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#6 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#5 · 12 pts
S. Musah (ast. J. Milosevic) 90'
15' A. Nusa
52' Romulo Cardoso
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Werder Bremen 27%). The final result was Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig. In 2 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Leipzig.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.34
Actual xG
1.49
0
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
0
21
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
A. Nusa⚽
↕ A. Pieper / P. Covic
49'
52'
Romulo Cardoso⚽
56'
E. Banzuzi / C. Lukeba ↕
↕ M. Grull / Y. Sugawara
61'
↕ F. Agu / S. Mbangula
61'
Cameron Puertas
73'
↕ J. Njinmah / S. Musah
76'
↕ L. Bittencourt / J. Milosevic
76'
78'
C. Harder / Romulo Cardoso ↕
78'
T. Gomis / A. Nusa ↕
86'
A. Ouedraogo / C. Baumgartner ↕
86'
B. Henrichs / Y. Diomande ↕
90'+2
Tidiam Gomis
Marco Friedl
90'+8
⚽S. Musah · ast. J. Milosevic
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.18%
Werder
23.76%
X
49.06%
RB ←
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 49.06% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Werder
1.28
1.34
+0.06
RB
1.74
1.49
-0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
30 M. Backhaus M. Backhaus G 6.70
2 O. Deman O. Deman D 6.90
32 M. Friedl M. Friedl D 6.60
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper 49' D 7.20
27 Felix Agu Felix Agu 61' D 6.00
18 Cameron Puertas Cameron Puertas M 7.50
14
M 6.60
20 R. Schmid R. Schmid M 6.90
10 L. Bittencourt L. Bittencourt 76' M 6.70
17 M. Grüll M. Grüll 61' M 6.30
11 Justin Njinmah Justin Njinmah 76' F 6.50
Bench
23 I. Schmidt I. Schmidt D
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević 1 👟 14' F 6.60
29 Salim Musah Salim Musah 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.30
3 Y. Sugawara Y. Sugawara 29' D 7.00
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-3-3
26
G 6.90
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 6.90
23 C. Lukeba C. Lukeba 56' D 7.20
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 6.90
17 R. Baku R. Baku D 6.70
14 C. Baumgartner C. Baumgartner 86' M 7.00
13 N. Seiwald N. Seiwald M 6.60
24 X. Schlager X. Schlager M 6.20
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.50
40 Rômulo Rômulo 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.20
49 Y. Diomande Y. Diomande 86' F 6.70
Bench
20 A. Ouédraogo A. Ouédraogo 13' M 6.70
11 C. Harder C. Harder 12' F 6.20
5 E. Bitshiabu E. Bitshiabu D
35 Max Finkgräfe Max Finkgräfe D
27 T. Gomis T. Gomis 12' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Nusa
A. Nusa
F · RB
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas
M · Werder
7.50
1 shots · 55 pass
Salim Musah
Salim Musah
F · Werder
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
A. Pieper
A. Pieper
D · Werder
7.20
· 36 pass
Rômulo
Rômulo
F · RB
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
C. Lukeba
C. Lukeba
D · RB
7.20
· 43 pass
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 90 6.70 — — — 32 29% — — —
O. Deman D 90 6.90 — — — 53 46% 2 — —
M. Friedl D 90 6.60 — — — 87 76% 2 1 —
A. Pieper D 49 7.20 — — — 36 33% 3 — —
Felix Agu D 61 6.00 — — — 33 27% 2 — —
Cameron Puertas M 90 7.50 — — 1 55 50% 5 1 —
M 90 6.60 — — 1 73 63% 1 — —
R. Schmid M 90 6.90 — — 2 57 41% — — —
L. Bittencourt M 76 6.70 — — — 39 30% 2 — —
M. Grüll M 61 6.30 — — — 21 18% 2 — —
Justin Njinmah F 76 6.50 — — 2 14 12% — — —
J. Milošević F 14 6.60 — 1 1 5 4% — — —
Salim Musah F 14 7.30 1 — 3 4 4% — — —
Y. Sugawara D 29 7.00 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 42 25% — — —
D. Raum D 90 6.90 — — — 48 35% — — —
C. Lukeba D 56 7.20 — — — 43 40% — — —
W. Orbán D 90 6.90 — — — 64 55% 1 — —
R. Baku D 90 6.70 — — — 48 42% 2 — —
C. Baumgartner M 86 7.00 — — — 32 28% 4 — —
N. Seiwald M 90 6.60 — — — 41 34% 3 — —
X. Schlager M 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% 2 — —
A. Nusa F 78 8.50 1 — 1 27 21% 1 — —
Rômulo F 78 7.20 1 — 1 20 11% 2 — —
Y. Diomande F 86 6.70 — — 2 33 27% 1 — —
A. Ouédraogo M 13 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
C. Harder F 12 6.20 — — 1 5 2% — — —
T. Gomis F 12 6.30 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 23% to a draw, and 49% to an RB Leipzig win.