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West Ham - Fulham

EFL Cup September 15, 2026 20:45 London Stadium, London
West Ham
vs
Fulham
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 19.4°C 💨 16 km/h · London
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.33%
Win
West Ham
19.08%
Draw
21.59%
Win
Fulham
4.28
Expected xG
2.07
Most likely outcome
West Ham
59.33%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (6.73%)
1X2 Result
1 59%
X 19%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 41%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 75%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives West Ham a 59% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Fulham. Expected goals are 4.3 for West Ham and 2.1 for Fulham (total 6.4), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.73% probability. In 2 previous meetings, West Ham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fulham.

Season Stats

West Ham
2W 0D 1L
Fulham
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.6
1.7
Conceded
0.6
6.3
Shots OT
5.4
2.7
Corners
6.8
45%
Poss.
66%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
40%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
West Ham
1W 0D 0L · at home
Fulham
0W 1D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ West Ham Fulham →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
3 2.3% 4.7% 4.9% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
4 2.4% 5.1% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
5 2.1% 4.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%

Recent form

West Ham West Ham
W Southampton 1–4
W Portsmouth 3–1
L Wolves 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Fulham Fulham
W AFC Wimbledon 3–0
L Newcastle 2–1
D Wycombe 1–1
W Cambridge United 1–0
W Bristol City 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

West Ham West Ham
Attack
60
Defence
69
Form
72
Fulham Fulham
Attack
41
Defence
63
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
West Ham
0
Draw
1
Fulham
4 Mar 2026 Premier League 1–0
27 Dec 2025 Premier League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win West Ham vs Fulham?
The model gives West Ham a 59% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 21% for an Fulham win.
How many goals are expected in West Ham vs Fulham?
Expected goals: West Ham 4.3, Fulham 2.1 (total 6.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in West Ham vs Fulham?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.73%.