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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34 May 16, 2026 15:30 Weser-Stadion, Bremen
Werder Bremen
#6 · 12 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Borussia Dortmund
#2 · 17 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund
59' (ast. J. Ryerson) S. Guirassy
90'+5 (ast. K. Adeyemi) Y. Couto
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Werder Bremen 21%). The final result was Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. In 3 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Borussia Dortmund.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.42
Actual xG
2.53
7
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
5
18
Tackles
11
Match Events
↕ A. Pieper / M. Friedl
46'
↕ I. Schmidt / M. Grull
53'
59'
ast. J. Ryerson · S. Guirassy⚽
70'
J. Brandt / M. Beier ↕
70'
C. Chukwuemeka / S. Inacio ↕
↕ C. Puertas / P. Covic
70'
↕ S. Musah / S. Mbangula
70'
83'
K. Adeyemi / J. Bellingham ↕
83'
F. Silva / S. Guirassy ↕
88'
Y. Couto / J. Ryerson ↕
↕ R. Schmid / L. Bittencourt
90'+3
90'+5
ast. K. Adeyemi · Y. Couto⚽
Pre-match prediction
21.66%
Werder
20.62%
X
57.72%
Borussia ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 57.72% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Werder
1.03
0.42
-0.61
Borussia
2.05
2.53
+0.48
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (2.53 vs 0.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-1-4-1
30 M. Backhaus M. Backhaus G 9.20
2 O. Deman O. Deman D 7.50
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D 6.60
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper 45' D 6.90
23 I. Schmidt I. Schmidt 53' D 6.90
14 S. Lynen S. Lynen M 6.30
20 R. Schmid R. Schmid M 6.90
18 Cameron Puertas Cameron Puertas 70' M 6.30
6 Jens Stage Jens Stage M 6.30
11 Justin Njinmah Justin Njinmah M 6.30
29 Salim Musah Salim Musah 70' F 6.70
Bench
27 Felix Agu Felix Agu D
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević F
10 L. Bittencourt L. Bittencourt 1' M
25 Markus Kolke Markus Kolke G
32 M. Friedl M. Friedl 49' D 6.70
17 M. Grüll M. Grüll 41' F 7.20
4 N. Stark N. Stark D
24 P. Čović P. Čović 24' M 6.60
7 S. Mbangula S. Mbangula 24' F 6.90
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G. Kobel G 7.20
4 N. Schlotterbeck N. Schlotterbeck D 7.70
3 W. Anton W. Anton D 7.30
49 L. Reggiani L. Reggiani D 6.90
24 D. Svensson D. Svensson M 7.20
7 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 83' M 6.60
8 F. Nmecha F. Nmecha M 7.00
26 J. Ryerson J. Ryerson 1 👟 88' M 7.00
40 S. Inacio S. Inacio 69' F 7.20
14 M. Beier M. Beier 69' F 6.30
9 S. Guirassy S. Guirassy 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.30
Bench
33 A. Meyer A. Meyer G
17 C. Chukwuemeka C. Chukwuemeka 25' M 6.30
21 Fábio Silva Fábio Silva 11' F 6.50
10 J. Brandt J. Brandt 25' M 6.30
27 K. Adeyemi K. Adeyemi 1 👟 11' F 6.60
20 M. Sabitzer M. Sabitzer M
25 Niklas Süle Niklas Süle D
6 Salih Özcan Salih Özcan M
2 Yan Couto Yan Couto 1 ⚽ 6' D
Best on the pitch
M. Backhaus
M. Backhaus
G · Werder
9.20
· 39 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
7.70
· 74 pass
O. Deman
O. Deman
D · Werder
7.50
· 52 pass
S. Guirassy
S. Guirassy
F · Borussia
7.30
1 ⚽
6 shots · 17 pass
W. Anton
W. Anton
D · Borussia
7.30
· 85 pass
M. Grüll
M. Grüll
F · Werder
7.20
1 shots · 25 pass
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 94 9.20 — — — 39 33% — — —
O. Deman D 94 7.50 — — — 52 47% 4 — —
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D 94 6.60 — — — 65 55% 1 — —
A. Pieper D 45 6.90 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
I. Schmidt D 53 6.90 — — 1 33 30% 2 — —
S. Lynen M 94 6.30 — — — 50 44% — — —
R. Schmid M 93 6.90 — — — 49 41% — — —
Cameron Puertas M 70 6.30 — — — 38 31% 2 — —
Jens Stage M 94 6.30 — — 1 38 29% 2 — —
Justin Njinmah M 94 6.30 — — 1 20 16% 1 — —
Salim Musah F 70 6.70 — — 1 24 15% 2 — —
L. Bittencourt M 1 — — — — — — — — —
M. Friedl D 49 6.70 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
M. Grüll F 41 7.20 — — 1 25 22% — — —
P. Čović M 24 6.60 — — — 13 12% 2 — —
S. Mbangula F 24 6.90 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Kobel G 94 7.20 — — — 33 25% — — —
N. Schlotterbeck D 94 7.70 — — — 74 61% 3 — —
W. Anton D 94 7.30 — — — 85 80% 1 — —
L. Reggiani D 94 6.90 — — — 64 56% 1 — —
D. Svensson M 94 7.20 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
J. Bellingham M 83 6.60 — — 2 40 38% 2 — —
F. Nmecha M 94 7.00 — — 1 43 40% 2 — —
J. Ryerson M 88 7.00 — 1 — 26 18% — — —
S. Inacio F 69 7.20 — — 1 29 26% — — —
M. Beier F 69 6.30 — — — 18 11% — — —
S. Guirassy F 83 7.30 1 — 6 17 13% — — —
C. Chukwuemeka M 25 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Fábio Silva F 11 6.50 — — 1 5 3% — — —
J. Brandt M 25 6.30 — — — 13 8% 1 — —
K. Adeyemi F 11 6.60 — 1 — 1 1% — — —
Yan Couto D 6 — 1 — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The final score was Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Borussia Dortmund win.