The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mansfield Town a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Wigan 27%). The final result was Wigan 0–0 Mansfield Town. In 2 previous meetings, Wigan have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mansfield Town.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
1.59
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
12
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Scott Hogan
/ Christian Saydee
39'
44'
Elliott Hewitt
45'
George Maris
/
Jonathan Russell
45'
Frazer Blake-Tracy
/
Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh
49'
Ryan Sweeney
Max Power
/ Jon Mellish
66'
K'Marni Miller
/ Fraser Murray
66'
67'
Regan·Hendry
/
Elliott Hewitt
73'
Luke Bolton
/
Kyle Knoyle
76'
Luke Bolton
Reggie Walsh
/ A. Higgins
84'
Connor Barrett
/ Ryan Trevitt
84'
90'+1
Frazer Blake-Tracy
Pre-match prediction
27.65%
Wigan
27.29%
X ←
45.05%
Mansfield
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
1.59
+0.98
1.25
1.22
-0.03
Wigan dominated by xG (1.59 vs 1.22).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
J. Whitworth
G
5
F. Burns
D
23
J. Carragher
D
6
J. Weir
D
21
K'Marni Miller
66'
M
18
Charlie Gray
M
8
M. Power
66'
M
2
C. Barrett
84'
M
10
R. Walsh
84'
M
27
B. Burrows
M
25
S. Hogan
39'
F
S. Hogan
39'
F
Bench
17
A. Higgins
6'
F
38
C. Saydee
51'
F
7
F. Murray
24'
M
22
J. Mellish
24'
D
1
J. Walsh
G
3
M. Fox
D
14
R. Trevitt
6'
M
1
L. Roberts
G
5
R. Sweeney
D
23
A. Oshilaja
D
A. Oshilaja
D
2
K. Knoyle
73'
D
25
L. Reed
M
9
J. Bowery
M
4
E. Hewitt
67'
M
13
J. Russell
45'
M
22
N. Moriah-Welsh
45'
M
18
R. Oates
F
14
M. Smith
F
Bench
20
F. Blake-Tracy
45'
D
10
G. Maris
45'
M
8
L. Bolton
17'
D
39
O. Dodgson
D
28
O. Taylor
M
24
R. Hendry
23'
M
3
S. McLaughlin
D
Best on the pitch
F. Burns
D · Wigan
7.32
· 43 pass
J. Bowery
M · Mansfield
7.20
· 35 pass
A. Oshilaja
D · Mansfield
7.18
1 shots
· 70 pass
L. Roberts
G · Mansfield
7.02
· 35 pass
J. Carragher
D · Wigan
7.01
· 57 pass
N. Moriah-Welsh
M · Mansfield
6.90
· 22 pass
Wigan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Burns | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carragher | D | 90 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Weir | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| K'Marni Miller | M | 66 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Charlie Gray | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Power | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Barrett | M | 84 | 6.09 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Walsh | M | 84 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Burrows | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 6 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hogan | F | 39 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Higgins | F | 6 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Saydee | F | 51 | 6.87 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Murray | M | 24 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mellish | D | 24 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Trevitt | M | 6 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Mansfield Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts | G | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Sweeney | D | 90 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Oshilaja | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Knoyle | D | 73 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Reed | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bowery | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Hewitt | M | 67 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Russell | M | 45 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Moriah-Welsh | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Oates | F | 90 | 5.91 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Smith | F | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Blake-Tracy | D | 45 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Maris | M | 45 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Bolton | D | 17 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Hendry | M | 23 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
The final score was Wigan 0–0 Mansfield Town.
What did the model predict before Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Wigan win, 27% to a draw, and 45% to an Mansfield Town win.