Skip to main content
← FA Cup

Weymouth - SE Dons

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.76%
Win
Weymouth
31.5%
Draw
34.73%
Win
SE Dons
1.97
Expected xG
2.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.95%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 66%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives SE Dons a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Weymouth. Expected goals are 2.0 for Weymouth and 2.2 for SE Dons (total 4.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.95% probability.

Season Stats

Weymouth
2W 0D 1L
SE Dons
2W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.5
1.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Weymouth SE Dons →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 3.4% 3.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
1 3.1% 6.8% 7.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

W Swindon Supermarine 1–3
W Bath City 0–2
L Tadley Calleva 4–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
W Chichester City 2–3
W Erith Town 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Weymouth Weymouth
Attack
47
Defence
75
Form
59
SE Dons SE Dons
Attack
63
Defence
74
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Weymouth vs SE Dons?
The model gives Weymouth a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an SE Dons win.
How many goals are expected in Weymouth vs SE Dons?
Expected goals: Weymouth 2.0, SE Dons 2.2 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Weymouth vs SE Dons?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.95%.