Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Raków Częstochowa — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — October 16, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11 October 16, 2026 18:00

Wieczysta Kraków

#16 · 8 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Raków Częstochowa

#18 · 6 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Wieczysta Kraków, result Raków Częstochowa wins

Lisandro Semedo (ast. Efthymios Koulouris) 69'

(pen.) 79' Lamine Diaby Fadiga

88' (ast. Patryk Makuch) Lamine Diaby Fadiga

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wieczysta Kraków a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Raków Częstochowa 20%). The final result was Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Raków Częstochowa.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.57

Actual xG

2.87

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

32'

Bogdan Racovitan

56'

Stratos Svarnas

↕ José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido / Lisandro Semedo

59'

62'

Lamine Diaby Fadiga / Isak Brusberg ↕

62'

Jean Carlos / Tomasz Pienko ↕

Duje Dujmovic

63'

Antonio Milic

65'

Kamil Pestka

67'

⚽Lisandro Semedo · ast. Efthymios Koulouris

69'

76'

79'

(pen.) Lamine Diaby Fadiga⚽

↕ Kamil Pestka / Matúš Vojtko

79'

↕ Efthymios Koulouris / Christophe Lungoyi

79'

87'

Adam Basse / Mahir Emreli ↕

↕ Lucas Piazón / Bartosz Bialek

87'

↕ Karol Fila / Kamil Dankowski

87'

88'

ast. Patryk Makuch · Lamine Diaby Fadiga⚽

90'+1

Nils Zätterström / Erick Otieno ↕

90'+1

Arvid Brorsson / Patryk Makuch ↕

Pre-match prediction

57.74%

Wieczysta

21.68%

20.58%

Raków ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Raków Częstochowa) 20.58% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Wieczysta

2.54

1.57

-0.97

Raków

0.92

2.87

+1.95

Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	6

Lineups

Wieczysta Kraków 3-4-3

M. Kochalski G 8.79

D. Dujmović D 6.40

A. Milić D 6.28

A. Đermanović D 6.76

K. Pestka 79' M 6.47

M. Maigaard M 6.37

T. Christensen M 6.87

K. Fila 87' M 6.69

Lucas Piazón 87' F 6.73

E. Koulouris 1 👟 79' F 7.06

José de la Rosa 59' F 6.57

Bench

A. Mikułko G 0.00

B. Białek 3' F 6.06

B. Lederman M 0.00

C. Lungoyi 11' F 6.00

K. Dankowski 3' D 6.29

K. Zagrodzki D 0.00

Lisandro Semedo 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.48

Miki Villar M 0.00

M. Vojtko 11' D 6.49

N. Knežević M 0.00

P. Pušić M 0.00

T. Mras M 0.00

Raków Częstochowa 4-4-1-1

K. Trelowski G 6.60

E. Otieno 89' D 7.69

S. Svarnas D 6.40

B. Racovițan D 6.70

F. Tudor D 6.78

T. Pieńko 62' M 6.48

O. Repka M 6.63

K. Struski M 7.07

M. Emreli 87' M 6.46

I. Brusberg 62' M 6.26

P. Makuch 1 👟 89' F 7.70

Bench

A. Brorsson 1' D 0.00

Adam Basse 3' F 6.92

B. Mirčetić M 0.00

Jean Carlos 28' M 6.24

J. Napieraj D 0.00

L. Diaby-Fadiga 2 ⚽ 28' M 8.20

M. Perović M 0.00

N. Zätterström 1' D 0.00

O. Kwiatkowski M 0.00

T. Karić G 0.00

V. Kochergin M 0.00

W. Å»oÅneczko G 0.00

Best on the pitch

M. Kochalski

G · Wieczysta

8.79

· 36 pass

L. Diaby-Fadiga

M · Raków

8.20

2 ⚽

6 shots · 9 pass

P. Makuch

F · Raków

7.70

1 👟

1 shots · 25 pass

E. Otieno

D · Raków

7.69

1 shots · 39 pass

Lisandro Semedo

F · Wieczysta

7.48

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

K. Struski

M · Raków

7.07

2 shots · 48 pass

Wieczysta Kraków — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Kochalski	G	90	8.79	—	—	0	36	29%	0	—	—
D. Dujmović	D	90	6.40	—	—	0	53	46%	0	1	—
A. Milić	D	90	6.28	—	—	3	63	60%	0	1	—
A. Đermanović	D	90	6.76	—	—	0	61	57%	2	—	—
K. Pestka	M	79	6.47	—	—	0	36	34%	0	1	—
M. Maigaard	M	90	6.37	—	—	3	67	56%	1	—	—
T. Christensen	M	90	6.87	—	—	2	53	42%	0	—	—
K. Fila	M	87	6.69	—	—	0	61	54%	3	—	—
Lucas Piazón	F	87	6.73	—	—	1	35	31%	1	—	—
E. Koulouris	F	79	7.06	—	1	3	23	17%	1	—	—
José de la Rosa	F	59	6.57	—	—	1	19	16%	0	—	—
B. Białek	F	3	6.06	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
C. Lungoyi	F	11	6.00	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
K. Dankowski	D	3	6.29	—	—	0	4	1%	0	—	—
Lisandro Semedo	F	31	7.48	1	—	1	11	9%	0	—	—
M. Vojtko	D	11	6.49	—	—	0	4	2%	1	—	—

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Trelowski	G	90	6.60	—	—	0	26	17%	0	—	—
E. Otieno	D	89	7.69	—	—	1	39	37%	3	—	—
S. Svarnas	D	90	6.40	—	—	0	65	57%	0	1	—
B. Racovițan	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	54	49%	0	1	—
F. Tudor	D	90	6.78	—	—	0	66	57%	0	—	—
T. Pieńko	M	62	6.48	—	—	4	31	20%	0	—	—
O. Repka	M	90	6.63	—	—	3	53	44%	1	—	—
K. Struski	M	90	7.07	—	—	2	48	43%	1	—	—
M. Emreli	M	87	6.46	—	—	2	36	29%	0	—	—
I. Brusberg	M	62	6.26	—	—	2	19	17%	0	—	—
P. Makuch	F	89	7.70	—	1	1	25	17%	1	—	—
A. Brorsson	D	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
Adam Basse	F	3	6.92	—	—	1	2	2%	0	—	—
Jean Carlos	M	28	6.24	—	—	0	8	6%	0	—	—
L. Diaby-Fadiga	M	28	8.20	2	—	6	9	7%	1	—	—
N. Zätterström	D	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

The final score was Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Raków Częstochowa.

What did the model predict before Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

The model assigned 57% probability to a Wieczysta Kraków win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Raków Częstochowa win.