✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund
59'
(ast. J. Ryerson)
S. Guirassy
90'+5
(ast. K. Adeyemi)
Y. Couto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Werder Bremen 21%). The final result was Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. In 1 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Dortmund.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.42
Actual xG
2.53
7
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
5
18
Tackles
11
Match Events
A. Pieper
/ M. Friedl
46'
I. Schmidt
/ M. Grull
53'
59'
ast. J. Ryerson ·
S. Guirassy⚽
70'
J. Brandt
/
M. Beier
70'
C. Chukwuemeka
/
S. Inacio
C. Puertas
/ P. Covic
70'
S. Musah
/ S. Mbangula
70'
83'
K. Adeyemi
/
J. Bellingham
83'
F. Silva
/
S. Guirassy
88'
Y. Couto
/
J. Ryerson
R. Schmid
/ L. Bittencourt
90'+3
90'+5
ast. K. Adeyemi ·
Y. Couto⚽
Pre-match prediction
21.66%
Werder
20.62%
X
57.72%
Borussia ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund)
57.72%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
0.42
-0.61
2.05
2.53
+0.48
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (2.53 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
M. Backhaus
G
M. Backhaus
G
2
O. Deman
D
O. Deman
D
31
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
D
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
D
5
A. Pieper
45'
D
A. Pieper
45'
D
23
I. Schmidt
53'
D
I. Schmidt
53'
D
14
Senne Lynen
M
Senne Lynen
M
20
Romano Schmid
M
Romano Schmid
M
18
Cameron Puertas
70'
M
Cameron Puertas
70'
M
6
Jens Stage
M
Jens Stage
M
11
Justin Njinmah
M
Justin Njinmah
M
29
Salim Musah
70'
F
Salim Musah
70'
F
Bench
27
Felix Agu
D
Felix Agu
D
19
J. Milošević
F
J. Milošević
F
10
L. Bittencourt
1'
M
L. Bittencourt
1'
M
25
Markus Kolke
G
Markus Kolke
G
32
M. Friedl
49'
D
M. Friedl
49'
D
17
M. Grüll
41'
F
M. Grüll
41'
F
4
N. Stark
D
N. Stark
D
24
P. Čović
24'
M
P. Čović
24'
M
7
S. Mbangula
24'
F
S. Mbangula
24'
F
1
G. Kobel
G
G. Kobel
G
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D
N. Schlotterbeck
D
3
W. Anton
D
W. Anton
D
49
L. Reggiani
D
L. Reggiani
D
24
D. Svensson
M
D. Svensson
M
7
J. Bellingham
83'
M
J. Bellingham
83'
M
8
F. Nmecha
M
F. Nmecha
M
26
J. Ryerson
1 👟
88'
M
J. Ryerson
1 👟
88'
M
40
S. Inacio
69'
F
S. Inacio
69'
F
14
M. Beier
69'
F
M. Beier
69'
F
9
S. Guirassy
1 ⚽
83'
F
S. Guirassy
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
33
A. Meyer
G
A. Meyer
G
17
C. Chukwuemeka
25'
M
C. Chukwuemeka
25'
M
21
Fábio Silva
11'
F
Fábio Silva
11'
F
10
J. Brandt
25'
M
J. Brandt
25'
M
27
K. Adeyemi
1 👟
11'
F
K. Adeyemi
1 👟
11'
F
20
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
25
Niklas Süle
D
Niklas Süle
D
6
S. Özcan
M
S. Özcan
M
2
Yan Couto
1 ⚽
6'
D
Yan Couto
1 ⚽
6'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Backhaus
G · Werder
9.20
· 39 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
7.70
· 74 pass
O. Deman
D · Werder
7.50
· 52 pass
S. Guirassy
F · Borussia
7.30
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 17 pass
W. Anton
D · Borussia
7.30
· 85 pass
M. Grüll
F · Werder
7.20
1 shots
· 25 pass
Werder Bremen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus | G | 94 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| O. Deman | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pieper | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Schmidt | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Senne Lynen | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Romano Schmid | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Jens Stage | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Njinmah | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Salim Musah | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Bittencourt | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Friedl | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Grüll | F | 41 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Čović | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mbangula | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kobel | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Anton | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Reggiani | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Svensson | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Nmecha | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Inacio | F | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Beier | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 83 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 6 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Adeyemi | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yan Couto | D | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The final score was Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Borussia Dortmund win.