G. Dobson
26'
(og)
J. Maja
38'
(pen.)
47'
(ast. L. O'Brien)
J. Windass
62'
(ast. L. O'Brien)
G. Dobson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Wrexham 28%). The final result was West Brom 2–2 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, West Brom have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
1.61
Actual xG
1.73
1
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
6
11
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Dobson
(og)
26'
38'
Issa Kaboré
⚽J. Maja
(pen.)
38'
47'
ast. L. O'Brien ·
J. Windass⚽
Callum Styles
61'
62'
ast. L. O'Brien ·
G. Dobson⚽
69'
N. Broadhead
/
Z. Vyner
69'
K. Moore
/
S. Smith
J. Jimoh-Aloba
/ C. Taylor
72'
J. Maja
/ D. Dike
72'
George Campbell
74'
82'
O. Rathbone
/
J. Windass
Pre-match prediction
41.14%
West
30.04%
X ←
28.82%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.61
+0.36
0.93
1.73
+0.8
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
G
4
C. Styles
D
C. Styles
D
6
G. Campbell
D
3
D
30
D. Imray
D
21
Isaac Price
M
Isaac Price
M
17
O. Diakite
M
8
Jayson Molumby
M
Jayson Molumby
M
18
J. Jimoh-Aloba
72'
M
9
J. Maja
1 ⚽
72'
F
19
A. Heggebo
F
Bench
27
Alex Mowatt
M
12
D. Dike
18'
F
37
Oliver Bostock
F
Oliver Bostock
F
1
G
2
C. Doyle
D
C. Doyle
D
5
D
4
Max Cleworth
D
14
G. Thomason
M
15
G. Dobson
2 ⚽
M
G. Dobson
2 ⚽
M
26
Z. Vyner
69'
M
12
I. Kaboré
M
I. Kaboré
M
27
2 👟
F
10
J. Windass
1 ⚽
82'
F
J. Windass
1 ⚽
82'
F
28
S. Smith
69'
F
Bench
11
B. Cadamarteri
F
B. Cadamarteri
F
24
D. Scarr
D
19
K. Moore
21'
F
K. Moore
21'
F
33
N. Broadhead
21'
F
N. Broadhead
21'
F
20
Oliver Rathbone
8'
M
47
R. Longman
M
Best on the pitch
F · Wrexham
7.90
2 👟
· 45 pass
G. Dobson
M · Wrexham
7.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Isaac Price
M · West
7.20
· 25 pass
Jayson Molumby
M · West
7.20
· 64 pass
C. Doyle
D · Wrexham
7.20
1 shots
· 60 pass
West Brom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Campbell | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Imray | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Isaac Price | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Diakite | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Jayson Molumby | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Jimoh-Aloba | M | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Maja | F | 72 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Heggebo | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 18 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| Max Cleworth | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Thomason | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 90 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Z. Vyner | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 90 | 7.90 | — | 2 | — | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Windass | F | 82 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Smith | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Broadhead | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Rathbone | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Brom vs Wrexham?
The final score was West Brom 2–2 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before West Brom vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 41% probability to a West Brom win, 30% to a draw, and 28% to an Wrexham win.