T. Castellanos
(ast. J. Bowen)
67'
J. Bowen
(ast. M. Fernandes)
79'
C. Wilson
(ast. C. Summerville)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 40% win probability (draw 25%, West Ham 34%). The final result was West Ham 3–0 Leeds. In 2 previous meetings, West Ham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Leeds.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
2.03
Actual xG
1.57
3
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
12
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
J. Bijol
25'
B. Aaronson
Pablo
/ C. Wilson
46'
⚽T. Castellanos
· ast. J. Bowen
67'
69'
W. Gnonto
/
D. Calvert-Lewin
70'
D. James
/
J. Bijol
78'
F. Buonanotte
/
J. Bogle
78'
J. Piroe
/
A. Tanaka
⚽J. Bowen
· ast. M. Fernandes
79'
88'
E. Ampadu
T. Castellanos
/ M. Kante
88'
90'+1
S. Bornauw
/
B. Aaronson
⚽C. Wilson
· ast. C. Summerville
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
34.66%
West ←
25.09%
X
40.25%
Leeds
we assigned to the actual result (West Ham)
34.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
2.03
+0.89
1.40
1.57
+0.17
West Ham dominated by xG (2.03 vs 1.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Hermansen
G
M. Hermansen
G
12
E. Diouf
D
E. Diouf
D
4
A. Disasi
D
A. Disasi
D
15
K. Mavropanos
D
K. Mavropanos
D
2
K. Walker-Peters
D
K. Walker-Peters
D
18
Mateus Fernandes
1 👟
M
Mateus Fernandes
1 👟
M
28
T. Souček
M
T. Souček
M
7
C. Summerville
1 👟
M
C. Summerville
1 👟
M
19
Pablo
45'
M
Pablo
45'
M
20
J. Bowen
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
J. Bowen
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
11
V. Castellanos
1 ⚽
88'
F
V. Castellanos
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
23
A. Areola
G
A. Areola
G
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
9
C. Wilson
1 ⚽
48'
F
C. Wilson
1 ⚽
48'
F
32
F. Potts
M
F. Potts
M
21
K. Lamadrid
M
K. Lamadrid
M
55
M. Kanté
5'
M
M. Kanté
5'
M
3
M. Kilman
D
M. Kilman
D
30
O. Scarles
D
O. Scarles
D
27
S. Magassa
M
S. Magassa
M
26
K. Darlow
G
K. Darlow
G
5
P. Struijk
D
P. Struijk
D
15
J. Bijol
70'
D
J. Bijol
70'
D
6
Joe Rodon
D
Joe Rodon
D
24
J. Justin
M
J. Justin
M
22
A. Tanaka
78'
M
A. Tanaka
78'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
11
B. Aaronson
M
B. Aaronson
M
2
J. Bogle
78'
M
J. Bogle
78'
M
14
L. Nmecha
F
L. Nmecha
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
69'
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
69'
F
Bench
51
Alfie Cresswell
M
Alfie Cresswell
M
7
D. James
23'
M
D. James
23'
M
40
F. Buonanotte
15'
M
F. Buonanotte
15'
M
10
J. Piroe
15'
F
J. Piroe
15'
F
1
Lucas Perri
G
Lucas Perri
G
47
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
23
S. Bornauw
2'
D
S. Bornauw
2'
D
25
S. Byram
D
S. Byram
D
29
W. Gnonto
24'
F
W. Gnonto
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Mateus Fernandes
M · West
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Bowen
M · West
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
K. Darlow
G · Leeds
7.70
· 38 pass
V. Castellanos
F · West
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
K. Mavropanos
D · West
7.50
· 37 pass
L. Nmecha
F · Leeds
7.30
1 shots
· 26 pass
West Ham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hermansen | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Diouf | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Disasi | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| K. Mavropanos | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Walker-Peters | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Souček | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| C. Summerville | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Bowen | M | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Castellanos | F | 88 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Wilson | F | 48 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Kanté | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Darlow | G | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Struijk | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bijol | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Justin | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Aaronson | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Bogle | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. James | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Buonanotte | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Piroe | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bornauw | D | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Gnonto | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Ham vs Leeds?
The final score was West Ham 3–0 Leeds.
What did the model predict before West Ham vs Leeds?
The model assigned 34% probability to a West Ham win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an Leeds win.