Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 4
August 15, 2026 20:15
S. Kapuadi
(ast. J. Shehu)
8'
22'
(ast. W. Dlugosz)
M. Fassbender
26'
(ast. M. Pieczek)
M. Fassbender
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Widzew Łódź a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Korona Kielce 30%). The final result was Widzew Łódź 1–2 Korona Kielce. In 2 previous meetings, Widzew Łódź have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Korona Kielce.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
6
2.31
Actual xG
2.09
62%
Possession
38%
15
Corners
4
Match Events
⚽S. Kapuadi
· ast. J. Shehu
8'
22'
ast. W. Dlugosz ·
M. Fassbender⚽
26'
ast. M. Pieczek ·
M. Fassbender⚽
S. Bergier
26'
J. Gazibegovic
/ M. Krajewski
44'
M. Fornalczyk
/ A. Baena Perez
46'
64'
Nono
/
M. Remacle
E. Kornvig
/ S. Akere
71'
79'
H. Zwozny
/
S. Davidovic
79'
D. Bak
/
M. Stepinski
F. Alvarez
/ L. Selahi
84'
M. Garcia
/ Paulinho Boia
84'
84'
W. Dlugosz
89'
A. Mosor
/
M. Fassbender
89'
N. Barczak
/
W. Dlugosz
Paulinho Boia
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.79%
Widzew
31.78%
X
30.43%
Korona ←
we assigned to the actual result (Korona Kielce)
30.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
2.31
+0.54
0.79
2.09
+1.3
xG dominance was balanced (2.31 – 2.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
The final score was Widzew Łódź 1–2 Korona Kielce.
What did the model predict before Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Widzew Łódź win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Korona Kielce win.