← Bundesliga
#2 · 25 pts
0 – 0
Final score
#1 · 28 pts
Model wrong — prediction Ried, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 68% win probability (draw 6%, Wolfsberger AC 24%). The final result was Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried. In 3 previous meetings, Wolfsberger AC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ried.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.44
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
5
12
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Renner / D. Djuric
19'
44'
M. Rasner
46'
J. Mayer / M. Rasner
50'
J. Boguo / A. van Wyk
D. Avdijaj / E. Kojzek
57'
J. Ngankam / D. Atanga
57'
M. Sulzner / E. Kujovic
57'
61'
P. Pomer
67'
J. Nasrawe / N. Bajlicz
D. Zukic / F. Wohlmuth
80'
Pre-match prediction
24.96%
Wolfsberger
6.8%
X ←
68.24%
Ried
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 6.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wolfsberger
0.56
0.82
+0.26
Ried
3.67
1.44
-2.23
Ried dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 31 36
1 Ried Ried 31 28
2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 31 25
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 34
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 31 29
3 SCR Altach SCR Altach 31 24
4 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 31 24
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 31 29
5 Grazer AK Grazer AK 31 24
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 31 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 22
6 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 31 21
Lineups
12
N. Polster G 8.20
37
N. Wimmer D 6.90
15
D 6.70
22
D. Baumgartner D 7.60
77 R. Renner R. Renner 19' M 6.70
8
S. Piesinger M 6.70
30
M. Sulzner 57' M 6.90
7
A. Gattermayer M 7.00
10 D. Avdijaj D. Avdijaj 57' F 6.30
24
J. Ngankam 57' F 6.90
20 D. Zukić D. Zukić 80' F 6.90
Bench
2 Boris Matić Boris Matić M
34
E. Agyeman M
9
E. Kojzek 33' F 6.30
31
F. Wohlmuth 10' D 7.00
Ried Ried 3-3-3-1
1
A. Leitner G 7.30
30
Oliver Steurer D 6.30
23
D 6.60
5
N. Havenaar D 7.90
17
P. Pomer M 6.60
8
M. Rasner 45' M 6.20
12 A. Bajić A. Bajić M 6.90
29
A. van Wyk 50' F 6.90
6
Y. Maart M 7.90
28
N. Bajlicz 67' F 7.20
7 K. Mutandwa K. Mutandwa F 6.90
Bench
47
E. E. Aisowieren M
15
J. Boguo 40' F 6.30
26
J. Mayer 45' M 6.90
19
J. Nasrawe 23' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
N. Polster
G · Wolfsberger
8.20
· 30 pass
Y. Maart
M · Ried
7.90
· 74 pass
N. Havenaar
D · Ried
7.90
· 59 pass
D. Baumgartner
D · Wolfsberger
7.60
1 shots · 32 pass
A. Leitner
G · Ried
7.30
· 34 pass
N. Bajlicz
F · Ried
7.20
· 39 pass
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Polster G 90 8.20 30 24%
N. Wimmer D 90 6.90 1 39 22% 1
D 90 6.70 43 35%
D. Baumgartner D 90 7.60 1 32 24% 5
R. Renner M 19 6.70 2 1%
S. Piesinger M 90 6.70 22 13%
M. Sulzner M 57 6.90 9 6% 1
A. Gattermayer M 90 7.00 22 18% 2
D. Avdijaj F 57 6.30 8 5% 1
J. Ngankam F 57 6.90 6 5%
D. Zukić F 80 6.90 25 19% 1
E. Kojzek F 33 6.30 1 6 4%
F. Wohlmuth D 10 7.00 2 4 4% 1
Ried Ried — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Leitner G 90 7.30 34 27%
Oliver Steurer D 90 6.30 1 53 47%
D 90 6.60 57 54%
N. Havenaar D 90 7.90 59 53% 2
P. Pomer M 90 6.60 49 41% 1
M. Rasner M 45 6.20 9 8% 1
A. Bajić M 90 6.90 2 24 13%
A. van Wyk F 50 6.90 1 15 11% 2
Y. Maart M 90 7.90 74 64% 4
N. Bajlicz F 67 7.20 39 37% 3
K. Mutandwa F 90 6.90 1 12 8%
J. Boguo F 40 6.30 1 12 7% 1
J. Mayer M 45 6.90 16 10% 2
J. Nasrawe M 23 6.90 14 13% 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Ried?
The final score was Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried.
What did the model predict before Wolfsberger AC vs Ried?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Wolfsberger AC win, 6% to a draw, and 68% to an Ried win.