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League One · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 16:00 The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan
Wigan
#24 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Reading
#6 · 21 pts
Scott Hogan 71'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Reading a 47% win probability (draw 29%, Wigan 23%). The final result was Wigan 1–0 Reading. In 2 previous meetings, Wigan have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Reading.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
6
1.20
Actual xG
2.01
7
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
5
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
Andy Rinomhota
Charlie Gray
52'
↕ Reggie Walsh / Christian Saydee
67'
⚽Scott Hogan
71'
James Carragher
74'
74'
Haydon Roberts
77'
Jacob Brown / Jamie Reid ↕
77'
Charlie Savage / Andy Rinomhota ↕
↕ Bradley Burrowes / Jon Mellish
78'
↕ Scott Hogan / Sonny Tufail Perkins
78'
82'
Randell Williams / Haydon Roberts ↕
↕ Connor Barrett / Fraser Murray
85'
Pre-match prediction
23.81%
Wigan ←
29.04%
X
47.14%
Reading
we assigned to the actual result (Wigan) 23.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wigan
0.58
1.20
+0.62
Reading
1.59
2.01
+0.42
Reading dominated by xG (2.01 vs 1.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Wigan Wigan 3-4-2-1
41 J. Whitworth J. Whitworth G 8.64
5 F. Burns F. Burns D 7.18
23 J. Carragher J. Carragher D 6.75
4 J. Chilokoa-Mullen J. Chilokoa-Mullen D 6.82
16
Archie Harris M 6.93
6 J. Weir J. Weir M 6.59
18 Charlie Gray Charlie Gray M 6.54
2 C. Barrett C. Barrett 85' M 6.31
27 B. Burrows B. Burrows 78' M 7.13
10 R. Walsh R. Walsh 67' M 6.39
25 S. Hogan S. Hogan 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.75
Bench
38 C. Saydee C. Saydee 23' F 6.72
19 C. Sze C. Sze F 0.00
7 F. Murray F. Murray 5' M 6.19
22 J. Mellish J. Mellish 12' D 6.51
1 J. Walsh J. Walsh G 0.00
21 K'Marni Miller K'Marni Miller D 0.00
9 S. Perkins S. Perkins 12' F 6.92
Reading Reading 4-1-3-2
1 Joel Pereira Joel Pereira G 6.67
5 H. Roberts H. Roberts 82' D 6.13
3 J. Dorsett J. Dorsett D 5.91
15 P. O'Connor P. O'Connor D 6.56
2 U. Godwin-Malife U. Godwin-Malife D 6.93
4 A. Rinomhota A. Rinomhota 77' M 6.02
32 P. Lane P. Lane M 5.70
10 L. Wing L. Wing M 7.20
19 Kyreece Lisbie Kyreece Lisbie M 6.44
9 J. Reid J. Reid 77' F 6.21
28 J. Stokes J. Stokes F 6.55
Bench
8 C. Savage C. Savage 13' M 6.27
11 D. Kyerewaa D. Kyerewaa M 0.00
18 J. Brown J. Brown 13' F 6.32
20 J. Knight J. Knight D 0.00
25 J. Stevens J. Stevens G 0.00
6 L. Fraser L. Fraser M 0.00
14 R. Williams R. Williams 8' M 6.61
Best on the pitch
J. Whitworth
J. Whitworth
G · Wigan
8.64
· 48 pass
S. Hogan
S. Hogan
F · Wigan
7.75
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
L. Wing
L. Wing
M · Reading
7.20
3 shots · 54 pass
F. Burns
F. Burns
D · Wigan
7.18
· 70 pass
B. Burrows
B. Burrows
M · Wigan
7.13
5 shots · 16 pass
Archie Harris
M · Wigan
6.93
· 38 pass
Wigan Wigan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Whitworth G 90 8.64 — — 0 48 33% 0 — —
F. Burns D 90 7.18 — — 0 70 64% 2 — —
J. Carragher D 90 6.75 — — 0 71 68% 1 1 —
J. Chilokoa-Mullen D 90 6.82 — — 1 56 44% 2 — —
Archie Harris M 90 6.93 — — 0 38 34% 1 — —
J. Weir M 90 6.59 — — 3 49 39% 1 — —
Charlie Gray M 90 6.54 — — 1 42 37% 1 1 —
C. Barrett M 85 6.31 — — 1 13 9% 0 — —
B. Burrows M 78 7.13 — — 5 16 15% 2 — —
R. Walsh M 67 6.39 — — 1 32 27% 0 — —
S. Hogan F 78 7.75 1 — 1 9 7% 0 — —
C. Saydee F 23 6.72 — — 0 5 3% 1 — —
F. Murray M 5 6.19 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
J. Mellish D 12 6.51 — — 0 1 0% 1 — —
S. Perkins F 12 6.92 — — 0 6 6% 2 — —
Reading Reading — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Pereira G 90 6.67 — — 0 38 33% 0 — —
H. Roberts D 82 6.13 — — 1 24 17% 1 1 —
J. Dorsett D 90 5.91 — — 1 54 44% 0 — —
P. O'Connor D 90 6.56 — — 1 68 54% 1 — —
U. Godwin-Malife D 90 6.93 — — 0 37 32% 1 — —
A. Rinomhota M 77 6.02 — — 1 18 15% 3 1 —
P. Lane M 90 5.70 — — 2 21 11% 4 — —
L. Wing M 90 7.20 — — 3 54 45% 1 — —
Kyreece Lisbie M 90 6.44 — — 3 5 5% 1 — —
J. Reid F 77 6.21 — — 2 3 3% 0 — —
J. Stokes F 90 6.55 — — 3 25 18% 1 — —
C. Savage M 13 6.27 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
J. Brown F 13 6.32 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
R. Williams M 8 6.61 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wigan vs Reading?
The final score was Wigan 1–0 Reading.
What did the model predict before Wigan vs Reading?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Wigan win, 29% to a draw, and 47% to an Reading win.