✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund
59'
(ast. J. Ryerson)
S. Guirassy
90'+5
(ast. K. Adeyemi)
Y. Couto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Werder Bremen 21%). The final result was Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. In 1 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Dortmund.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.42
Actual xG
2.53
7
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
5
18
Tackles
11
Match Events
A. Pieper
/ M. Friedl
46'
I. Schmidt
/ M. Grull
53'
59'
ast. J. Ryerson ·
S. Guirassy⚽
70'
J. Brandt
/
M. Beier
70'
C. Chukwuemeka
/
S. Inacio
C. Puertas
/ P. Covic
70'
S. Musah
/ S. Mbangula
70'
83'
K. Adeyemi
/
J. Bellingham
83'
F. Silva
/
S. Guirassy
88'
Y. Couto
/
J. Ryerson
R. Schmid
/ L. Bittencourt
90'+3
90'+5
ast. K. Adeyemi ·
Y. Couto⚽
Pre-match prediction
21.66%
Werder
20.62%
X
57.72%
Borussia ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund)
57.72%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
0.42
-0.61
2.05
2.53
+0.48
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (2.53 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Mio Backhaus
G
Mio Backhaus
G
2
Olivier Deman
D
Olivier Deman
D
31
Karim Coulibaly
D
Karim Coulibaly
D
5
Amos Pieper
45'
D
Amos Pieper
45'
D
23
Isaac Schmidt
53'
D
Isaac Schmidt
53'
D
14
Senne Lynen
M
Senne Lynen
M
20
Romano Schmid
M
Romano Schmid
M
18
Cameron Puertas
70'
M
Cameron Puertas
70'
M
6
J. Stage
M
J. Stage
M
11
Justin Njinmah
M
Justin Njinmah
M
29
Salim Musah
70'
F
Salim Musah
70'
F
Bench
27
Felix Agu
D
Felix Agu
D
19
J. Milošević
F
J. Milošević
F
10
L. Bittencourt
1'
M
L. Bittencourt
1'
M
32
Marco Friedl
49'
D
Marco Friedl
49'
D
17
Marco Grüll
41'
F
Marco Grüll
41'
F
25
Markus Kolke
G
Markus Kolke
G
4
Niklas Stark
D
Niklas Stark
D
24
Patrice Čović
24'
M
Patrice Čović
24'
M
7
Samuel Mbangula
24'
F
Samuel Mbangula
24'
F
1
Gregor Kobel
G
Gregor Kobel
G
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D
N. Schlotterbeck
D
3
Waldemar Anton
D
Waldemar Anton
D
49
Luca Reggiani
D
Luca Reggiani
D
24
D. Svensson
M
D. Svensson
M
7
J. Bellingham
83'
M
J. Bellingham
83'
M
8
Felix Nmecha
M
Felix Nmecha
M
26
J. Ryerson
1 👟
88'
M
J. Ryerson
1 👟
88'
M
40
Samuele Inacio
69'
F
Samuele Inacio
69'
F
14
Maximilian Beier
69'
F
Maximilian Beier
69'
F
9
S. Guirassy
1 ⚽
83'
F
S. Guirassy
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
33
Alexander Meyer
G
Alexander Meyer
G
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
25'
M
Carney Chukwuemeka
25'
M
21
Fábio Silva
11'
F
Fábio Silva
11'
F
10
Julian Brandt
25'
M
Julian Brandt
25'
M
27
Karim Adeyemi
1 👟
11'
F
Karim Adeyemi
1 👟
11'
F
20
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
25
Niklas Süle
D
Niklas Süle
D
6
Salih Özcan
M
2
Yan Couto
1 ⚽
6'
D
Yan Couto
1 ⚽
6'
D
Best on the pitch
Mio Backhaus
G · Werder
9.20
· 39 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
7.70
· 74 pass
Olivier Deman
D · Werder
7.50
· 52 pass
S. Guirassy
F · Borussia
7.30
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 17 pass
Waldemar Anton
D · Borussia
7.30
· 85 pass
Marco Grüll
F · Werder
7.20
1 shots
· 25 pass
Werder Bremen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | G | 94 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Deman | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Karim Coulibaly | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Amos Pieper | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac Schmidt | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Senne Lynen | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Romano Schmid | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stage | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Njinmah | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Salim Musah | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Bittencourt | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Friedl | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Grüll | F | 41 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Patrice Čović | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Mbangula | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Waldemar Anton | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Reggiani | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Svensson | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Felix Nmecha | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Samuele Inacio | F | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Beier | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 83 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 6 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Julian Brandt | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Karim Adeyemi | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yan Couto | D | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The final score was Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Borussia Dortmund win.