Premier League
· Regular Season - 35
May 02, 2026 16:00
S. Bueno
(ast. H. Bueno)
54'
17'
(ast. G. Xhaka)
N. Mukiele
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Wolves 28%). The final result was Wolves 1–1 Sunderland. In 1 previous meetings, Wolves have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sunderland.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.78
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
3
12
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
ast. G. Xhaka ·
N. Mukiele⚽
24'
D. Ballard
45'+2
B. Brobbey
Pedro Lima
/ R. Gomes
46'
⚽S. Bueno
· ast. H. Bueno
54'
56'
G. Xhaka
72'
H. Diarra
/
N. Sadiki
72'
D. Cirkin
/
R. Mandava
72'
W. Isidor
/
B. Brobbey
H. Bueno
/ A. Gomes
78'
81'
D. Cirkin
90'+2
R. Roefs
T. Arokodare
/ T. Edozie
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
28.45%
Wolves
28.29%
X ←
43.26%
Sunderland
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.78
+0.8
1.38
0.64
-0.74
Wolves dominated by xG (1.78 vs 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
24
D
4
S. Bueno
1 ⚽
D
15
Y. Mosquera
D
Y. Mosquera
D
3
H. Bueno
1 👟
78'
M
8
João Gomes
M
João Gomes
M
7
André
M
André
M
17
Pedro Lima
45'
M
9
A. Armstrong
F
A. Armstrong
F
36
M. Mane
F
14
T. Arokodare
F
Bench
47
A. Gomes
15'
M
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
27
J. Bellegarde
M
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
2
M. Doherty
D
21
R. Gomes
48'
D
22
R. Roefs
G
17
R. Mandava
72'
D
15
O. Alderete
D
5
Daniel Ballard
24'
D
20
N. Mukiele
1 ⚽
D
27
N. Sadiki
72'
M
N. Sadiki
72'
M
34
G. Xhaka
1 👟
M
G. Xhaka
1 👟
M
7
C. Talbi
M
28
M
32
T. Hume
M
T. Hume
M
9
B. Brobbey
72'
F
Bench
11
Chris Rigg
M
3
D. Cirkin
21'
D
19
Habib Diarra
21'
M
18
W. Isidor
21'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Bueno
D · Wolves
9.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
N. Mukiele
D · Sunderland
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
D · Wolves
7.70
1 shots
· 61 pass
R. Roefs
G · Sunderland
7.60
· 36 pass
T. Hume
M · Sunderland
7.30
· 26 pass
Wolves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Bueno | D | 93 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Mosquera | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Bueno | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| João Gomes | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| André | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mane | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Gomes | D | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Mandava | D | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Ballard | D | 24 | 4.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | 1 |
| N. Mukiele | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Talbi | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 6 | — | — | |
| T. Hume | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Cirkin | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Habib Diarra | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolves vs Sunderland?
The final score was Wolves 1–1 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Wolves vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Wolves win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Sunderland win.