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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6 October 17, 2026 15:30 Weserstadion, Bremen
Werder Bremen
#6 · 12 pts
2 – 2
Final score
SC Paderborn 07
#13 · 8 pts
Niclas Füllkrug (ast. Eren Dinkci) 59'
Niclas Füllkrug 65' (pen.)
18' (ast. Steffen Tigges) Stefano Marino
30' Steffen Tigges
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Werder Bremen a 44% win probability (draw 28%, SC Paderborn 07 26%). The final result was Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07. In 1 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
11
11
Shots on target
4
2.87
Actual xG
1.01
2
Saves
9
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
3
19
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
Stefano Marino
18'
ast. Steffen Tigges · Stefano Marino⚽
30'
Steffen Tigges⚽
↕ Iván San José Cantalejo / Mitchell Weiser
45'
⚽Niclas Füllkrug · ast. Eren Dinkci
59'
↕ Eren Dinkci / Cédric Itten
63'
⚽Niclas Füllkrug (pen.)
65'
66'
Rayan Philippe / Stefano Marino ↕
66'
Tom Baack / Laurin Ulrich ↕
75'
Ruben Müller / Gabriel Vidović ↕
75'
Marvin Pieringer / Steffen Tigges ↕
↕ Ludovit Reis / Dariusz Stalmach
79'
Youri Regeer
86'
↕ Youri Regeer / Paul Erevbenagie
88'
88'
Jonah Sticker / Mattes Hansen ↕
Pre-match prediction
44.94%
Werder
28.5%
X ←
26.56%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Werder
1.94
2.87
+0.94
SC
0.75
1.01
+0.26
Werder Bremen dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
1 K. Hein K. Hein G 5.90
2 O. Deman O. Deman D 7.03
32 M. Friedl M. Friedl D 6.77
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper D 7.03
13 Arthur Arthur D 6.24
44 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer 88' M 7.20
15 L. Reis L. Reis 79' M 6.20
17 M. Grüll M. Grüll M 6.46
20 Chuky San José Chuky San José 45' M 5.97
18 E. Dinkçi E. Dinkçi 1 👟 63' M 7.70
10 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
30 A. Schlager A. Schlager G 0.00
26 C. Itten C. Itten 27' F 6.43
23 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 11' M 6.30
34 D. Soylu D. Soylu M 0.00
33 Mick Schmetgens Mick Schmetgens D 0.00
8 M. Weiser M. Weiser 45' D 6.71
4 N. Stark N. Stark D 0.00
3 O. Wójcik O. Wójcik D 0.00
38 P. Erevbenagie P. Erevbenagie 2' F 6.40
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3-1-4-2
15 N. Noll N. Noll G 8.29
22 M. Hansen M. Hansen 88' D 6.68
25 T. Scheller T. Scheller D 6.98
21 J. ter Horst J. ter Horst D 6.24
5 S. Castañeda S. Castañeda M 6.47
23 R. Obermair R. Obermair M 6.40
40 G. Vidović G. Vidović 75' M 6.07
28 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich 66' M 6.21
17 L. Curda L. Curda M 6.04
27 S. Tigges S. Tigges 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.10
30 S. Marino S. Marino 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.70
Bench
29 C. Lippmann C. Lippmann D 0.00
38 D. Zeitler D. Zeitler F 0.00
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker Jonah Benedict Sticker 2' D 5.79
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer 15' F 6.29
1 M. Schubert M. Schubert G 0.00
9 R. Philippe R. Philippe 24' F 6.45
2 Ruben Müller Ruben Müller 15' D 6.01
11 S. Michel S. Michel F 0.00
6 T. Baack T. Baack 24' M 6.56
Best on the pitch
N. Noll
N. Noll
G · SC
8.29
· 44 pass
N. Füllkrug
N. Füllkrug
F · Werder
8.20
2 ⚽
6 shots · 33 pass
S. Tigges
S. Tigges
F · SC
8.10
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 14 pass
S. Marino
S. Marino
F · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
E. Dinkçi
E. Dinkçi
M · Werder
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
Y. Regeer
Y. Regeer
M · Werder
7.20
1 shots · 80 pass
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Hein G 90 5.90 — — 0 33 29% 0 — —
O. Deman D 90 7.03 — — 1 77 71% 3 — —
M. Friedl D 90 6.77 — — 0 95 85% 0 — —
A. Pieper D 90 7.03 — — 0 97 84% 7 — —
Arthur D 90 6.24 — — 1 54 39% 3 — —
Y. Regeer M 88 7.20 — — 1 80 74% 2 1 —
L. Reis M 79 6.20 — — 0 24 21% 1 — —
M. Grüll M 90 6.46 — — 2 56 48% 1 — —
Chuky San José M 45 5.97 — — 2 22 16% 1 — —
E. Dinkçi M 63 7.70 — 1 1 24 23% 0 — —
N. Füllkrug F 90 8.20 2 — 6 33 25% 0 — —
C. Itten F 27 6.43 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 11 6.30 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
M. Weiser D 45 6.71 — — 4 20 14% 0 — —
P. Erevbenagie F 2 6.40 — — 0 0 0% 1 — —
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Noll G 90 8.29 — — 0 44 27% 0 — —
M. Hansen D 88 6.68 — — 0 50 46% 1 — —
T. Scheller D 90 6.98 — — 0 55 51% 4 — —
J. ter Horst D 90 6.24 — — 0 41 34% 2 — —
S. Castañeda M 90 6.47 — — 1 32 24% 4 — —
R. Obermair M 90 6.40 — — 1 31 25% 4 — —
G. Vidović M 75 6.07 — — 1 18 16% 1 — —
L. Ulrich M 66 6.21 — — 0 16 15% 0 — —
L. Curda M 90 6.04 — — 1 40 28% 3 — —
S. Tigges F 75 8.10 1 1 3 14 6% 2 — —
S. Marino F 66 7.70 1 — 3 6 6% 0 1 —
Jonah Benedict Sticker D 2 5.79 — — 0 7 6% 2 — —
M. Pieringer F 15 6.29 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
R. Philippe F 24 6.45 — — 1 7 5% 1 — —
Ruben Müller D 15 6.01 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
T. Baack M 24 6.56 — — 0 16 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
The final score was Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an SC Paderborn 07 win.