S. Musah
(ast. J. Milosevic)
90'
15'
A. Nusa
52'
Romulo Cardoso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Werder Bremen 27%). The final result was Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig. In 1 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Leipzig.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.34
Actual xG
1.49
0
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
0
21
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
A. Nusa⚽
A. Pieper
/ P. Covic
49'
52'
Romulo Cardoso⚽
56'
E. Banzuzi
/
C. Lukeba
M. Grull
/ Y. Sugawara
61'
F. Agu
/ S. Mbangula
61'
Cameron Puertas
73'
J. Njinmah
/ S. Musah
76'
L. Bittencourt
/ J. Milosevic
76'
78'
C. Harder
/
Romulo Cardoso
78'
T. Gomis
/
A. Nusa
86'
A. Ouedraogo
/
C. Baumgartner
86'
B. Henrichs
/
Y. Diomande
90'+2
Tidiam Gomis
Marco Friedl
90'+8
⚽S. Musah
· ast. J. Milosevic
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.18%
Werder
23.76%
X
49.06%
RB ←
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig)
49.06%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.34
+0.06
1.74
1.49
-0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
30
Mio Backhaus
G
Mio Backhaus
G
2
Olivier Deman
D
Olivier Deman
D
32
Marco Friedl
D
Marco Friedl
D
5
Amos Pieper
49'
D
Amos Pieper
49'
D
27
Felix Agu
61'
D
Felix Agu
61'
D
18
Cameron Puertas
M
Cameron Puertas
M
14
M
20
Romano Schmid
M
Romano Schmid
M
10
L. Bittencourt
76'
M
L. Bittencourt
76'
M
17
Marco Grüll
61'
M
Marco Grüll
61'
M
11
Justin Njinmah
76'
F
Justin Njinmah
76'
F
Bench
23
Isaac Schmidt
D
Isaac Schmidt
D
19
J. Milošević
1 👟
14'
F
J. Milošević
1 👟
14'
F
29
Salim Musah
1 ⚽
14'
F
Salim Musah
1 ⚽
14'
F
3
Yukinari Sugawara
29'
D
Yukinari Sugawara
29'
D
26
G
22
D. Raum
D
D. Raum
D
23
Castello Lukeba
56'
D
Castello Lukeba
56'
D
4
W. Orbán
D
W. Orbán
D
17
Ridle Baku
D
Ridle Baku
D
14
C. Baumgartner
86'
M
C. Baumgartner
86'
M
13
Nicolas Seiwald
M
Nicolas Seiwald
M
24
Xaver Schlager
M
Xaver Schlager
M
7
A. Nusa
1 ⚽
78'
F
A. Nusa
1 ⚽
78'
F
40
Rômulo
1 ⚽
78'
F
Rômulo
1 ⚽
78'
F
49
Yan Diomande
86'
F
Yan Diomande
86'
F
Bench
20
Assan Ouédraogo
13'
M
Assan Ouédraogo
13'
M
11
Conrad Harder
12'
F
Conrad Harder
12'
F
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
35
Max Finkgräfe
D
Max Finkgräfe
D
27
Tidiam Gomis
12'
F
Tidiam Gomis
12'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Nusa
F · RB
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Cameron Puertas
M · Werder
7.50
1 shots
· 55 pass
Salim Musah
F · Werder
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Amos Pieper
D · Werder
7.20
· 36 pass
Rômulo
F · RB
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Castello Lukeba
D · RB
7.20
· 43 pass
Werder Bremen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Deman | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Marco Friedl | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 87 | 76% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Amos Pieper | D | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Felix Agu | D | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 63% | 1 | — | — | |
| Romano Schmid | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 41% | — | — | — |
| L. Bittencourt | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Marco Grüll | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Njinmah | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Salim Musah | F | 14 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | D | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
RB Leipzig — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Castello Lukeba | D | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | — | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Ridle Baku | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Baumgartner | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Nicolas Seiwald | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Nusa | F | 78 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 78 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Yan Diomande | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Assan Ouédraogo | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Conrad Harder | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 23% to a draw, and 49% to an RB Leipzig win.