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Championship · Regular Season - 10 October 13, 2026 20:45 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Wolves
#4 · 21 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Bolton
#18 · 14 pts
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (ast. Ladislav Krejčí) 50'
28' Atsuki Ito
72' (ast. Gaizka Larrazabal) Sam Dalby
82' Josh Sheehan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wolves a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Bolton 25%). The final result was Wolves 1–3 Bolton.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
2.27
Actual xG
1.64
3
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
3
15
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Mateus Mane
26'
28'
Atsuki Ito⚽
45'+1
Gaizka Larrazabal
⚽Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · ast. Ladislav Krejčí
50'
↕ Mateus Mane / Rafiki Said Ahamada
63'
63'
Jayden Nelson / Samuel Iling ↕
66'
Ruben Rodrigues / Atsuki Ito ↕
66'
Sam Dalby / Thelonius Bair ↕
72'
ast. Gaizka Larrazabal · Sam Dalby⚽
76'
Ethan Erhahon
78'
Xavier Simons / Ethan Erhahon ↕
78'
Max Conway / Thierry Gale ↕
↕ Jordan James / Marshall Munetsi
80'
↕ Hugo Bueno / Ghislain Konan
80'
82'
Josh Sheehan⚽
↕ André / Sean Neave
85'
Kieran Trippier
89'
Sean Neave
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
47.67%
Wolves
26.94%
X
25.39%
Bolton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 25.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wolves
1.99
2.27
+0.28
Bolton
1.10
1.64
+0.54
Wolves dominated by xG (2.27 vs 1.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Wolves Wolves 4-2-3-1
1 José Sá José Sá G 5.96
3 Hugo Bueno Hugo Bueno 80' D 6.62
37 L. Krejčí L. Krejčí 1 👟 D 7.21
34 N. Djiga N. Djiga D 6.63
2 K. Trippier K. Trippier D 7.12
8 J. James J. James 80' M 6.09
7 André André 85' M 6.43
36 M. Mane M. Mane 63' M 6.08
28 Fer López Fer López M 6.22
27 J. Bellegarde J. Bellegarde 1 ⚽ M 7.31
10 A. Armstrong A. Armstrong F 6.37
Bench
33 G. Konan G. Konan 10' D 5.89
13 João Virgínia João Virgínia G 0.00
38 J. Tchatchoua J. Tchatchoua D 0.00
5 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi 10' M 5.73
19 R. Saïd R. Saïd 27' F 6.88
14 S. Neave S. Neave 5' F 6.32
23 T. Chirewa T. Chirewa F 0.00
20 T. Doyle T. Doyle M 0.00
24 Toti Gomes Toti Gomes D 0.00
Bolton Bolton 4-4-2
31 G. Bazunu G. Bazunu G 5.84
14 A. Famewo A. Famewo D 6.11
5 L. Brunt L. Brunt D 7.33
18 E. Toal E. Toal D 7.18
22 Gaizka Larrazabal Gaizka Larrazabal 1 👟 D 6.21
11 T. Gale T. Gale 78' M 6.18
21 E. Erhahon E. Erhahon 78' M 5.98
8 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan 1 ⚽ M 7.95
16 S. Iling-Junior S. Iling-Junior 63' M 6.43
17 A. Ito A. Ito 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.71
9 T. Bair T. Bair 66' F 6.35
Bench
6 B. Davies B. Davies D 0.00
1 J. Bonham J. Bonham G 0.00
26 J. Nelson J. Nelson 27' F 6.64
25 M. Conway M. Conway 12' D 6.49
39 R. Hardie R. Hardie F 0.00
20 Ruben Rodrigues Ruben Rodrigues 24' F 6.73
10 S. Dalby S. Dalby 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.88
4 X. Simons X. Simons 12' M 6.31
Best on the pitch
J. Sheehan
J. Sheehan
M · Bolton
7.95
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
S. Dalby
S. Dalby
F · Bolton
7.88
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
A. Ito
A. Ito
F · Bolton
7.71
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
L. Brunt
L. Brunt
D · Bolton
7.33
1 shots · 36 pass
J. Bellegarde
J. Bellegarde
M · Wolves
7.31
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
L. Krejčí
L. Krejčí
D · Wolves
7.21
1 👟
1 shots · 79 pass
Wolves Wolves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
José Sá G 90 5.96 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
Hugo Bueno D 80 6.62 — — 1 44 37% 6 — —
L. Krejčí D 90 7.21 — 1 1 79 70% 1 — —
N. Djiga D 90 6.63 — — 1 89 84% 2 — —
K. Trippier D 90 7.12 — — 1 77 70% 0 1 —
J. James M 80 6.09 — — 2 27 22% 0 — —
André M 85 6.43 — — 0 52 46% 1 — —
M. Mane M 63 6.08 — — 3 16 14% 0 1 —
Fer López M 90 6.22 — — 2 46 42% 3 — —
J. Bellegarde M 90 7.31 1 — 2 35 31% 0 — —
A. Armstrong F 90 6.37 — — 4 7 5% 0 — —
G. Konan D 10 5.89 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
M. Munetsi M 10 5.73 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
R. Saïd F 27 6.88 — — 2 8 7% 0 — —
S. Neave F 5 6.32 — — 0 4 4% 1 1 —
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Bazunu G 90 5.84 — — 0 41 18% 0 — —
A. Famewo D 90 6.11 — — 1 38 28% 1 — —
L. Brunt D 90 7.33 — — 1 36 33% 5 — —
E. Toal D 90 7.18 — — 0 28 24% 1 — —
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 6.21 — 1 0 35 26% 0 1 —
T. Gale M 78 6.18 — — 0 14 12% 1 — —
E. Erhahon M 78 5.98 — — 0 32 27% 3 1 —
J. Sheehan M 90 7.95 1 — 2 40 33% 0 — —
S. Iling-Junior M 63 6.43 — — 1 21 20% 1 — —
A. Ito F 66 7.71 1 — 1 15 13% 0 — —
T. Bair F 66 6.35 — — 2 16 11% 1 — —
J. Nelson F 27 6.64 — — 0 11 5% 2 — —
M. Conway D 12 6.49 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Ruben Rodrigues F 24 6.73 — — 1 7 6% 0 — —
S. Dalby F 24 7.88 1 — 1 4 2% 1 — —
X. Simons M 12 6.31 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolves vs Bolton?
The final score was Wolves 1–3 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Wolves vs Bolton?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Wolves win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Bolton win.