✓Model correct — prediction West Brom
I. Price
(ast. D. Imray)
21'
D. Dike
41'
D. Imray
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Watford 18%). The final result was West Brom 3–0 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, West Brom have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.48
Actual xG
0.61
3
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
3
14
Tackles
24
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
C. Styles
11'
⚽I. Price
· ast. D. Imray
21'
D. Imray
28'
31'
M. Pollock
⚽D. Dike
41'
45'+1
N. Irankunda
46'
I. Louza
/
N. Irankunda
48'
J. Abankwah
J. Molumby
51'
62'
K. Baah
/
G. Chakvetadze
63'
J. Ngakia
/
J. Petris
⚽D. Imray
69'
D. Dike
/ A. Heggebo
74'
J. Molumby
/ K. Grant
74'
75'
M. Doumbia
/
L. Kjerrumgaard
J. Maja
/ J. Jimoh-Aloba
82'
I. Price
/ T. Bany
82'
A. Mowatt
86'
Pre-match prediction
54.31%
West ←
27.22%
X
18.47%
Watford
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (West Brom)
54.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.48
+0.0
0.69
0.61
-0.08
West Brom dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
4
Callum Styles
D
Callum Styles
D
6
George Campbell
D
George Campbell
D
3
D
30
Daniel Imray
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Daniel Imray
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
21
Isaac Price
1 ⚽
82'
M
Isaac Price
1 ⚽
82'
M
27
Alex Mowatt
M
Alex Mowatt
M
17
Ousmane Diakité
M
Ousmane Diakité
M
8
Jayson Molumby
74'
M
Jayson Molumby
74'
M
9
J. Maja
82'
F
12
Daryl Dike
1 ⚽
74'
F
Daryl Dike
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
19
Aune Selland Heggebø
16'
F
Aune Selland Heggebø
16'
F
18
J. Jimoh-Aloba
8'
M
10
Karlan Grant
16'
F
Karlan Grant
16'
F
37
Oliver Bostock
F
Oliver Bostock
F
26
T. Bany
8'
F
1
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
4
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
J. Abankwah
D
6
Matthew Pollock
D
Matthew Pollock
D
29
J. Petris
63'
D
42
Othmane Maamma
M
Othmane Maamma
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
E. Kayembe
M
23
Nampalys Mendy
M
Nampalys Mendy
M
66
Nestory Irankunda
45'
M
Nestory Irankunda
45'
M
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
62'
F
9
Luca Kjerrumgaard
75'
F
Luca Kjerrumgaard
75'
F
Bench
15
Edoardo Bove
M
Edoardo Bove
M
10
Imrân Louza
45'
M
Imrân Louza
45'
M
2
J. Ngakia
27'
D
20
Mamadou Doumbia
15'
F
Mamadou Doumbia
15'
F
16
Marc Bola
D
Marc Bola
D
Best on the pitch
Daniel Imray
D · West
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Isaac Price
M · West
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
G · West
8.30
· 29 pass
D · West
7.50
· 76 pass
Daryl Dike
F · West
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Alex Mowatt
M · West
7.30
2 shots
· 57 pass
West Brom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Callum Styles | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| George Campbell | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 59% | 1 | — | — | |
| Daniel Imray | D | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 26% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Isaac Price | M | 82 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Mowatt | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Ousmane Diakité | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Jayson Molumby | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Maja | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daryl Dike | F | 74 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Jimoh-Aloba | M | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Karlan Grant | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Bany | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Abankwah | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Matthew Pollock | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Petris | D | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Othmane Maamma | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Nampalys Mendy | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Imrân Louza | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ngakia | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Mamadou Doumbia | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Watford?
The final score was West Brom 3–0 Watford.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Watford?
The model assigned 54% probability to a West Brom win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Watford win.