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Wolves - Port Vale

EFL Cup August 07, 2026 20:45
Wolves
vs
Port Vale
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.39%
Win
Wolves
32.55%
Draw
37.06%
Win
Port Vale
0.59
Expected xG
1.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.11%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 33%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 70%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Port Vale a 37% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Wolves. Expected goals are 0.6 for Wolves and 1.2 for Port Vale (total 1.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.11% probability.

Season Stats

Wolves
2W 0D 1L
Port Vale
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
0.7
2.0
Conceded
0.7
4.7
Shots OT
2.0
4.7
Corners
5.0
48%
Poss.
31%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Wolves
2W 0D 1L · at home
Port Vale
2W 0D 0L · away
2.7
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
0%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Wolves Port Vale →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3% 20.0% 12.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 11.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Wolves Wolves
L Chelsea 3–4
W Everton 2–0
W West Ham 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Port Vale Port Vale
L Arsenal 0–2
W Birmingham 0–1
W Blackpool 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Wolves Wolves
Attack
26
Defence
63
Form
40
Port Vale Port Vale
Attack
46
Defence
82
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Wolves vs Port Vale?
The model gives Wolves a 30% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 37% for an Port Vale win.
How many goals are expected in Wolves vs Port Vale?
Expected goals: Wolves 0.6, Port Vale 1.2 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Wolves vs Port Vale?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.11%.