Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 26
April 11, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Ried, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 68% win probability (draw 6%, Wolfsberger AC 24%). The final result was Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried. In 3 previous meetings, Wolfsberger AC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ried.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.44
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
5
12
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Renner
/ D. Djuric
19'
44'
M. Rasner
46'
J. Mayer
/
M. Rasner
50'
J. Boguo
/
A. van Wyk
D. Avdijaj
/ E. Kojzek
57'
J. Ngankam
/ D. Atanga
57'
M. Sulzner
/ E. Kujovic
57'
61'
P. Pomer
67'
J. Nasrawe
/
N. Bajlicz
D. Zukic
/ F. Wohlmuth
80'
Pre-match prediction
24.96%
Wolfsberger
6.8%
X ←
68.24%
Ried
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
6.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.82
+0.26
3.67
1.44
-2.23
Ried dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
N. Polster
G
37
N. Wimmer
D
15
D
22
D. Baumgartner
D
77
R. Renner
19'
M
R. Renner
19'
M
8
S. Piesinger
M
30
M. Sulzner
57'
M
7
A. Gattermayer
M
10
D. Avdijaj
57'
F
D. Avdijaj
57'
F
24
J. Ngankam
57'
F
20
D. Zukić
80'
F
D. Zukić
80'
F
Bench
2
Boris Matić
M
Boris Matić
M
34
E. Agyeman
M
9
E. Kojzek
33'
F
31
F. Wohlmuth
10'
D
1
A. Leitner
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
23
D
5
N. Havenaar
D
17
P. Pomer
M
8
M. Rasner
45'
M
12
A. Bajić
M
A. Bajić
M
29
A. van Wyk
50'
F
6
Y. Maart
M
28
N. Bajlicz
67'
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
K. Mutandwa
F
Bench
47
E. E. Aisowieren
M
15
J. Boguo
40'
F
26
J. Mayer
45'
M
19
J. Nasrawe
23'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Polster
G · Wolfsberger
8.20
· 30 pass
Y. Maart
M · Ried
7.90
· 74 pass
N. Havenaar
D · Ried
7.90
· 59 pass
D. Baumgartner
D · Wolfsberger
7.60
1 shots
· 32 pass
A. Leitner
G · Ried
7.30
· 34 pass
N. Bajlicz
F · Ried
7.20
· 39 pass
Wolfsberger AC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Polster | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| N. Wimmer | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| D. Baumgartner | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Renner | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Piesinger | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Sulzner | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gattermayer | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Avdijaj | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ngankam | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Zukić | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kojzek | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Wohlmuth | D | 10 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| N. Havenaar | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Pomer | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Rasner | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bajić | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. van Wyk | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | F | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Boguo | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mayer | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Ried?
The final score was Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried.
What did the model predict before Wolfsberger AC vs Ried?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Wolfsberger AC win, 6% to a draw, and 68% to an Ried win.