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#10 · 4 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#4 · 6 pts
S. Musah (ast. J. Milosevic) 90'
15' A. Nusa
52' Romulo Cardoso
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Werder Bremen 27%). The final result was Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig. In 2 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Leipzig.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.34
Actual xG
1.49
0
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
0
21
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
A. Nusa
A. Pieper / P. Covic
49'
52'
Romulo Cardoso
56'
E. Banzuzi / C. Lukeba
M. Grull / Y. Sugawara
61'
F. Agu / S. Mbangula
61'
Cameron Puertas
73'
J. Njinmah / S. Musah
76'
L. Bittencourt / J. Milosevic
76'
78'
C. Harder / Romulo Cardoso
78'
T. Gomis / A. Nusa
86'
A. Ouedraogo / C. Baumgartner
86'
B. Henrichs / Y. Diomande
90'+2
Tidiam Gomis
Marco Friedl
90'+8
S. Musah · ast. J. Milosevic
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.18%
Werder
23.76%
X
49.06%
RB ←
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 49.06% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Werder
1.28
1.34
+0.06
RB
1.74
1.49
-0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 6
5 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
6 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
7 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
8 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
9 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
10 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3 4
11 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 3 4
13 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
14 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
18 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3 0
Lineups
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
30 M. Backhaus M. Backhaus G 6.70
2 O. Deman O. Deman D 6.90
32 M. Friedl M. Friedl D 6.60
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper 49' D 7.20
27 Felix Agu Felix Agu 61' D 6.00
18 Cameron Puertas Cameron Puertas M 7.50
14
M 6.60
20 Romano Schmid Romano Schmid M 6.90
10 L. Bittencourt L. Bittencourt 76' M 6.70
17 M. Grüll M. Grüll 61' M 6.30
11 Justin Njinmah Justin Njinmah 76' F 6.50
Bench
23 I. Schmidt I. Schmidt D
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević 1 👟 14' F 6.60
29 Salim Musah Salim Musah 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.30
3 Yukinari Sugawara Yukinari Sugawara 29' D 7.00
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-3-3
26
G 6.90
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 6.90
23 C. Lukeba C. Lukeba 56' D 7.20
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 6.90
17 R. Baku R. Baku D 6.70
14 C. Baumgartner C. Baumgartner 86' M 7.00
13 N. Seiwald N. Seiwald M 6.60
24 X. Schlager X. Schlager M 6.20
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.50
40 Rômulo Rômulo 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.20
49 Y. Diomande Y. Diomande 86' F 6.70
Bench
20 A. Ouédraogo A. Ouédraogo 13' M 6.70
11 C. Harder C. Harder 12' F 6.20
5 E. Bitshiabu E. Bitshiabu D
35 Max Finkgräfe Max Finkgräfe D
27 T. Gomis T. Gomis 12' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Nusa
A. Nusa
F · RB
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas
M · Werder
7.50
1 shots · 55 pass
Salim Musah
Salim Musah
F · Werder
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
A. Pieper
A. Pieper
D · Werder
7.20
· 36 pass
Rômulo
Rômulo
F · RB
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
C. Lukeba
C. Lukeba
D · RB
7.20
· 43 pass
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 90 6.70 32 29%
O. Deman D 90 6.90 53 46% 2
M. Friedl D 90 6.60 87 76% 2 1
A. Pieper D 49 7.20 36 33% 3
Felix Agu D 61 6.00 33 27% 2
Cameron Puertas M 90 7.50 1 55 50% 5 1
M 90 6.60 1 73 63% 1
Romano Schmid M 90 6.90 2 57 41%
L. Bittencourt M 76 6.70 39 30% 2
M. Grüll M 61 6.30 21 18% 2
Justin Njinmah F 76 6.50 2 14 12%
J. Milošević F 14 6.60 1 1 5 4%
Salim Musah F 14 7.30 1 3 4 4%
Yukinari Sugawara D 29 7.00 23 20% 2
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 42 25%
D. Raum D 90 6.90 48 35%
C. Lukeba D 56 7.20 43 40%
W. Orbán D 90 6.90 64 55% 1
R. Baku D 90 6.70 48 42% 2
C. Baumgartner M 86 7.00 32 28% 4
N. Seiwald M 90 6.60 41 34% 3
X. Schlager M 90 6.20 33 26% 2
A. Nusa F 78 8.50 1 1 27 21% 1
Rômulo F 78 7.20 1 1 20 11% 2
Y. Diomande F 86 6.70 2 33 27% 1
A. Ouédraogo M 13 6.70 4 4%
C. Harder F 12 6.20 1 5 2%
T. Gomis F 12 6.30 1 1% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 23% to a draw, and 49% to an RB Leipzig win.