Genreau | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Valadon | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Clarismario Rodrigues | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Guillermo May | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| C. Nduka | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Jelacic | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Michael Ghossaini | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Lockyer | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| X. Stella | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?
The final score was Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Melbourne Victory.
What did the model predict before Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Wellington Phoenix win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Melbourne Victory win.