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#4 · 21 pts
4 – 1
Final score
#9 · 20 pts
Rodrigo Gomes 19'
Rodrigo Gomes 22'
Raúl Jiménez 55' (pen.)
Jordan James (ast. Fer López) 84'
2' Sam Gallagher
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wolves a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Stoke City 26%). The final result was Wolves 4–1 Stoke City.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
1
21
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
Sam Gallagher⚽
15'
Bae Jun-ho
⚽Rodrigo Gomes
19'
⚽Rodrigo Gomes
22'
31'
Bosun Lawal
Mateus Mane
39'
45'
Sam Gallagher
⚽Raúl Jiménez (pen.)
55'
62'
Million·Manhoef / Bae Jun-ho ↕
↕ Raúl Jiménez / Adam Armstrong
73'
↕ André / Boubacar Traore
73'
74'
Róbert Boženík / George Hirst ↕
↕ Rodrigo Gomes / Jordan James
77'
↕ Marshall Munetsi / Thomas Doyle
77'
↕ Mateus Mane / Tawanda Chirewa
83'
⚽Jordan James · ast. Fer López
84'
85'
Tyler Martin / Sam Gallagher ↕
85'
Tomas Rigo / El Hadji Soumare ↕
90'+3
Sorba Thomas
Pre-match prediction
44.43%
Wolves ←
28.79%
X
26.79%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Wolves) 44.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wolves
3.20
—
—
Stoke
0.58
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Wolves Wolves 4-2-3-1
1 José Sá José Sá G 6.53
3 Hugo Bueno Hugo Bueno D 6.23
24 Toti Gomes Toti Gomes D 6.72
34 N. Djiga N. Djiga D 6.85
38 J. Tchatchoua J. Tchatchoua D 6.49
7 André André 73' M 6.63
5 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi 77' M 6.41
36 M. Mane M. Mane 83' M 6.37
28 Fer López Fer López 1 👟 M 7.70
21 Rodrigo Gomes Rodrigo Gomes 2 ⚽ 77' M 8.70
9 R. Jiménez R. Jiménez 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.52
Bench
10 A. Armstrong A. Armstrong 17' F 6.73
12 B. Traoré B. Traoré 17' M 6.11
6 D. Møller Wolfe D. Møller Wolfe D 0.00
8 J. James J. James 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.13
13 João Virgínia João Virgínia G 0.00
17 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima D 0.00
4 S. Bueno S. Bueno D 0.00
23 T. Chirewa T. Chirewa 7' F 6.94
20 T. Doyle T. Doyle 13' M 6.57
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson V. Johansson G 6.42
17 E. Bocat E. Bocat D 5.95
16 B. Wilmot B. Wilmot D 6.53
18 B. Lawal B. Lawal D 5.76
2 B. Johnson B. Johnson D 6.80
8 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith M 6.27
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré El Hadji Djibril Soumaré 85' M 6.10
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas M 5.14
10 Bae Jun-Ho Bae Jun-Ho 62' M 5.80
20 S. Gallagher S. Gallagher 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.68
15 G. Hirst G. Hirst 74' F 6.08
Bench
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M 0.00
43 F. Anderson F. Anderson D 0.00
24 J. Griffiths J. Griffiths G 0.00
5 L. Graham L. Graham D 0.00
42 M. Manhoef M. Manhoef 28' F 6.24
9 R. Boženík R. Boženík 16' F 6.26
19 T. Rigo T. Rigo 5' M 5.89
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo Gomes
Rodrigo Gomes
M · Wolves
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
Fer López
Fer López
M · Wolves
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 61 pass
S. Gallagher
S. Gallagher
M · Stoke
7.68
1 ⚽
4 shots · 6 pass
R. Jiménez
R. Jiménez
F · Wolves
7.52
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
J. James
J. James
M · Wolves
7.13
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
T. Chirewa
T. Chirewa
F · Wolves
6.94
1 shots
Wolves Wolves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
José Sá G 90 6.53 — — 0 30 24% 0 — —
Hugo Bueno D 90 6.23 — — 2 48 39% 2 — —
Toti Gomes D 90 6.72 — — 0 63 54% 0 — —
N. Djiga D 90 6.85 — — 0 46 42% 1 — —
J. Tchatchoua D 90 6.49 — — 0 31 25% 5 — —
André M 73 6.63 — — 0 39 37% 0 — —
M. Munetsi M 77 6.41 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
M. Mane M 83 6.37 — — 4 18 14% 0 1 —
Fer López M 90 7.70 — 1 2 61 54% 5 — —
Rodrigo Gomes M 77 8.70 2 — 2 13 10% 2 — —
R. Jiménez F 73 7.52 1 — 4 19 12% 3 — —
A. Armstrong F 17 6.73 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
B. Traoré M 17 6.11 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
J. James M 13 7.13 1 — 1 5 5% 0 — —
T. Chirewa F 7 6.94 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
T. Doyle M 13 6.57 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Johansson G 90 6.42 — — 0 27 18% 0 — —
E. Bocat D 90 5.95 — — 1 40 34% 2 — —
B. Wilmot D 90 6.53 — — 0 83 80% 1 — —
B. Lawal D 90 5.76 — — 1 51 46% 1 1 —
B. Johnson D 90 6.80 — — 0 21 18% 6 — —
E. Galbraith M 90 6.27 — — 0 39 34% 2 — —
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 85 6.10 — — 0 42 36% 2 — —
S. Thomas M 90 5.14 — — 3 21 13% 1 1 —
Bae Jun-Ho M 62 5.80 — — 0 11 10% 2 1 —
S. Gallagher M 85 7.68 1 — 4 6 2% 4 1 —
G. Hirst F 74 6.08 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
M. Manhoef F 28 6.24 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
R. Boženík F 16 6.26 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Rigo M 5 5.89 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolves vs Stoke City?
The final score was Wolves 4–1 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Wolves vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Wolves win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Stoke City win.