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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4 August 30, 2026 14:30 Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Willem II
#18 · 2 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Heerenveen
#7 · 15 pts
U. van Aalst (ast. N. Tjoe a On) 61'
D. Haen (ast. C. Twigt) 82'
64' (ast. D. Vente) J. Trenskow
77' (ast. L. Smans) O. Braude
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Willem II 31%). The final result was Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
1.70
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
7
19
Tackles
8
Match Events
↕ J. Hoogma / M. Lemmens
46'
⚽U. van Aalst · ast. N. Tjoe a On
61'
↕ E. Gurbuz / P. van Loon
62'
64'
ast. D. Vente · J. Trenskow⚽
69'
L. Brouwers / N. Courtens ↕
69'
L. Smans / R. Meerveld ↕
77'
ast. L. Smans · O. Braude⚽
⚽D. Haen · ast. C. Twigt
82'
↕ N. Tjoe a On / A. Ciranni
85'
↕ C. Twigt / A. Et Taibi
85'
85'
L. Oyen / M. Rivera ↕
↕ K. Boogaard / T. Verheydt
87'
Pre-match prediction
31.62%
Willem
31.17%
X ←
37.22%
Heerenveen
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Willem
1.09
1.70
+0.61
Heerenveen
1.79
1.35
-0.44
Willem II dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Willem II Willem II 4-2-3-1
31 Karst de Leeuw Karst de Leeuw G 6.70
24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On Nathan Tjoe-A-On 1 👟 85' D 7.30
4 Justin Hoogma Justin Hoogma 45' D 6.60
3 Finn Stam Finn Stam D 6.50
5 Hidde ter Avest Hidde ter Avest D 6.90
6 Calvin Twigt Calvin Twigt 1 👟 85' M 7.50
8 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard 87' M 6.60
7 Jaden Slory Jaden Slory M 6.30
19 Uriel van Aalst Uriel van Aalst 1 ⚽ M 7.30
50 Eser Gürbüz Eser Gürbüz 62' M 6.20
9 Devin Haen Devin Haen 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
2 Alessandro Ciranni Alessandro Ciranni 9' D 6.70
15 Amine Et-Taïbi Amine Et-Taïbi 9' D 6.70
40 Divano Fernandez Iglesias Divano Fernandez Iglesias M
14 Jens Mathijsen Jens Mathijsen D
48 Julian van Esdonk Julian van Esdonk M
83 Mats Lemmens Mats Lemmens 45' D 6.70
22 Per van Loon Per van Loon 28' M 6.50
28 Thomas Verheydt Thomas Verheydt 3' F
41 Tygo Kotte Tygo Kotte G
21 Wouter Van der Steen Wouter Van der Steen G
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-4-2
22 B. Klaverboer B. Klaverboer G 7.60
19 V. Zagaritis V. Zagaritis D 6.50
3 M. Willemsen M. Willemsen D 6.90
4 S. Kersten S. Kersten D 6.50
45 O. Braude O. Braude 1 ⚽ D 8.20
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 85' M 5.90
6 D. Proper D. Proper M 6.60
36 N. Courtens N. Courtens 69' M 6.30
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow 1 ⚽ M 8.50
10 R. Meerveld R. Meerveld 69' F 6.60
9 D. Vente D. Vente 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
44 A. Noppert A. Noppert G
23 D. Bladi D. Bladi D
28 H. Petrov H. Petrov D
41 J. Scholten J. Scholten D
47 Kirayno Schaken Kirayno Schaken F
8
L. Brouwers 21' M 6.30
29 L. Machine L. Machine F
11 L. Oyen L. Oyen 9' F 6.70
14 L. Smans L. Smans 1 👟 21' M 6.90
17 N. Hopland N. Hopland D
30 T. Schreuder T. Schreuder G
Best on the pitch
J. Trenskow
J. Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
O. Braude
O. Braude
D · Heerenveen
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
Devin Haen
Devin Haen
F · Willem
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
B. Klaverboer
B. Klaverboer
G · Heerenveen
7.60
· 43 pass
Calvin Twigt
Calvin Twigt
M · Willem
7.50
1 👟
· 48 pass
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
D · Willem
7.30
1 👟
· 24 pass
Willem II Willem II — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Karst de Leeuw G 90 6.70 — — — 38 19% — — —
Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 85 7.30 — 1 — 24 17% 3 — —
Justin Hoogma D 45 6.60 — — — 36 30% — — —
Finn Stam D 90 6.50 — — — 37 32% — — —
Hidde ter Avest D 90 6.90 — — 1 29 23% 4 — —
Calvin Twigt M 85 7.50 — 1 — 48 38% 2 — —
Kasper Boogaard M 87 6.60 — — 1 24 19% 3 — —
Jaden Slory M 90 6.30 — — 3 14 12% 2 — —
Uriel van Aalst M 90 7.30 1 — 2 13 11% 1 — —
Eser Gürbüz M 62 6.20 — — 1 16 13% 2 — —
Devin Haen F 90 7.90 1 — 2 16 11% 1 — —
Alessandro Ciranni D 9 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Amine Et-Taïbi D 9 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Mats Lemmens D 45 6.70 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Per van Loon M 28 6.50 — — — 7 5% — — —
Thomas Verheydt F 3 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Klaverboer G 90 7.60 — — — 43 36% 1 — —
V. Zagaritis D 90 6.50 — — — 61 52% — — —
M. Willemsen D 90 6.90 — — — 95 88% — — —
S. Kersten D 90 6.50 — — — 71 65% 1 — —
O. Braude D 90 8.20 1 — 3 63 52% 1 — —
M. Rivera M 85 5.90 — — 2 21 15% — — —
D. Proper M 90 6.60 — — — 50 47% 1 — —
N. Courtens M 69 6.30 — — 1 23 21% — — —
J. Trenskow M 90 8.50 1 — 2 36 32% 2 — —
R. Meerveld F 69 6.60 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
D. Vente F 90 6.30 — 1 — 17 12% — — —
L. Brouwers M 21 6.30 — — 2 11 11% — — —
L. Oyen F 9 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
L. Smans M 21 6.90 — 1 — 4 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Willem II vs Heerenveen?
The final score was Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen.
What did the model predict before Willem II vs Heerenveen?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Willem II win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Heerenveen win.