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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
West Brom
#5 · 21 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Wrexham
#17 · 14 pts
G. Dobson 26' (og)
J. Maja 38' (pen.)
47' (ast. L. O'Brien) J. Windass
62' (ast. L. O'Brien) G. Dobson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Wrexham 28%). The final result was West Brom 2–2 Wrexham. In 2 previous meetings, West Brom have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
1.61
Actual xG
1.73
1
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
6
11
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Dobson (og)
26'
38'
Issa Kaboré
⚽J. Maja (pen.)
38'
47'
ast. L. O'Brien · J. Windass⚽
Callum Styles
61'
62'
ast. L. O'Brien · G. Dobson⚽
69'
N. Broadhead / Z. Vyner ↕
69'
K. Moore / S. Smith ↕
↕ J. Jimoh-Aloba / C. Taylor
72'
↕ J. Maja / D. Dike
72'
George Campbell
74'
82'
O. Rathbone / J. Windass ↕
Pre-match prediction
41.14%
West
30.04%
X ←
28.82%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
1.26
1.61
+0.36
Wrexham
0.93
1.73
+0.8
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
West Brom West Brom 4-4-2
20
G 6.30
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 6.20
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 5.90
3
D 6.60
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray D 6.60
21 I. Price I. Price M 7.20
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité M 7.00
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby M 7.20
18
J. Jimoh-Aloba 72' M 5.90
9 J. Maja J. Maja 1 ⚽ 72' F 6.30
19 A. Heggebø A. Heggebø F 6.30
Bench
27 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt M
12 D. Dike D. Dike 18' F 6.00
37 Oliver Bostock Oliver Bostock F
Wrexham Wrexham 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 7.20
5
D 6.90
4 M. Cleworth M. Cleworth D 6.70
14 George Thomason George Thomason M 6.30
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson 2 ⚽ M 7.70
26 Z. Vyner Z. Vyner 69' M 6.60
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré M 5.90
27
2 👟 F 7.90
10 J. Windass J. Windass 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.20
28 S. Smith S. Smith 69' F 6.20
Bench
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri F
24 Dan Scarr Dan Scarr D
19 K. Moore K. Moore 21' F 6.30
33 N. Broadhead N. Broadhead 21' F 6.50
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 8' M 6.90
47 R. Longman R. Longman M
Best on the pitch
F · Wrexham
7.90
2 👟
· 45 pass
G. Dobson
G. Dobson
M · Wrexham
7.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 52 pass
J. Windass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
I. Price
I. Price
M · West
7.20
· 25 pass
J. Molumby
J. Molumby
M · West
7.20
· 64 pass
C. Doyle
C. Doyle
D · Wrexham
7.20
1 shots · 60 pass
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 34 15% — — —
C. Styles D 90 6.20 — — — 33 28% 3 1 —
G. Campbell D 90 5.90 — — — 46 42% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 55 45% 1 — —
Daniel Edward Peter Imray D 90 6.60 — — — 42 32% — — —
I. Price M 90 7.20 — — — 25 16% 2 — —
O. Diakité M 90 7.00 — — — 58 54% — — —
J. Molumby M 90 7.20 — — — 64 56% 1 — —
J. Jimoh-Aloba M 72 5.90 — — 1 5 3% 1 — —
J. Maja F 72 6.30 1 — 2 27 18% 1 — —
A. Heggebø F 90 6.30 — — 1 10 10% 2 — —
D. Dike F 18 6.00 — — 1 6 2% — — —
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 19 13% — — —
C. Doyle D 90 7.20 — — 1 60 44% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 46 43% 1 — —
M. Cleworth D 90 6.70 — — 1 53 43% 5 — —
George Thomason M 90 6.30 — — 1 46 34% 1 — —
G. Dobson M 90 7.70 2 — 2 52 47% 4 — —
Z. Vyner M 69 6.60 — — — 26 15% 2 — —
I. Kaboré M 90 5.90 — — 1 28 26% — 1 —
F 90 7.90 — 2 — 45 37% 2 — —
J. Windass F 82 7.20 1 — 1 33 27% — — —
S. Smith F 69 6.20 — — 2 4 2% 1 — —
K. Moore F 21 6.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
N. Broadhead F 21 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
O. Rathbone M 8 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Wrexham?
The final score was West Brom 2–2 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 41% probability to a West Brom win, 30% to a draw, and 28% to an Wrexham win.