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Championship · Regular Season - 2 August 23, 2026 13:00 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
West Brom
#2 · 14 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Burnley
#23 · 3 pts
H. Whitwell (ast. J. Morgan) 18'
I. Price 46'
I. Price 65' (pen.)
(og) 8' C. Styles
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burnley a 36% win probability (draw 31%, West Brom 32%). The final result was West Brom 3–1 Burnley.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
1.12
3
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
4
12
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
(og) C. Styles⚽
⚽H. Whitwell · ast. J. Morgan
18'
26'
O. Sonne
G. Campbell
33'
46'
C. Roberts / O. Sonne ↕
⚽I. Price
46'
57'
Z. Amdouni / H. Mejbri ↕
57'
U. Raghouber / A. Broja ↕
57'
D. Satpaev / J. Laurent ↕
⚽I. Price (pen.)
65'
70'
M. Edwards
↕ J. Morgan / B. Stewart
78'
78'
Lucas Pires / B. Humphreys ↕
↕ H. Whitwell / R. Nzingoula
81'
↕ J. Molumby / C. Mepham
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
32.07%
West ←
31.61%
X
36.32%
Burnley
we assigned to the actual result (West Brom) 32.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
0.98
1.64
+0.66
Burnley
3.57
1.12
-2.45
West Brom dominated by xG (1.64 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
West Brom West Brom 4-4-1-1
1 M. O’Leary M. O’Leary G 7.90
4 C. Styles C. Styles 1 ⚽ D 6.50
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 6.90
3 N. Phillips N. Phillips D 6.90
25 N. Galves N. Galves D 6.90
21 I. Price I. Price 2 ⚽ M 8.70
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité M 6.90
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby M 7.30
29 Harry Whitwell Harry Whitwell 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.90
7 F. Myhre F. Myhre F 6.50
11 J. Morgan J. Morgan 1 👟 78' F 6.60
Bench
28 Alex Williams Alex Williams D
9 Barney Stewart Barney Stewart 17' F 6.70
2 C. Mepham C. Mepham 1' D
22 C. Townsend C. Townsend D
5 K. Bielik K. Bielik D
13 M. Ingram M. Ingram G
37 Oliver Bostock Oliver Bostock F
20 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula 14' M 6.50
23 T. Bany T. Bany F
Burnley Burnley 4-2-3-1
1 M. Weiß M. Weiß G 7.90
6 Bashir Humphreys Bashir Humphreys 78' D 5.20
3 Max Alleyne Max Alleyne D 6.20
2 K. Walker K. Walker D 6.70
22 O. Sonne O. Sonne 45' D 6.00
28 H. Mejbri H. Mejbri 57' M 6.00
29 J. Laurent J. Laurent 57' M 6.60
7 J. Bruun Larsen J. Bruun Larsen M 6.70
21 A. Ramsey A. Ramsey M 6.20
10 M. Edwards M. Edwards M 6.50
27 A. Broja A. Broja 57' F 6.90
Bench
15 A. Ahmedhodžić A. Ahmedhodžić D
14 C. Roberts C. Roberts 50' D 6.30
12 D. Satpaev D. Satpaev 38' F 6.60
37 G. Coudert G. Coudert G
4 J. Worrall J. Worrall D
23 Lucas Pires Lucas Pires 17' D 6.60
31 M. Trésor M. Trésor F
8 U. Raghouber U. Raghouber 38' M 6.70
11 Z. Amdouni Z. Amdouni 38' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Harry Whitwell
Harry Whitwell
M · West
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
I. Price
I. Price
M · West
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 43 pass
M. O’Leary
M. O’Leary
G · West
7.90
· 41 pass
M. Weiß
M. Weiß
G · Burnley
7.90
· 38 pass
J. Molumby
J. Molumby
M · West
7.30
· 69 pass
G. Campbell
G. Campbell
D · West
6.90
1 shots · 79 pass
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. O’Leary G 95 7.90 — — — 41 30% — — —
C. Styles D 95 6.50 1 — 1 55 49% 1 — —
G. Campbell D 95 6.90 — — 1 79 73% 1 1 —
N. Phillips D 95 6.90 — — — 70 62% — — —
N. Galves D 95 6.90 — — — 30 28% 4 — —
I. Price M 95 8.70 2 — 4 43 39% — — —
O. Diakité M 95 6.90 — — 2 41 37% 2 — —
J. Molumby M 94 7.30 — — — 69 63% 1 — —
Harry Whitwell M 81 8.90 1 — 1 30 23% — — —
F. Myhre F 95 6.50 — — — 22 19% — — —
J. Morgan F 78 6.60 — 1 — 16 14% 3 — —
Barney Stewart F 17 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
C. Mepham D 1 — — — — — — — — —
R. Nzingoula M 14 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
Burnley Burnley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Weiß G 95 7.90 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
Bashir Humphreys D 78 5.20 — — — 43 34% 1 — —
Max Alleyne D 95 6.20 — — — 86 81% — — —
K. Walker D 95 6.70 — — — 79 70% 2 — —
O. Sonne D 45 6.00 — — 1 18 14% 1 1 —
H. Mejbri M 57 6.00 — — — 34 26% — — —
J. Laurent M 57 6.60 — — — 22 18% — — —
J. Bruun Larsen M 95 6.70 — — 1 24 22% 1 — —
A. Ramsey M 95 6.20 — — 1 22 17% 1 — —
M. Edwards M 95 6.50 — — — 27 22% 1 1 —
A. Broja F 57 6.90 — — 1 11 5% 1 — —
C. Roberts D 50 6.30 — — — 30 24% 2 — —
D. Satpaev F 38 6.60 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
Lucas Pires D 17 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
U. Raghouber M 38 6.70 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
Z. Amdouni F 38 6.30 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Burnley?
The final score was West Brom 3–1 Burnley.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Burnley?
The model assigned 32% probability to a West Brom win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Burnley win.