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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4 August 30, 2026 14:30 Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Willem II
#16 · 2 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Heerenveen
#12 · 5 pts
U. van Aalst (ast. N. Tjoe a On) 61'
D. Haen (ast. C. Twigt) 82'
64' (ast. D. Vente) J. Trenskow
77' (ast. L. Smans) O. Braude
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Willem II 31%). The final result was Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
1.70
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
7
19
Tackles
8
Match Events
↕ J. Hoogma / M. Lemmens
46'
⚽U. van Aalst · ast. N. Tjoe a On
61'
↕ E. Gurbuz / P. van Loon
62'
64'
ast. D. Vente · J. Trenskow⚽
69'
L. Brouwers / N. Courtens ↕
69'
L. Smans / R. Meerveld ↕
77'
ast. L. Smans · O. Braude⚽
⚽D. Haen · ast. C. Twigt
82'
↕ N. Tjoe a On / A. Ciranni
85'
↕ C. Twigt / A. Et Taibi
85'
85'
L. Oyen / M. Rivera ↕
↕ K. Boogaard / T. Verheydt
87'
Pre-match prediction
31.62%
Willem
31.17%
X ←
37.22%
Heerenveen
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Willem
1.09
1.70
+0.61
Heerenveen
1.79
1.35
-0.44
Willem II dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Willem II Willem II 4-2-3-1
31 K. de Leeuw K. de Leeuw G 6.70
24 N. Tjoe-A-On N. Tjoe-A-On 1 👟 85' D 7.30
4 Justin Hoogma Justin Hoogma 45' D 6.60
3 F. Stam F. Stam D 6.50
5 H. ter Avest H. ter Avest D 6.90
6 C. Twigt C. Twigt 1 👟 85' M 7.50
8 K. Boogaard K. Boogaard 87' M 6.60
7 J. Slory J. Slory M 6.30
19 Uriel van Aalst Uriel van Aalst 1 ⚽ M 7.30
50 E. Gürbüz E. Gürbüz 62' M 6.20
9 D. Haen D. Haen 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
2 A. Ciranni A. Ciranni 9' D 6.70
15 A. Et-Taïbi A. Et-Taïbi 9' D 6.70
40 Divano Fernandez Iglesias Divano Fernandez Iglesias M
14 Jens Mathijsen Jens Mathijsen D
48 Julian van Esdonk Julian van Esdonk M
83 M. Lemmens M. Lemmens 45' D 6.70
22 Per van Loon Per van Loon 28' M 6.50
28 T. Verheydt T. Verheydt 3' F
41 Tygo Kotte Tygo Kotte G
21 W. van der Steen W. van der Steen G
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-4-2
22 B. Klaverboer B. Klaverboer G 7.60
19 V. Zagaritis V. Zagaritis D 6.50
3 M. Willemsen M. Willemsen D 6.90
4 S. Kersten S. Kersten D 6.50
45 O. Braude O. Braude 1 ⚽ D 8.20
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 85' M 5.90
6 D. Proper D. Proper M 6.60
36 N. Courtens N. Courtens 69' M 6.30
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow 1 ⚽ M 8.50
10 R. Meerveld R. Meerveld 69' F 6.60
9 D. Vente D. Vente 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
44 A. Noppert A. Noppert G
23 D. Bladi D. Bladi D
28 H. Petrov H. Petrov D
41 J. Scholten J. Scholten D
47 Kirayno Schaken Kirayno Schaken F
29 L. Machine L. Machine F
11 L. Oyen L. Oyen 9' F 6.70
14 L. Smans L. Smans 1 👟 21' M 6.90
8
Luuk Brouwers 21' M 6.30
17 N. Hopland N. Hopland D
30 T. Schreuder T. Schreuder G
Best on the pitch
J. Trenskow
J. Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
O. Braude
O. Braude
D · Heerenveen
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
D. Haen
D. Haen
F · Willem
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
B. Klaverboer
B. Klaverboer
G · Heerenveen
7.60
· 43 pass
C. Twigt
C. Twigt
M · Willem
7.50
1 👟
· 48 pass
N. Tjoe-A-On
N. Tjoe-A-On
D · Willem
7.30
1 👟
· 24 pass
Willem II Willem II — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. de Leeuw G 90 6.70 — — — 38 19% — — —
N. Tjoe-A-On D 85 7.30 — 1 — 24 17% 3 — —
Justin Hoogma D 45 6.60 — — — 36 30% — — —
F. Stam D 90 6.50 — — — 37 32% — — —
H. ter Avest D 90 6.90 — — 1 29 23% 4 — —
C. Twigt M 85 7.50 — 1 — 48 38% 2 — —
K. Boogaard M 87 6.60 — — 1 24 19% 3 — —
J. Slory M 90 6.30 — — 3 14 12% 2 — —
Uriel van Aalst M 90 7.30 1 — 2 13 11% 1 — —
E. Gürbüz M 62 6.20 — — 1 16 13% 2 — —
D. Haen F 90 7.90 1 — 2 16 11% 1 — —
A. Ciranni D 9 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
A. Et-Taïbi D 9 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
M. Lemmens D 45 6.70 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Per van Loon M 28 6.50 — — — 7 5% — — —
T. Verheydt F 3 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Klaverboer G 90 7.60 — — — 43 36% 1 — —
V. Zagaritis D 90 6.50 — — — 61 52% — — —
M. Willemsen D 90 6.90 — — — 95 88% — — —
S. Kersten D 90 6.50 — — — 71 65% 1 — —
O. Braude D 90 8.20 1 — 3 63 52% 1 — —
M. Rivera M 85 5.90 — — 2 21 15% — — —
D. Proper M 90 6.60 — — — 50 47% 1 — —
N. Courtens M 69 6.30 — — 1 23 21% — — —
J. Trenskow M 90 8.50 1 — 2 36 32% 2 — —
R. Meerveld F 69 6.60 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
D. Vente F 90 6.30 — 1 — 17 12% — — —
L. Oyen F 9 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
L. Smans M 21 6.90 — 1 — 4 4% 1 — —
Luuk Brouwers M 21 6.30 — — 2 11 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Willem II vs Heerenveen?
The final score was Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen.
What did the model predict before Willem II vs Heerenveen?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Willem II win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Heerenveen win.