T. Castellanos
(ast. J. Bowen)
67'
J. Bowen
(ast. M. Fernandes)
79'
C. Wilson
(ast. C. Summerville)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 40% win probability (draw 25%, West Ham 34%). The final result was West Ham 3–0 Leeds. In 2 previous meetings, West Ham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Leeds.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
2.03
Actual xG
1.57
3
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
12
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
J. Bijol
25'
B. Aaronson
Pablo
/ C. Wilson
46'
⚽T. Castellanos
· ast. J. Bowen
67'
69'
W. Gnonto
/
D. Calvert-Lewin
70'
D. James
/
J. Bijol
78'
F. Buonanotte
/
J. Bogle
78'
J. Piroe
/
A. Tanaka
⚽J. Bowen
· ast. M. Fernandes
79'
88'
E. Ampadu
T. Castellanos
/ M. Kante
88'
90'+1
S. Bornauw
/
B. Aaronson
⚽C. Wilson
· ast. C. Summerville
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
34.66%
West ←
25.09%
X
40.25%
Leeds
we assigned to the actual result (West Ham)
34.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
2.03
+0.89
1.40
1.57
+0.17
West Ham dominated by xG (2.03 vs 1.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mads Hermansen
G
Mads Hermansen
G
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
D
El Hadji Malick Diouf
D
4
Axel Disasi
D
Axel Disasi
D
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
D
Konstantinos Mavropanos
D
2
K. Walker-Peters
D
K. Walker-Peters
D
18
Mateus Fernandes
1 👟
M
Mateus Fernandes
1 👟
M
28
Tomáš Souček
M
Tomáš Souček
M
7
C. Summerville
1 👟
M
C. Summerville
1 👟
M
19
Pablo
45'
M
Pablo
45'
M
20
J. Bowen
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
J. Bowen
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
11
Valentín Castellanos
1 ⚽
88'
F
Valentín Castellanos
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
29
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
23
Alphonse Aréola
G
Alphonse Aréola
G
9
Callum Wilson
1 ⚽
48'
F
Callum Wilson
1 ⚽
48'
F
32
F. Potts
M
F. Potts
M
21
Keiber Lamadrid
M
Keiber Lamadrid
M
3
Max Kilman
D
Max Kilman
D
55
Mohamadou Kanté
5'
M
Mohamadou Kanté
5'
M
30
Oliver Scarles
D
Oliver Scarles
D
27
Soungoutou Magassa
M
Soungoutou Magassa
M
26
Karl Darlow
G
Karl Darlow
G
5
Pascal Struijk
D
Pascal Struijk
D
15
Jaka Bijol
70'
D
Jaka Bijol
70'
D
6
Joe Rodon
D
Joe Rodon
D
24
James Justin
M
James Justin
M
22
A. Tanaka
78'
M
A. Tanaka
78'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
11
B. Aaronson
M
B. Aaronson
M
2
J. Bogle
78'
M
J. Bogle
78'
M
14
L. Nmecha
F
L. Nmecha
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
69'
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
69'
F
Bench
51
Alfie Cresswell
M
Alfie Cresswell
M
7
Daniel James
23'
M
Daniel James
23'
M
40
Facundo Buonanotte
15'
M
Facundo Buonanotte
15'
M
10
Joël Piroe
15'
F
Joël Piroe
15'
F
1
Lucas Perri
G
Lucas Perri
G
47
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
25
Sam Byram
D
Sam Byram
D
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
2'
D
Sebastiaan Bornauw
2'
D
29
Wilfried Gnonto
24'
F
Wilfried Gnonto
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Mateus Fernandes
M · West
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Bowen
M · West
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Karl Darlow
G · Leeds
7.70
· 38 pass
Valentín Castellanos
F · West
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
Konstantinos Mavropanos
D · West
7.50
· 37 pass
L. Nmecha
F · Leeds
7.30
1 shots
· 26 pass
West Ham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Hermansen | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 6% | — | — | — |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Axel Disasi | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Walker-Peters | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Tomáš Souček | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| C. Summerville | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Bowen | M | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Valentín Castellanos | F | 88 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Callum Wilson | F | 48 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mohamadou Kanté | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | G | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Pascal Struijk | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| James Justin | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Aaronson | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Bogle | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daniel James | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Buonanotte | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joël Piroe | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Ham vs Leeds?
The final score was West Ham 3–0 Leeds.
What did the model predict before West Ham vs Leeds?
The model assigned 34% probability to a West Ham win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an Leeds win.