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Championship · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 13:30 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
West Brom
#5 · 21 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Birmingham
#7 · 20 pts
(pen.) 41' August Priske
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Birmingham 32%). The final result was West Brom 0–1 Birmingham. In 2 previous meetings, West Brom have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Birmingham.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
7
1.13
Actual xG
2.60
6
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
9
20
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Rabby Nzingoula
8'
31'
Alex Cochrane
41'
(pen.) August Priske⚽
55'
Patrick Roberts / Liam Millar ↕
69'
Marvin Ducksch / August Priske ↕
69'
Max Bird / Jhon Elmer Solís Romero ↕
↕ Aune Heggebo / Barney Stewart
70'
75'
Carlos Vicente
79'
Jay Stansfield
↕ Felix Horn Myhre / Isaac Price
79'
↕ Toby Collyer / Harry Whitwell
80'
85'
Taylor·Gardner Hickman / Jay Stansfield ↕
85'
Demarai Gray / Carlos Vicente ↕
J. Morgan
89'
89'
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Pre-match prediction
36.72%
West
31.09%
X
32.19%
Birmingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 32.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
1.32
1.13
-0.19
Birmingham
1.18
2.60
+1.42
Birmingham dominated by xG (2.60 vs 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
West Brom West Brom 4-4-2
1 M. O’Leary M. O’Leary G 8.05
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 6.22
2 C. Mepham C. Mepham D 7.04
3 N. Phillips N. Phillips D 7.40
18 B. Pereira B. Pereira D 6.58
15 Tobias Christopher Collyer Tobias Christopher Collyer 80' M 6.51
7 F. Myhre F. Myhre 79' M 6.26
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité M 6.61
20 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula M 6.23
11 J. Morgan J. Morgan F 6.38
19 A. Heggebø A. Heggebø 70' F 5.89
Bench
9 B. Stewart B. Stewart 20' F 6.42
22 C. Townsend C. Townsend D 0.00
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 0.00
29 Harry Whitwell Harry Whitwell 10' M 6.47
21 I. Price I. Price 11' M 6.34
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby M 0.00
35 M. Crowther M. Crowther M 0.00
13 M. Ingram M. Ingram G 0.00
23 T. Bany T. Bany F 0.00
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle J. Beadle G 6.73
20 A. Cochrane A. Cochrane D 6.18
4 C. Klarer C. Klarer D 7.07
5 P. Neumann P. Neumann D 7.71
26 B. Osayi-Samuel B. Osayi-Samuel D 6.09
14 J. Solis J. Solis 69' M 6.73
24 T. Iwata T. Iwata M 6.78
17 L. Millar L. Millar 55' M 7.20
28 J. Stansfield J. Stansfield 85' M 6.23
7 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente 85' M 6.30
9 A. Priske A. Priske 1 ⚽ 69' F 6.85
Bench
23 D. Fry D. Fry D 0.00
10 D. Gray D. Gray 5' F 6.39
2 E. Laird E. Laird D 0.00
32 L. Vázquez L. Vázquez F 0.00
18 M. Bird M. Bird 21' M 6.63
33 M. Ducksch M. Ducksch 21' F 6.64
16 P. Roberts P. Roberts 35' M 7.02
21 R. Allsop R. Allsop G 0.00
19 T. Gardner-Hickman T. Gardner-Hickman 5' M 6.51
Best on the pitch
M. O’Leary
M. O’Leary
G · West
8.05
· 35 pass
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
D · Birmingham
7.71
2 shots · 46 pass
N. Phillips
N. Phillips
D · West
7.40
1 shots · 65 pass
L. Millar
L. Millar
M · Birmingham
7.20
· 29 pass
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
D · Birmingham
7.07
· 51 pass
C. Mepham
C. Mepham
D · West
7.04
1 shots · 79 pass
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. O’Leary G 90 8.05 — — 0 35 25% 0 — —
C. Styles D 90 6.22 — — 1 59 49% 4 — —
C. Mepham D 90 7.04 — — 1 79 67% 2 — —
N. Phillips D 90 7.40 — — 1 65 59% 3 — —
B. Pereira D 90 6.58 — — 2 37 34% 0 — —
Tobias Christopher Collyer M 80 6.51 — — 0 45 41% 0 — —
F. Myhre M 79 6.26 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
O. Diakité M 90 6.61 — — 3 53 44% 1 — —
R. Nzingoula M 90 6.23 — — 1 44 35% 3 1 —
J. Morgan F 90 6.38 — — 0 25 23% 2 1 —
A. Heggebø F 70 5.89 — — 1 8 4% 0 — —
B. Stewart F 20 6.42 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Harry Whitwell M 10 6.47 — — 0 9 8% 3 — —
I. Price M 11 6.34 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Beadle G 90 6.73 — — 0 37 19% 0 — —
A. Cochrane D 90 6.18 — — 0 54 46% 1 1 —
C. Klarer D 90 7.07 — — 0 51 44% 1 — —
P. Neumann D 90 7.71 — — 2 46 41% 2 — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 90 6.09 — — 0 45 34% 2 1 —
J. Solis M 69 6.73 — — 1 26 25% 3 — —
T. Iwata M 90 6.78 — — 3 43 37% 4 — —
L. Millar M 55 7.20 — — 0 29 26% 2 — —
J. Stansfield M 85 6.23 — — 3 10 7% 5 1 —
Carlos Vicente M 85 6.30 — — 2 33 23% 2 1 —
A. Priske F 69 6.85 1 — 2 10 7% 0 — —
D. Gray F 5 6.39 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
M. Bird M 21 6.63 — — 0 7 5% 1 — —
M. Ducksch F 21 6.64 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
P. Roberts M 35 7.02 — — 0 14 10% 1 — —
T. Gardner-Hickman M 5 6.51 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Birmingham?
The final score was West Brom 0–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 36% probability to a West Brom win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Birmingham win.