✓Model correct — prediction West Brom
I. Price
(ast. D. Imray)
21'
D. Dike
41'
D. Imray
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Watford 18%). The final result was West Brom 3–0 Watford. In 2 previous meetings, West Brom have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.48
Actual xG
0.61
3
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
3
14
Tackles
24
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
C. Styles
11'
⚽I. Price
· ast. D. Imray
21'
D. Imray
28'
31'
M. Pollock
⚽D. Dike
41'
45'+1
N. Irankunda
46'
I. Louza
/
N. Irankunda
48'
J. Abankwah
J. Molumby
51'
62'
K. Baah
/
G. Chakvetadze
63'
J. Ngakia
/
J. Petris
⚽D. Imray
69'
D. Dike
/ A. Heggebo
74'
J. Molumby
/ K. Grant
74'
75'
M. Doumbia
/
L. Kjerrumgaard
J. Maja
/ J. Jimoh-Aloba
82'
I. Price
/ T. Bany
82'
A. Mowatt
86'
Pre-match prediction
54.31%
West ←
27.22%
X
18.47%
Watford
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (West Brom)
54.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.48
+0.0
0.69
0.61
-0.08
West Brom dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
4
C. Styles
D
C. Styles
D
6
George Campbell
D
George Campbell
D
3
D
30
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
21
I. Price
1 ⚽
82'
M
I. Price
1 ⚽
82'
M
27
A. Mowatt
M
A. Mowatt
M
17
O. Diakité
M
O. Diakité
M
8
J. Molumby
74'
M
J. Molumby
74'
M
9
J. Maja
82'
F
J. Maja
82'
F
12
D. Dike
1 ⚽
74'
F
D. Dike
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
19
A. Heggebø
16'
F
A. Heggebø
16'
F
18
J. Jimoh-Aloba
8'
M
10
K. Ahearne-Grant
16'
F
K. Ahearne-Grant
16'
F
37
Oliver Bostock
F
Oliver Bostock
F
26
T. Bany
8'
F
T. Bany
8'
F
1
E. Selvik
G
E. Selvik
G
4
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
J. Abankwah
D
6
M. Pollock
D
M. Pollock
D
29
J. Pétris
63'
D
J. Pétris
63'
D
42
O. Maamma
M
O. Maamma
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
E. Kayembe
M
23
N. Mendy
M
N. Mendy
M
66
Nestory Irankunda
45'
M
Nestory Irankunda
45'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
62'
F
G. Chakvetadze
62'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
75'
F
L. Kjerrumgaard
75'
F
Bench
15
E. Bove
M
E. Bove
M
10
I. Louza
45'
M
I. Louza
45'
M
2
J. Ngakia
27'
D
16
Marc Bola
D
Marc Bola
D
20
M. Doumbia
15'
F
M. Doumbia
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
D · West
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
I. Price
M · West
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
G · West
8.30
· 29 pass
D · West
7.50
· 76 pass
D. Dike
F · West
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
A. Mowatt
M · West
7.30
2 shots
· 57 pass
West Brom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| George Campbell | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 59% | 1 | — | — | |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | D | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 26% | 5 | 1 | — |
| I. Price | M | 82 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mowatt | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Diakité | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Molumby | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Maja | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 74 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Heggebø | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Jimoh-Aloba | M | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Bany | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Abankwah | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Pétris | D | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Maamma | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Mendy | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Louza | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ngakia | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Watford?
The final score was West Brom 3–0 Watford.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Watford?
The model assigned 54% probability to a West Brom win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Watford win.