✗Model wrong — prediction Ried, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 68% win probability (draw 6%, Wolfsberger AC 24%). The final result was Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried. In 4 previous meetings, Wolfsberger AC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Ried.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.44
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
5
12
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Renner
/ D. Djuric
19'
44'
M. Rasner
46'
J. Mayer
/
M. Rasner
50'
J. Boguo
/
A. van Wyk
D. Avdijaj
/ E. Kojzek
57'
J. Ngankam
/ D. Atanga
57'
M. Sulzner
/ E. Kujovic
57'
61'
P. Pomer
67'
J. Nasrawe
/
N. Bajlicz
D. Zukic
/ F. Wohlmuth
80'
Pre-match prediction
24.96%
Wolfsberger
6.8%
X ←
68.24%
Ried
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
6.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.82
+0.26
3.67
1.44
-2.23
Ried dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Nikolas Polster
G
Nikolas Polster
G
37
Nicolas Wimmer
D
Nicolas Wimmer
D
15
D
22
Dominik Baumgartner
D
Dominik Baumgartner
D
77
R. Renner
19'
M
R. Renner
19'
M
8
Simon Piesinger
M
Simon Piesinger
M
30
M. Sulzner
57'
M
M. Sulzner
57'
M
7
Angelo Gattermayer
M
Angelo Gattermayer
M
10
D. Avdijaj
57'
F
D. Avdijaj
57'
F
24
J. Ngankam
57'
F
20
Dejan Zukić
80'
F
Dejan Zukić
80'
F
Bench
2
Boris Matić
M
Boris Matić
M
9
E. Kojzek
33'
F
E. Kojzek
33'
F
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
M
Emmanuel Agyemang
M
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
10'
D
Fabian Wohlmuth
10'
D
1
Andreas Leitner
G
Andreas Leitner
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
Oliver Steurer
D
23
D
5
N. Havenaar
D
N. Havenaar
D
17
Philipp Pomer
M
Philipp Pomer
M
8
Martin Rasner
45'
M
Martin Rasner
45'
M
12
A. Bajić
M
A. Bajić
M
29
Antonio Van Wyk
50'
F
Antonio Van Wyk
50'
F
6
Yusuf Maart
M
Yusuf Maart
M
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
67'
F
Nicolas Bajlicz
67'
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
K. Mutandwa
F
Bench
47
Evan Eghosa
M
Evan Eghosa
M
26
Jonas Mayer
45'
M
Jonas Mayer
45'
M
15
Joris Boguo
40'
F
Joris Boguo
40'
F
19
Jussef Nasrawe
23'
M
Jussef Nasrawe
23'
M
Best on the pitch
Nikolas Polster
G · Wolfsberger
8.20
· 30 pass
Yusuf Maart
M · Ried
7.90
· 74 pass
N. Havenaar
D · Ried
7.90
· 59 pass
Dominik Baumgartner
D · Wolfsberger
7.60
1 shots
· 32 pass
Andreas Leitner
G · Ried
7.30
· 34 pass
Nicolas Bajlicz
F · Ried
7.20
· 39 pass
Wolfsberger AC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Polster | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Wimmer | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Dominik Baumgartner | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Renner | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Simon Piesinger | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Sulzner | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Angelo Gattermayer | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Avdijaj | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ngankam | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dejan Zukić | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kojzek | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Wohlmuth | D | 10 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Leitner | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| N. Havenaar | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Philipp Pomer | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Martin Rasner | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bajić | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Van Wyk | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Yusuf Maart | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| Nicolas Bajlicz | F | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Mayer | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Joris Boguo | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jussef Nasrawe | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Ried?
The final score was Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried.
What did the model predict before Wolfsberger AC vs Ried?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Wolfsberger AC win, 6% to a draw, and 68% to an Ried win.