Willem II 1–6 Cambuur — pre-match prediction — Eredivisie — October 24, 2026

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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 18:45 Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Willem II

#18 · 2 pts

1 – 6

Final score

Cambuur

#10 · 12 pts

Anass Zarrouk (ast. Devin Haen) 82'

9' (ast. Morgan Costarelli) Nicolas Binder

13' (ast. Morgan Costarelli) Ilyes Hamache

18' (ast. Rafik El Arguioui) Ismaël Baouf

58' (ast. Ilyes Hamache) Nicolas Binder

62' Rafik El Arguioui

89' (ast. Wiebe Kooistra) Jason Ceka

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cambuur a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Willem II 25%). The final result was Willem II 1–6 Cambuur. In 2 previous meetings, Willem II have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cambuur.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.08

Actual xG

1.94

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. Morgan Costarelli · Nicolas Binder⚽

13'

ast. Morgan Costarelli · Ilyes Hamache⚽

18'

ast. Rafik El Arguioui · Ismaël Baouf⚽

19'

Jaden Slory

45'+2

↕ Tonny Vilhena / Anass Zarrouk

45'

↕ Maxim Dekker / Thomas Verheydt

45'

↕ Vito van Crooy / Armin Culum

45'

Hidde ter Avest

53'

58'

ast. Ilyes Hamache · Nicolas Binder⚽

62'

Rafik El Arguioui⚽

65'

Iwan Henstra / Mathieu Maertens ↕

65'

Lucas Jetten / Morgan Costarelli ↕

65'

Jorn Berkhout / Billy van Duijl ↕

↕ Jaden Slory / Mats Lemmens

68'

72'

Wiebe Kooistra / Rik Mulders ↕

77'

Skye Vink / Nicolas Binder ↕

⚽Anass Zarrouk · ast. Devin Haen

82'

89'

ast. Wiebe Kooistra · Jason Ceka⚽

Pre-match prediction

25.06%

Willem

27.07%

47.87%

Cambuur ←

we assigned to the actual result (Cambuur) 47.87% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Willem

0.63

1.08

+0.45

Cambuur

1.63

1.94

+0.31

Cambuur dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	24
2	Ajax	10	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	20
4	Twente	10	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	18
7	Heerenveen	10	15
8	Groningen	10	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	14
10	Cambuur	10	12
11	Utrecht	10	12
12	NEC Nijmegen	10	11
13	Excelsior	10	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	8
16	Telstar	10	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	6
18	Willem II	10	2

Lineups

Willem II 4-2-3-1

T. Didillon G 6.80

Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 5.68

M. Dekker 45' D 5.56

Finn Stam D 5.94

Hidde ter Avest D 5.21

Tonny Vilhena 45' M 5.93

Calvin Twigt M 6.40

Vito van Crooij 45' M 6.03

Uriel van Aalst M 6.91

Jaden Slory 68' M 5.75

Devin Haen 1 👟 F 6.57

Bench

Alessandro Ciranni D 0.00

Amine Et-Taïbi D 0.00

Anass Zarrouk 1 ⚽ 45' M 6.61

Armin Ćulum 45' F 6.68

Chido Obi-Martin F 0.00

Eser Gürbüz F 0.00

Jari Schuurman M 0.00

Karst de Leeuw G 0.00

Kasper Boogaard M 0.00

Mats Lemmens 22' D 5.54

Maxime Delanghe G 0.00

Thomas Verheydt 45' F 6.53

Cambuur 4-2-3-1

T. Jansen G 6.22

M. Costarelli 2 👟 65' D 8.44

B. van Duijl 65' D 6.23

I. Baouf 1 ⚽ D 7.70

R. Mulders 72' D 6.74

N. Souren M 6.38

M. Maertens 65' M 6.33

I. Hamache 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.54

R. El Arguioui 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.77

J. Çeka 1 ⚽ M 8.10

N. Binder 2 ⚽ 77' F 8.98

Bench

B. Vogelzang D 0.00

Ethan Apkakou M 0.00

F. Kvam F 0.00

Iwan Henstra 25' F 6.37

J. Berkhout 25' D 6.46

L. Jetten 25' D 7.05

L. Plogmann G 0.00

M. Kalisvaart G 0.00

S. Bouhoudane F 0.00

S. Vink 13' F 6.47

Wiebe van der Heide M 0.00

W. Kooistra 1 👟 18' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

N. Binder

F · Cambuur

8.98

2 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

R. El Arguioui

M · Cambuur

8.77

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 25 pass

I. Hamache

M · Cambuur

8.54

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 15 pass

M. Costarelli

D · Cambuur

8.44

2 👟

· 25 pass

J. Çeka

M · Cambuur

8.10

1 ⚽

3 shots · 23 pass

I. Baouf

D · Cambuur

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 33 pass

Willem II — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Didillon	G	90	6.80	—	—	0	41	25%	0	—	—
Nathan Tjoe-A-On	D	90	5.68	—	—	0	35	25%	1	—	—
M. Dekker	D	45	5.56	—	—	1	14	8%	0	—	—
Finn Stam	D	90	5.94	—	—	0	52	40%	3	—	—
Hidde ter Avest	D	90	5.21	—	—	2	45	37%	1	1	—
Tonny Vilhena	M	45	5.93	—	—	0	8	6%	1	—	—
Calvin Twigt	M	90	6.40	—	—	1	49	35%	4	—	—
Vito van Crooij	M	45	6.03	—	—	1	9	5%	1	—	—
Uriel van Aalst	M	90	6.91	—	—	2	28	24%	1	—	—
Jaden Slory	M	68	5.75	—	—	1	9	4%	3	1	—
Devin Haen	F	90	6.57	—	1	1	19	13%	0	—	—
Anass Zarrouk	M	45	6.61	1	—	1	15	13%	2	—	—
Armin Ćulum	F	45	6.68	—	—	0	12	8%	3	—	—
Mats Lemmens	D	22	5.54	—	—	0	19	18%	1	—	—
Thomas Verheydt	F	45	6.53	—	—	1	17	11%	1	—	—

Cambuur — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Jansen	G	90	6.22	—	—	0	62	30%	0	—	—
M. Costarelli	D	65	8.44	—	2	0	25	19%	3	—	—
B. van Duijl	D	65	6.23	—	—	0	49	34%	1	—	—
I. Baouf	D	90	7.70	1	—	1	33	28%	1	—	—
R. Mulders	D	72	6.74	—	—	0	24	17%	2	—	—
N. Souren	M	90	6.38	—	—	1	46	35%	1	—	—
M. Maertens	M	65	6.33	—	—	3	19	14%	0	—	—
I. Hamache	M	90	8.54	1	1	3	15	10%	0	—	—
R. El Arguioui	M	90	8.77	1	1	5	25	19%	1	—	—
J. Çeka	M	90	8.10	1	—	3	23	19%	1	—	—
N. Binder	F	77	8.98	2	—	3	19	13%	0	—	—
Iwan Henstra	F	25	6.37	—	—	0	6	4%	1	—	—
J. Berkhout	D	25	6.46	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—
L. Jetten	D	25	7.05	—	—	0	9	7%	0	—	—
S. Vink	F	13	6.47	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
W. Kooistra	F	18	6.70	—	1	0	7	5%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Willem II vs Cambuur?

The final score was Willem II 1–6 Cambuur.

What did the model predict before Willem II vs Cambuur?

The model assigned 25% probability to a Willem II win, 27% to a draw, and 47% to an Cambuur win.