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Championship · Regular Season - 2 August 23, 2026 13:00 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
West Brom
#5 · 21 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Burnley
#22 · 8 pts
H. Whitwell (ast. J. Morgan) 18'
I. Price 46'
I. Price 65' (pen.)
(og) 8' C. Styles
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burnley a 36% win probability (draw 31%, West Brom 32%). The final result was West Brom 3–1 Burnley.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
1.12
3
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
4
12
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
(og) C. Styles⚽
⚽H. Whitwell · ast. J. Morgan
18'
26'
O. Sonne
G. Campbell
33'
46'
C. Roberts / O. Sonne ↕
⚽I. Price
46'
57'
Z. Amdouni / H. Mejbri ↕
57'
U. Raghouber / A. Broja ↕
57'
D. Satpaev / J. Laurent ↕
⚽I. Price (pen.)
65'
70'
M. Edwards
↕ J. Morgan / B. Stewart
78'
78'
Lucas Pires / B. Humphreys ↕
↕ H. Whitwell / R. Nzingoula
81'
↕ J. Molumby / C. Mepham
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
32.07%
West ←
31.61%
X
36.32%
Burnley
we assigned to the actual result (West Brom) 32.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
0.98
1.64
+0.66
Burnley
3.57
1.12
-2.45
West Brom dominated by xG (1.64 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
West Brom West Brom 4-4-1-1
1 M. O’Leary M. O’Leary G 7.90
4 C. Styles C. Styles 1 ⚽ D 6.50
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 6.90
3 N. Phillips N. Phillips D 6.90
25 N. Galves N. Galves D 6.90
21 I. Price I. Price 2 ⚽ M 8.70
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité M 6.90
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby M 7.30
29 Harry Whitwell Harry Whitwell 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.90
7 F. Myhre F. Myhre F 6.50
11 J. Morgan J. Morgan 1 👟 78' F 6.60
Bench
28 Alex Williams Alex Williams D
9 Barney Stewart Barney Stewart 17' F 6.70
2 C. Mepham C. Mepham 1' D
22 C. Townsend C. Townsend D
5 K. Bielik K. Bielik D
13 M. Ingram M. Ingram G
37 Oliver Bostock Oliver Bostock F
20 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula 14' M 6.50
23 T. Bany T. Bany F
Burnley Burnley 4-2-3-1
1 M. Weiß M. Weiß G 7.90
6 Bashir Humphreys Bashir Humphreys 78' D 5.20
3 Max Alleyne Max Alleyne D 6.20
2 K. Walker K. Walker D 6.70
22 O. Sonne O. Sonne 45' D 6.00
28 H. Mejbri H. Mejbri 57' M 6.00
29 J. Laurent J. Laurent 57' M 6.60
7 J. Bruun Larsen J. Bruun Larsen M 6.70
21 A. Ramsey A. Ramsey M 6.20
10 M. Edwards M. Edwards M 6.50
27 A. Broja A. Broja 57' F 6.90
Bench
15 A. Ahmedhodžić A. Ahmedhodžić D
14 C. Roberts C. Roberts 50' D 6.30
12 D. Satpaev D. Satpaev 38' F 6.60
37 G. Coudert G. Coudert G
4 J. Worrall J. Worrall D
23 Lucas Pires Lucas Pires 17' D 6.60
31 M. Trésor M. Trésor F
8 U. Raghouber U. Raghouber 38' M 6.70
11 Z. Amdouni Z. Amdouni 38' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Harry Whitwell
Harry Whitwell
M · West
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
I. Price
I. Price
M · West
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 43 pass
M. O’Leary
M. O’Leary
G · West
7.90
· 41 pass
M. Weiß
M. Weiß
G · Burnley
7.90
· 38 pass
J. Molumby
J. Molumby
M · West
7.30
· 69 pass
G. Campbell
G. Campbell
D · West
6.90
1 shots · 79 pass
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. O’Leary G 95 7.90 — — — 41 30% — — —
C. Styles D 95 6.50 1 — 1 55 49% 1 — —
G. Campbell D 95 6.90 — — 1 79 73% 1 1 —
N. Phillips D 95 6.90 — — — 70 62% — — —
N. Galves D 95 6.90 — — — 30 28% 4 — —
I. Price M 95 8.70 2 — 4 43 39% — — —
O. Diakité M 95 6.90 — — 2 41 37% 2 — —
J. Molumby M 94 7.30 — — — 69 63% 1 — —
Harry Whitwell M 81 8.90 1 — 1 30 23% — — —
F. Myhre F 95 6.50 — — — 22 19% — — —
J. Morgan F 78 6.60 — 1 — 16 14% 3 — —
Barney Stewart F 17 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
C. Mepham D 1 — — — — — — — — —
R. Nzingoula M 14 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
Burnley Burnley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Weiß G 95 7.90 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
Bashir Humphreys D 78 5.20 — — — 43 34% 1 — —
Max Alleyne D 95 6.20 — — — 86 81% — — —
K. Walker D 95 6.70 — — — 79 70% 2 — —
O. Sonne D 45 6.00 — — 1 18 14% 1 1 —
H. Mejbri M 57 6.00 — — — 34 26% — — —
J. Laurent M 57 6.60 — — — 22 18% — — —
J. Bruun Larsen M 95 6.70 — — 1 24 22% 1 — —
A. Ramsey M 95 6.20 — — 1 22 17% 1 — —
M. Edwards M 95 6.50 — — — 27 22% 1 1 —
A. Broja F 57 6.90 — — 1 11 5% 1 — —
C. Roberts D 50 6.30 — — — 30 24% 2 — —
D. Satpaev F 38 6.60 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
Lucas Pires D 17 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
U. Raghouber M 38 6.70 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
Z. Amdouni F 38 6.30 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Burnley?
The final score was West Brom 3–1 Burnley.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Burnley?
The model assigned 32% probability to a West Brom win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Burnley win.