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Championship · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 16:00 London Stadium, London
West Ham
#1 · 14 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Charlton
#5 · 11 pts
J. Piroe 74'
7' (ast. S. Carey) L. Jones
56' T. Campbell
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Ham a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Charlton 30%). The final result was West Ham 1–2 Charlton.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
0.47
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
2
74%
Possession
26%
1
Corners
4
8
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. S. Carey · L. Jones⚽
↕ M. Kante / L. Orford
46'
M. Kilman
47'
50'
D. McNamara
56'
T. Campbell⚽
66'
A. Mwamba / S. Carey ↕
70'
M. Mbick / M. Leaburn ↕
↕ K. Mavropanos / J. Veltman
70'
↕ O. Scarles / D. Mukasa
71'
72'
K. Grant
⚽J. Piroe
74'
77'
J. Rankin-Costello / N. Chalobah ↕
78'
C. Sichenje / K. Grant ↕
T. Castellanos
81'
90'+3
L. Jones
⚽T. Castellanos (missed pen.)
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.33%
West
31.21%
X
30.45%
Charlton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlton) 30.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
2.87
0.47
-2.4
Charlton
1.21
0.39
-0.82
xG dominance was balanced (0.47 – 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
West Ham West Ham 4-4-1-1
1 M. Hermansen M. Hermansen 50' G 6.90
30 O. Scarles O. Scarles 50' D 6.70
3 M. Kilman M. Kilman 50' D 6.90
15 K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos 50' D 7.00
2 K. Walker-Peters K. Walker-Peters 50' D 6.20
10 M. Solomon M. Solomon 50' M 6.20
17 M. Kanté M. Kanté 45' M 6.70
7 A. Engels A. Engels 50' M 6.60
20 J. Bowen J. Bowen 50' M 7.00
9 J. Piroe J. Piroe 1 ⚽ 50' F 6.50
11 V. Castellanos V. Castellanos 50' F 6.30
Bench
58 A. Golambeckis A. Golambeckis D
23 Alphonse Aréola Alphonse Aréola G
14 D. Mukasa D. Mukasa M
63 Ezra Mayers Ezra Mayers D
66 J. Ajala J. Ajala F
34 J. Veltman J. Veltman D
8 J. Ward-Prowse J. Ward-Prowse M
21 K. Lamadrid K. Lamadrid M
61 L. Orford L. Orford 5' M
Charlton Charlton 4-2-3-1
13 A. Okonkwo A. Okonkwo 50' G 6.90
17 A. Bell A. Bell 50' D 6.30
12 Billy Koumetio Billy Koumetio 50' D 6.50
5 L. Jones L. Jones 1 ⚽ 50' D 7.60
20 D. McNamara D. McNamara 50' D 7.20
15 N. Chalobah N. Chalobah 50' M 6.20
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry 50' M 6.90
7 Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell 50' M 6.30
14 S. Carey S. Carey 1 👟 50' M 6.90
9 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 50' M 6.30
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn 50' F 6.90
Bench
32 A. Mwamba A. Mwamba D
28 Collins Sichenje Collins Sichenje D
8 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs M
18 I. Mesík I. Mesík D
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello M
19 M. Alli M. Alli F
33 Micah Mbick Micah Mbick F
30 R. Apter R. Apter M
21 T. Brooks T. Brooks G
Best on the pitch
L. Jones
L. Jones
D · Charlton
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
D. McNamara
D. McNamara
D · Charlton
7.20
· 17 pass
K. Mavropanos
K. Mavropanos
D · West
7.00
· 76 pass
J. Bowen
J. Bowen
M · West
7.00
1 shots · 22 pass
M. Leaburn
M. Leaburn
F · Charlton
6.90
1 shots · 8 pass
S. Carey
S. Carey
M · Charlton
6.90
1 👟
2 shots · 7 pass
West Ham West Ham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Hermansen G 50 6.90 — — — 12 12% — — —
O. Scarles D 50 6.70 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
M. Kilman D 50 6.90 — — — 61 61% — 1 —
K. Mavropanos D 50 7.00 — — — 76 72% 1 — —
K. Walker-Peters D 50 6.20 — — — 34 32% 1 — —
M. Solomon M 50 6.20 — — — 26 24% — — —
M. Kanté M 45 6.70 — — 1 52 48% 2 — —
A. Engels M 50 6.60 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
J. Bowen M 50 7.00 — — 1 22 19% — — —
J. Piroe F 50 6.50 1 — 1 16 11% — — —
V. Castellanos F 50 6.30 — — 2 4 3% 2 — —
L. Orford M 5 — — — — 7 6% — — —
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Okonkwo G 50 6.90 — — — 13 8% — — —
A. Bell D 50 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Billy Koumetio D 50 6.50 — — — 17 11% — — —
L. Jones D 50 7.60 1 — 2 16 14% — — —
D. McNamara D 50 7.20 — — — 17 15% — — —
N. Chalobah M 50 6.20 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
C. Coventry M 50 6.90 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell M 50 6.30 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
S. Carey M 50 6.90 — 1 2 7 7% — — —
K. Ahearne-Grant M 50 6.30 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
M. Leaburn F 50 6.90 — — 1 8 2% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Ham vs Charlton?
The final score was West Ham 1–2 Charlton.
What did the model predict before West Ham vs Charlton?
The model assigned 38% probability to a West Ham win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Charlton win.