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Willem II - Almere City FC

Eerste Divisie May 16, 2026 20:00
Willem II
#3 · 68 pts
vs
Almere City FC
#5 · 58 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 11.9°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 47% · Tilburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.39%
Win
Willem II
32.08%
Draw
22.53%
Win
Almere City FC
1.15
Expected xG
0.71

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Willem II a 45% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Almere City FC. Expected goals are 1.2 for Willem II and 0.7 for Almere City FC (total 1.9), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.0% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Willem II have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Almere City FC.

Score Matrix
↕ Willem II Almere City FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6% 11.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 18.0% 12.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 10.3% 7.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 4.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Willem II Willem II
W Almere City FC 0–1
D Waalwijk 1–1
W Dordrecht 1–2
W Jong AZ 3–0
W Almere City FC 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
Almere City FC Almere City FC
L Willem II 0–1
D De Graafschap 2–2
L VVV Venlo 3–1
W Dordrecht 4–1
L Willem II 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Willem II Willem II
Attack
38
Defence
81
Form
66
Almere City FC Almere City FC
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
3
Willem II
0
Draw
0
Almere City FC
W 13 May 2026 Eerste Divisie 1–0
W 12 Apr 2026 Eerste Divisie 2–1
W 22 Aug 2025 Eerste Divisie 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 38 89
2 Cambuur Cambuur 38 78
3 Willem II Willem II 38 68
4 De Graafschap De Graafschap 38 63
5 Almere City FC Almere City FC 38 58
6 Waalwijk Waalwijk 38 58
7 Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 38 56
8 Roda Roda 38 55
9 Den Bosch Den Bosch 38 51
10 Dordrecht Dordrecht 38 47
11 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 38 47
12 Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 38 46
13 VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 38 45
14 Emmen Emmen 38 45
15 Vitesse Vitesse 38 44
16 FC OSS FC OSS 38 44
17 Jong AZ Jong AZ 38 40
18 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 38 39
19 MVV MVV 38 38
20 Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 38 35
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Willem II vs Almere City FC?
The model gives Willem II a 45% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 22% for an Almere City FC win.
How many goals are expected in Willem II vs Almere City FC?
Expected goals: Willem II 1.2, Almere City FC 0.7 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Willem II vs Almere City FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.0%.