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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 20:15 Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow
Wisla Krakow
#5 · 21 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Raków Częstochowa
#18 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Wisla Krakow
Julius Ertlthaler (ast. Julian Lelieveld) 53'
Kacper Duda (ast. Alan Uryga) 90'+10
(pen.) 84' Lamine Diaby Fadiga
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wisla Krakow a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Raków Częstochowa 20%). The final result was Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
2.02
1
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
1
Corners
4
18
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
45'
Karol Struski / Fran Tudor ↕
45'
Mahir Emreli / Tomasz Pienko ↕
⚽Julius Ertlthaler · ast. Julian Lelieveld
53'
63'
Vladyslav Kochergin / Marko Bulat ↕
63'
Jakub Jendryka / Jean Carlos ↕
↕ Julian Lelieveld / Marko Bozic
66'
↕ Frederico Duarte / Thody Elie Youan
66'
↕ James Igbekeme / Víctor Meseguer
66'
72'
81'
Jerzy Napieraj
82'
84'
(pen.) Lamine Diaby Fadiga⚽
84'
Lamine Diaby Fadiga
90'+4
Nils Zätterström / Erick Otieno ↕
⚽Kacper Duda · ast. Alan Uryga
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
57.32%
Wisla ←
22.2%
X
20.48%
Raków
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Wisla Krakow) 57.32% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wisla
2.24
1.09
-1.15
Raków
0.94
2.02
+1.08
Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (2.02 vs 1.09). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 4-4-1-1
1 M. Łubik M. Łubik G 6.26
52 J. Krzyżanowski J. Krzyżanowski D 6.84
29 D. Grujčić D. Grujčić D 6.64
6 A. Uryga A. Uryga 1 👟 D 6.63
34 R. Giger R. Giger D 7.20
2 J. Lelieveld J. Lelieveld 1 👟 66' M 6.76
12 J. Igbekeme J. Igbekeme 66' M 6.43
41 K. Duda K. Duda 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 Frederico Duarte Frederico Duarte 66' M 6.24
7 J. Ertlthaler J. Ertlthaler 1 ⚽ M 8.08
9 Ángel Rodado Ángel Rodado F 6.29
Bench
93 B. Neugebauer B. Neugebauer G 0.00
27 É. Youan É. Youan 24' F 6.47
8 Marc Carbó Marc Carbó M 0.00
17 M. Božić M. Božić 24' M 6.41
13 M. Maisonneuve M. Maisonneuve D 0.00
4 R. Mikulec R. Mikulec D 0.00
23 Víctor Meseguer Víctor Meseguer 24' M 6.53
97 W. Biedrzycki W. Biedrzycki D 0.00
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski K. Trelowski G 7.09
4 S. Svarnas S. Svarnas D 6.88
25 B. Racovițan B. Racovițan D 7.04
7 F. Tudor F. Tudor 45' D 6.61
26 E. Otieno E. Otieno 89' M 6.45
5 M. Bulat M. Bulat 63' M 5.96
6 O. Repka O. Repka M 6.29
20 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 63' M 6.27
21 T. Pieńko T. Pieńko 45' F 6.43
9 P. Makuch P. Makuch F 6.56
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga L. Diaby-Fadiga 1 ⚽ F 6.65
Bench
3 A. Brorsson A. Brorsson D 0.00
99 Adam Basse Adam Basse F 0.00
39 I. Brusberg I. Brusberg F 0.00
17 J. Jendryka J. Jendryka 27' M 6.04
2 J. Napieraj J. Napieraj D 0.00
23 K. Struski K. Struski 45' M 6.09
11 M. Emreli M. Emreli 45' F 6.67
19 N. Zätterström N. Zätterström 1' D 0.00
15 O. Kwiatkowski O. Kwiatkowski M 0.00
71 T. Karić T. Karić G 0.00
10 V. Kochergin V. Kochergin 27' M 6.81
29 W. Żołneczko W. Żołneczko G 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Duda
K. Duda
M · Wisla
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 59 pass
J. Ertlthaler
J. Ertlthaler
M · Wisla
8.08
1 ⚽
3 shots · 43 pass
R. Giger
R. Giger
D · Wisla
7.20
· 63 pass
K. Trelowski
K. Trelowski
G · Raków
7.09
· 31 pass
B. Racovițan
B. Racovițan
D · Raków
7.04
2 shots · 44 pass
S. Svarnas
S. Svarnas
D · Raków
6.88
· 48 pass
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Łubik G 90 6.26 — — 0 56 41% 0 — —
J. Krzyżanowski D 90 6.84 — — 2 37 26% 5 — —
D. Grujčić D 90 6.64 — — 1 48 39% 1 — —
A. Uryga D 90 6.63 — 1 0 78 63% 1 — —
R. Giger D 90 7.20 — — 0 63 59% 3 — —
J. Lelieveld M 66 6.76 — 1 1 21 13% 3 — —
J. Igbekeme M 66 6.43 — — 0 46 40% 2 — —
K. Duda M 90 8.20 1 — 2 59 53% 0 — —
Frederico Duarte M 66 6.24 — — 2 39 32% 1 — —
J. Ertlthaler M 90 8.08 1 — 3 43 36% 0 — —
Ángel Rodado F 90 6.29 — — 2 20 15% 0 — —
É. Youan F 24 6.47 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
M. Božić M 24 6.41 — — 0 7 7% 1 — —
Víctor Meseguer M 24 6.53 — — 0 11 10% 1 — —
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Trelowski G 90 7.09 — — 0 31 19% 0 — —
S. Svarnas D 90 6.88 — — 0 48 44% 3 — —
B. Racovițan D 90 7.04 — — 2 44 41% 2 — —
F. Tudor D 45 6.61 — — 1 37 30% 2 — —
E. Otieno M 89 6.45 — — 0 33 26% 0 — —
M. Bulat M 63 5.96 — — 1 29 20% 2 — —
O. Repka M 90 6.29 — — 0 42 36% 0 — —
Jean Carlos M 63 6.27 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
T. Pieńko F 45 6.43 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
P. Makuch F 90 6.56 — — 2 14 9% 2 — —
L. Diaby-Fadiga F 90 6.65 1 — 3 13 10% 1 1 —
J. Jendryka M 27 6.04 — — 0 11 8% 1 — —
K. Struski M 45 6.09 — — 0 16 13% 1 — —
M. Emreli F 45 6.67 — — 3 14 12% 4 — —
N. Zätterström D 1 0.00 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
V. Kochergin M 27 6.81 — — 0 11 10% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
The final score was Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa.
What did the model predict before Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Wisla Krakow win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Raków Częstochowa win.