T. Verheydt
(ast. H. ter Avest)
77'
45'+2
(ast. C. Bischoff)
A. Tahaui
54'
T. Chery
64'
B. Linssen
67'
(ast. T. Chery)
K. Sierhuis
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Willem II 30%). The final result was Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
9
1.48
Actual xG
2.66
5
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
1
Corners
1
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
N. Tjoe a On
16'
45'+2
ast. C. Bischoff ·
A. Tahaui⚽
54'
T. Chery⚽
64'
B. Linssen⚽
65'
N. Lebreton
/
D. Nejasmic
66'
K. Sierhuis
/
B. Linssen
66'
E. Mor
/
C. Bischoff
67'
ast. T. Chery ·
K. Sierhuis⚽
N. Tjoe a On
/ H. ter Avest
69'
E. Gurbuz
/ T. Verheydt
69'
A. Ciranni
/ M. Lemmens
69'
76'
A. Kabar
/
D. Fonville
⚽T. Verheydt
· ast. H. ter Avest
77'
89'
B. Nuytinck
/
A. Tahaui
K. Boogaard
/ D. Iglesias
89'
Pre-match prediction
30.42%
Willem
30.74%
X
38.84%
NEC ←
we assigned to the actual result (NEC Nijmegen)
38.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.68
1.48
+0.8
1.06
2.66
+1.6
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Karst de Leeuw
88'
G
Karst de Leeuw
88'
G
24
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
69'
D
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
69'
D
4
Justin Hoogma
88'
D
Justin Hoogma
88'
D
3
Finn Stam
88'
D
Finn Stam
88'
D
22
Per van Loon
88'
D
Per van Loon
88'
D
7
Jaden Slory
88'
M
Jaden Slory
88'
M
8
Kasper Boogaard
88'
M
Kasper Boogaard
88'
M
2
Alessandro Ciranni
69'
M
Alessandro Ciranni
69'
M
50
Eser Gürbüz
69'
M
Eser Gürbüz
69'
M
19
Uriel van Aalst
88'
F
Uriel van Aalst
88'
F
9
Devin Haen
88'
F
Devin Haen
88'
F
Bench
15
Amine Et-Taïbi
D
Amine Et-Taïbi
D
40
Divano Fernandez Iglesias
M
Divano Fernandez Iglesias
M
5
Hidde ter Avest
1 👟
19'
D
Hidde ter Avest
1 👟
19'
D
49
Ismael Mouhoul
M
Ismael Mouhoul
M
14
Jens Mathijsen
D
Jens Mathijsen
D
48
Julian van Esdonk
M
Julian van Esdonk
M
44
L. Maal
F
83
Mats Lemmens
19'
D
Mats Lemmens
19'
D
28
Thomas Verheydt
1 ⚽
19'
F
Thomas Verheydt
1 ⚽
19'
F
41
Tygo Kotte
G
Tygo Kotte
G
21
Wouter Van der Steen
G
Wouter Van der Steen
G
1
G. Crettaz
88'
G
G. Crettaz
88'
G
24
Deveron Fonville
76'
D
Deveron Fonville
76'
D
21
T. Storm
88'
D
T. Storm
88'
D
2
B. Pereira
88'
D
B. Pereira
88'
D
99
Clement Bischoff
1 👟
66'
M
Clement Bischoff
1 👟
66'
M
35
Jamiro Monteiro
88'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
88'
M
6
D. Nejašmić
65'
M
D. Nejašmić
65'
M
19
Adam Tahaui
1 ⚽
88'
M
Adam Tahaui
1 ⚽
88'
M
10
D. Tadić
88'
F
D. Tadić
88'
F
9
T. Chery
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
T. Chery
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
30
B. Linssen
1 ⚽
66'
F
B. Linssen
1 ⚽
66'
F
Bench
66
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
12'
D
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
12'
D
17
B. Nuytinck
D
B. Nuytinck
D
7
E. Mor
22'
F
E. Mor
22'
F
36
Freek Entius
G
Freek Entius
G
73
Gabriel Brás
D
Gabriel Brás
D
8
I. Hansen-Aarøen
M
I. Hansen-Aarøen
M
34
Kevin Kers
F
Kevin Kers
F
14
K. Sierhuis
1 ⚽
22'
F
K. Sierhuis
1 ⚽
22'
F
20
N. Lebreton
23'
M
N. Lebreton
23'
M
12
N. Polster
G
N. Polster
G
5
T. Ouwejan
D
T. Ouwejan
D
11
W. Willumsson
M
W. Willumsson
M
Best on the pitch
T. Chery
F · NEC
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 47 pass
D. Nejašmić
M · NEC
7.70
2 shots
· 62 pass
Clement Bischoff
M · NEC
7.70
1 👟
· 28 pass
Thomas Verheydt
F · Willem
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Adam Tahaui
M · NEC
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 39 pass
K. Sierhuis
F · NEC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
Willem II — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karst de Leeuw | G | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Tjoe-A-On | D | 69 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Justin Hoogma | D | 88 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Stam | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Per van Loon | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Jaden Slory | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Kasper Boogaard | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Alessandro Ciranni | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Eser Gürbüz | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Uriel van Aalst | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Devin Haen | F | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Hidde ter Avest | D | 19 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 4 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Mats Lemmens | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Verheydt | F | 19 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz | G | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Storm | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Pereira | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 65 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Adam Tahaui | M | 88 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tadić | F | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chery | F | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 66 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mor | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 22 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
The final score was Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen.
What did the model predict before Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Willem II win, 30% to a draw, and 38% to an NEC Nijmegen win.