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Willem II - Excelsior

KNVB Beker December 01, 2026 12:14 Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Willem II
vs
Excelsior
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.15%
Win
Willem II
23.79%
Draw
32.07%
Win
Excelsior
2.07
Expected xG
1.65

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.71%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 24%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 56%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Willem II a 44% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Excelsior. Expected goals are 2.1 for Willem II and 1.6 for Excelsior (total 3.7), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.71% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Willem II have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Season Stats

Willem II
2W 0D 1L
Excelsior
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
1.5
2.7
Conceded
0.5
4.0
Shots OT
5.0
1.0
Corners
1.0
59%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Willem II
1W 0D 1L · at home
Excelsior
1W 0D 1L · away
4.0
gls/g
1.5
2.5
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Willem II Excelsior →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 4.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.0% 8.3% 6.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Willem II Willem II
W Helmond Sport 3–4
L Sparta Rotterdam 1–5
W Dordrecht 7–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Excelsior Excelsior
W MVV 0–3
L Excelsior Maassluis 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Willem II Willem II
Attack
32
Defence
35
Form
33
Excelsior Excelsior
Attack
28
Defence
38
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Willem II
0
Draw
1
Excelsior
5 Sep 2026 Eredivisie 0–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Willem II vs Excelsior?
The model gives Willem II a 44% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 32% for an Excelsior win.
How many goals are expected in Willem II vs Excelsior?
Expected goals: Willem II 2.1, Excelsior 1.6 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Willem II vs Excelsior?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.71%.