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#3 · 22 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#19 · 14 pts
J. Piroe 74'
7' (ast. S. Carey) L. Jones
56' T. Campbell
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Ham a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Charlton 30%). The final result was West Ham 1–2 Charlton.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
0.47
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
2
74%
Possession
26%
1
Corners
4
8
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. S. Carey · L. Jones⚽
↕ M. Kante / L. Orford
46'
M. Kilman
47'
50'
D. McNamara
56'
T. Campbell⚽
66'
A. Mwamba / S. Carey ↕
70'
M. Mbick / M. Leaburn ↕
↕ K. Mavropanos / J. Veltman
70'
↕ O. Scarles / D. Mukasa
71'
72'
K. Grant
⚽J. Piroe
74'
77'
J. Rankin-Costello / N. Chalobah ↕
78'
C. Sichenje / K. Grant ↕
T. Castellanos
81'
90'+3
L. Jones
⚽T. Castellanos (missed pen.)
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.33%
West
31.21%
X
30.45%
Charlton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlton) 30.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
2.87
0.47
-2.4
Charlton
1.21
0.39
-0.82
xG dominance was balanced (0.47 – 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
West Ham West Ham 4-4-1-1
1 M. Hermansen M. Hermansen 50' G 6.90
30 O. Scarles O. Scarles 50' D 6.70
3 M. Kilman M. Kilman 50' D 6.90
15 K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos 50' D 7.00
2 K. Walker-Peters K. Walker-Peters 50' D 6.20
10 M. Solomon M. Solomon 50' M 6.20
17 M. Kanté M. Kanté 45' M 6.70
7 A. Engels A. Engels 50' M 6.60
20 J. Bowen J. Bowen 50' M 7.00
9 J. Piroe J. Piroe 1 ⚽ 50' F 6.50
11 V. Castellanos V. Castellanos 50' F 6.30
Bench
23 A. Areola A. Areola G
58 A. Golambeckis A. Golambeckis D
14 D. Mukasa D. Mukasa M
63 Ezra Mayers Ezra Mayers D
66 J. Ajala J. Ajala F
34 J. Veltman J. Veltman D
8 J. Ward-Prowse J. Ward-Prowse M
21 K. Lamadrid K. Lamadrid M
61 L. Orford L. Orford 5' M
Charlton Charlton 4-2-3-1
13 A. Okonkwo A. Okonkwo 50' G 6.90
17 A. Bell A. Bell 50' D 6.30
12 Billy Dawson Koumetio Billy Dawson Koumetio 50' D 6.50
5 L. Jones L. Jones 1 ⚽ 50' D 7.60
20 D. McNamara D. McNamara 50' D 7.20
15 N. Chalobah N. Chalobah 50' M 6.20
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry 50' M 6.90
7 Tyreece Anthony  Tupac Shakur Campbell Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell 50' M 6.30
14 S. Carey S. Carey 1 👟 50' M 6.90
9 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 50' M 6.30
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn 50' F 6.90
Bench
32 A. Mwamba A. Mwamba D
28 Collins Sichenje Collins Sichenje D
8 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs M
18 I. Mesík I. Mesík D
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello M
19 M. Alli M. Alli F
33 Micah Mbick Micah Mbick F
30 R. Apter R. Apter M
21 T. Brooks T. Brooks G
Best on the pitch
L. Jones
L. Jones
D · Charlton
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
D. McNamara
D. McNamara
D · Charlton
7.20
· 17 pass
K. Mavropanos
K. Mavropanos
D · West
7.00
· 76 pass
J. Bowen
J. Bowen
M · West
7.00
1 shots · 22 pass
M. Leaburn
M. Leaburn
F · Charlton
6.90
1 shots · 8 pass
S. Carey
S. Carey
M · Charlton
6.90
1 👟
2 shots · 7 pass
West Ham West Ham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Hermansen G 50 6.90 — — — 12 12% — — —
O. Scarles D 50 6.70 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
M. Kilman D 50 6.90 — — — 61 61% — 1 —
K. Mavropanos D 50 7.00 — — — 76 72% 1 — —
K. Walker-Peters D 50 6.20 — — — 34 32% 1 — —
M. Solomon M 50 6.20 — — — 26 24% — — —
M. Kanté M 45 6.70 — — 1 52 48% 2 — —
A. Engels M 50 6.60 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
J. Bowen M 50 7.00 — — 1 22 19% — — —
J. Piroe F 50 6.50 1 — 1 16 11% — — —
V. Castellanos F 50 6.30 — — 2 4 3% 2 — —
L. Orford M 5 — — — — 7 6% — — —
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Okonkwo G 50 6.90 — — — 13 8% — — —
A. Bell D 50 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Billy Dawson Koumetio D 50 6.50 — — — 17 11% — — —
L. Jones D 50 7.60 1 — 2 16 14% — — —
D. McNamara D 50 7.20 — — — 17 15% — — —
N. Chalobah M 50 6.20 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
C. Coventry M 50 6.90 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell M 50 6.30 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
S. Carey M 50 6.90 — 1 2 7 7% — — —
K. Ahearne-Grant M 50 6.30 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
M. Leaburn F 50 6.90 — — 1 8 2% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Ham vs Charlton?
The final score was West Ham 1–2 Charlton.
What did the model predict before West Ham vs Charlton?
The model assigned 38% probability to a West Ham win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Charlton win.