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Championship · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 16:00 London Stadium, London
West Ham
#3 · 22 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Southampton
#6 · 20 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction West Ham, result Southampton wins
Kyle Walker-Peters (ast. Divine Mukasa) 24'
Tomáš Souček (ast. Taty Castellanos) 90'+3
2' Kuryu Matsuki
11' James Bree
34' Lewis Dobbin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Ham a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Southampton 20%). The final result was West Ham 2–3 Southampton. In 1 previous meetings, West Ham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.

Match statistics
28
Total shots
15
10
Shots on target
7
1.60
Actual xG
1.61
4
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
14
Corners
6
11
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
Kuryu Matsuki⚽
11'
James Bree⚽
Manor Solomon
18'
⚽Kyle Walker-Peters · ast. Divine Mukasa
24'
34'
Lewis Dobbin⚽
↕ Felipe Morato / Ollie Scarles
45'
51'
Caspar Jander
↕ Manor Solomon / Tomáš Souček
63'
↕ Divine Mukasa / Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
63'
64'
Samuel Edozie / Léo Scienza ↕
73'
Welington / Kuryu Matsuki ↕
↕ Kyle Walker-Peters / Edvin Austbö
74'
↕ Mohamadou Kante / Joel Piroe
74'
78'
Lewis Dobbin
89'
Divin Mubama / Lewis Dobbin ↕
⚽Tomáš Souček · ast. Taty Castellanos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
56.76%
West
22.28%
X
20.95%
Southampton ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 20.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
West
2.45
1.60
-0.85
Southampton
1.10
1.61
+0.51
xG dominance was balanced (1.60 – 1.61). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
West Ham West Ham 4-4-2
1 M. Hermansen M. Hermansen G 6.43
5 Morato Morato 45' D 5.92
3 M. Kilman M. Kilman D 6.95
15 K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos D 7.03
2 K. Walker-Peters K. Walker-Peters 1 ⚽ 74' D 6.92
10 M. Solomon M. Solomon 63' M 6.36
7 A. Engels A. Engels M 6.64
14 D. Mukasa D. Mukasa 1 👟 63' M 7.59
20 J. Bowen J. Bowen M 7.20
17 M. Kanté M. Kanté 74' F 6.03
11 V. Castellanos V. Castellanos 1 👟 F 7.55
Bench
23 A. Areola A. Areola G 0.00
58 A. Golambeckis A. Golambeckis D 0.00
35 E. Austbö E. Austbö 16' F 6.34
63 Ezra Mayers Ezra Mayers D 0.00
9 J. Piroe J. Piroe 16' F 6.22
61 L. Orford L. Orford M 0.00
30 O. Scarles O. Scarles 45' D 6.16
19 Pablo Pablo 27' F 6.78
28 T. Souček T. Souček 1 ⚽ 27' M 6.78
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Peretz Daniel Peretz G 8.58
3 R. Manning R. Manning D 6.01
13 K. Schlotterbeck K. Schlotterbeck D 6.62
5 J. Stephens J. Stephens D 6.36
14 J. Bree J. Bree 1 ⚽ D 7.05
8 C. Jander C. Jander M 6.89
30 J. Ward-Prowse J. Ward-Prowse M 6.45
7 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza 64' M 6.20
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz M 6.13
27 K. Matsuki K. Matsuki 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.06
11 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.94
Bench
26 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg M 0.00
28 D. Mubama D. Mubama 1' F 6.47
25 G. Long G. Long G 0.00
2 M. Roerslev M. Roerslev D 0.00
15 N. Wood-Gordon N. Wood-Gordon D 0.00
23 S. Edozie S. Edozie 26' M 5.99
18 T. Fellows T. Fellows M 0.00
34 Welington Welington 17' D 6.07
6 Z. Abbott Z. Abbott D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Daniel Peretz
Daniel Peretz
G · Southampton
8.58
· 54 pass
L. Dobbin
L. Dobbin
F · Southampton
7.94
1 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
D. Mukasa
D. Mukasa
M · West
7.59
1 👟
5 shots · 36 pass
V. Castellanos
V. Castellanos
F · West
7.55
1 👟
4 shots · 13 pass
J. Bowen
J. Bowen
M · West
7.20
4 shots · 24 pass
K. Matsuki
K. Matsuki
M · Southampton
7.06
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
West Ham West Ham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Hermansen G 90 6.43 — — 0 31 23% 0 — —
Morato D 45 5.92 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
M. Kilman D 90 6.95 — — 2 68 64% 3 — —
K. Mavropanos D 90 7.03 — — 4 63 57% 1 — —
K. Walker-Peters D 74 6.92 1 — 1 34 28% 0 — —
M. Solomon M 63 6.36 — — 1 25 22% 0 1 —
A. Engels M 90 6.64 — — 2 63 54% 1 — —
D. Mukasa M 63 7.59 — 1 5 36 33% 1 — —
J. Bowen M 90 7.20 — — 4 24 18% 1 — —
M. Kanté F 74 6.03 — — 2 27 21% 0 — —
V. Castellanos F 90 7.55 — 1 4 13 10% 0 — —
E. Austbö F 16 6.34 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
J. Piroe F 16 6.22 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
O. Scarles D 45 6.16 — — 0 25 21% 3 — —
Pablo F 27 6.78 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
T. Souček M 27 6.78 1 — 2 14 12% 0 — —
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Peretz G 90 8.58 — — 0 54 40% 0 — —
R. Manning D 90 6.01 — — 0 32 20% 0 — —
K. Schlotterbeck D 90 6.62 — — 1 44 40% 2 — —
J. Stephens D 90 6.36 — — 0 49 43% 0 — —
J. Bree D 90 7.05 1 — 1 34 27% 1 — —
C. Jander M 90 6.89 — — 0 21 20% 1 1 —
J. Ward-Prowse M 90 6.45 — — 1 53 47% 1 — —
Léo Scienza M 64 6.20 — — 3 19 11% 0 — —
F. Azaz M 90 6.13 — — 2 22 16% 3 — —
K. Matsuki M 73 7.06 1 — 3 23 17% 0 — —
L. Dobbin F 89 7.94 1 — 4 14 13% 1 1 —
D. Mubama F 1 6.47 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
S. Edozie M 26 5.99 — — 0 5 3% 1 — —
Welington D 17 6.07 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of West Ham vs Southampton?
The final score was West Ham 2–3 Southampton.
What did the model predict before West Ham vs Southampton?
The model assigned 56% probability to a West Ham win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Southampton win.