West Ham 0–1 Arsenal — pre-match prediction — Premier League — May 10, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 36 May 10, 2026 17:30 London Stadium, London

West Ham

0 – 1

Final score

Arsenal

#2 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Arsenal

83' (ast. M. Odegaard) L. Trossard

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 59% win probability (draw 22%, West Ham 18%). The final result was West Ham 0–1 Arsenal. In 1 previous meetings, West Ham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arsenal.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.30

Actual xG

1.36

Saves

36%

Possession

64%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

28'

M. Zubimendi / B. White ↕

T. Castellanos

34'

C. Summerville

38'

46'

C. Mosquera / R. Calafiori ↕

↕ T. Castellanos / Pablo

66'

67'

M. Odegaard / E. Eze ↕

68'

K. Havertz / M. Zubimendi ↕

J. Todibo

68'

77'

B. Saka

79'

C. Mosquera

80'

N. Madueke / B. Saka ↕

83'

ast. M. Odegaard · L. Trossard⚽

↕ A. Disasi / C. Wilson

85'

89'

W. Saliba

90'+2

L. Trossard

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

18.13%

West

22.69%

59.18%

Arsenal ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal) 59.18% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

West

1.09

1.30

+0.21

Arsenal

2.05

1.36

-0.69

xG dominance was balanced (1.30 – 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	3	9
2	Arsenal	3	9
3	Hull City	4	8
4	Chelsea	4	7
5	Brentford	4	6
6	Liverpool	4	6
7	Ipswich	4	6
8	Newcastle	3	5
9	Everton	3	5
10	Leeds	3	5
11	Nottingham Forest	4	5
12	Brighton	3	4
13	Manchester United	3	4
14	Sunderland	3	4
15	Bournemouth	4	3
16	Crystal Palace	4	3
17	Fulham	4	1
18	Tottenham	3	1
19	Aston Villa	4	1
20	Coventry	3	0

Lineups

West Ham 3-4-2-1

M. Hermansen G 6.30

A. Disasi 85' D 6.30

K. Mavropanos D 8.50

J. Todibo D 6.30

E. Diouf M 7.20

Mateus Fernandes M 7.90

T. Souček M 6.60

A. Wan-Bissaka M 6.90

C. Summerville F 6.90

J. Bowen F 6.60

V. Castellanos 67' F 6.70

Bench

Alphonse Aréola G

C. Wilson 17' F 6.70

F. Potts M

K. Walker-Peters D

M. Kanté M

M. Kilman D

O. Scarles D

Pablo 23' F 6.50

Soungoutou Magassa M

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

David Raya G 7.50

R. Calafiori 45' D 6.30

Gabriel Magalhães D 7.20

William Saliba D 7.90

B. White 28' D 6.70

M. Lewis-Skelly M 6.90

D. Rice M 7.30

L. Trossard 1 ⚽ M 8.00

E. Eze 67' M 7.00

B. Saka 80' M 6.20

V. Gyökeres F 6.30

Bench

Cristhian Mosquera 45' D 6.70

Gabriel Martinelli F

Kepa G

K. Havertz 23' F 6.30

Martín Zubimendi 39' M 6.30

M. Dowman M

M. Ødegaard 1 👟 23' M 6.90

N. Madueke 10' F 6.30

P. Hincapié D

Best on the pitch

K. Mavropanos

D · West

8.50

1 shots · 23 pass

L. Trossard

M · Arsenal

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 32 pass

Mateus Fernandes

M · West

7.90

1 shots · 41 pass

William Saliba

D · Arsenal

7.90

· 80 pass

David Raya

G · Arsenal

7.50

· 30 pass

D. Rice

M · Arsenal

7.30

· 57 pass

West Ham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Hermansen	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	14%	—	—	—
A. Disasi	D	85	6.30	—	—	—	33	23%	1	—	—
K. Mavropanos	D	90	8.50	—	—	1	23	16%	1	—	—
J. Todibo	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	26	18%	—	1	—
E. Diouf	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	28	19%	2	—	—
Mateus Fernandes	M	90	7.90	—	—	1	41	33%	4	—	—
T. Souček	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	27	19%	1	—	—
A. Wan-Bissaka	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	27	21%	1	—	—
C. Summerville	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	10	8%	2	1	—
J. Bowen	F	90	6.60	—	—	1	19	13%	1	—	—
V. Castellanos	F	67	6.70	—	—	1	7	3%	1	1	—
C. Wilson	F	17	6.70	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Pablo	F	23	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—

Arsenal — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
David Raya	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	30	13%	—	—	—
R. Calafiori	D	45	6.30	—	—	2	20	14%	—	—	—
Gabriel Magalhães	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	47	39%	—	—	—
William Saliba	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	80	79%	3	1	—
B. White	D	28	6.70	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—
M. Lewis-Skelly	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	55	51%	—	—	—
D. Rice	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	57	42%	1	—	—
L. Trossard	M	90	8.00	1	—	3	32	22%	1	1	—
E. Eze	M	67	7.00	—	—	—	37	36%	—	—	—
B. Saka	M	80	6.20	—	—	2	23	17%	—	1	—
V. Gyökeres	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
Cristhian Mosquera	D	45	6.70	—	—	—	24	20%	1	1	—
K. Havertz	F	23	6.30	—	—	—	9	6%	2	—	—
Martín Zubimendi	M	39	6.30	—	—	—	37	32%	—	—	—
M. Ødegaard	M	23	6.90	—	1	—	12	9%	—	—	—
N. Madueke	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of West Ham vs Arsenal?

The final score was West Ham 0–1 Arsenal.

What did the model predict before West Ham vs Arsenal?

The model assigned 18% probability to a West Ham win, 22% to a draw, and 59% to an Arsenal win.