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Championship · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 16:00 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Wolves
#4 · 21 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Watford
#21 · 11 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Wolves
Adam Armstrong 35'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wolves a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Watford 20%). The final result was Wolves 1–0 Watford.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
0
1.88
Actual xG
0.15
0
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
14
Corners
2
16
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Adam Armstrong
35'
Kieran Trippier
41'
41'
Iker Bravo
49'
Hector Kyprianou
↕ Rafiki Said Ahamada / Mateus Mane
61'
61'
Jordan Zemura / Marc Bola ↕
62'
Othmane Maamma / Krépin Diatta ↕
72'
Mamadou Doumbia / Luca Kjerrumgaard ↕
72'
Martin Payero / Myron Boadu ↕
74'
Jordan Zemura
↕ Jordan James / Thomas Doyle
78'
↕ Adam Armstrong / Tawanda Chirewa
78'
Thomas Doyle
79'
85'
Rocco Vata / Iker Bravo ↕
Hugo Bueno
87'
José Sá
88'
↕ Hugo Bueno / Toti Gomes
90'+1
↕ Jean-Ricner Bellegarde / Sean Neave
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
54.86%
Wolves ←
24.71%
X
20.43%
Watford
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Wolves) 54.86% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wolves
1.92
1.88
-0.04
Watford
0.89
0.15
-0.74
Wolves dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.15). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Wolves Wolves 4-2-3-1
1 José Sá José Sá G 6.72
3 Hugo Bueno Hugo Bueno 89' D 6.77
37 L. Krejčí L. Krejčí D 7.19
15 Y. Mosquera Y. Mosquera D 7.50
2 K. Trippier K. Trippier D 6.90
5 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi M 6.01
7 André André M 6.86
19 R. Saïd R. Saïd 61' M 6.52
8 J. James J. James 78' M 6.48
27 J. Bellegarde J. Bellegarde 89' M 7.20
10 A. Armstrong A. Armstrong 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.03
Bench
28 Fer López Fer López M 0.00
13 João Virgínia João Virgínia G 0.00
38 J. Tchatchoua J. Tchatchoua D 0.00
62 L. Rawlings L. Rawlings M 0.00
36 M. Mane M. Mane 29' F 7.05
14 S. Neave S. Neave 1' F 0.00
23 T. Chirewa T. Chirewa 12' F 6.38
20 T. Doyle T. Doyle 12' M 6.23
24 Toti Gomes Toti Gomes 1' D 0.00
Watford Watford 5-3-2
1 F. Ravaglia F. Ravaglia G 5.80
15 K. Diatta K. Diatta 62' D 6.78
29 Branimir Mlačić Branimir Mlačić D 6.49
6 M. Pollock M. Pollock D 6.10
4 K. Keben K. Keben D 6.12
16 M. Bola M. Bola 61' D 6.22
17 Iker Bravo Iker Bravo 85' M 5.99
5 H. Kyprianou H. Kyprianou M 6.45
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe M 6.33
9 L. Kjerrumgaard L. Kjerrumgaard 72' F 6.24
10 M. Boadu M. Boadu 72' F 6.37
Bench
21 Amin Nabizada Amin Nabizada F 0.00
26 D. Bachmann D. Bachmann G 0.00
33 J. Zemura J. Zemura 29' D 5.97
20 M. Doumbia M. Doumbia 18' F 6.26
22 M. Payero M. Payero 18' M 6.42
7 O. Maamma O. Maamma 28' F 6.62
23 O. Traoré O. Traoré D 0.00
11 R. Vata R. Vata 5' F 6.72
45 S. Mavididi S. Mavididi F 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Armstrong
A. Armstrong
F · Wolves
8.03
1 ⚽
5 shots · 6 pass
Y. Mosquera
Y. Mosquera
D · Wolves
7.50
3 shots · 66 pass
J. Bellegarde
J. Bellegarde
M · Wolves
7.20
2 shots · 25 pass
L. Krejčí
L. Krejčí
D · Wolves
7.19
· 79 pass
M. Mane
M. Mane
F · Wolves
7.05
1 shots · 9 pass
K. Trippier
K. Trippier
D · Wolves
6.90
· 78 pass
Wolves Wolves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
José Sá G 90 6.72 — — 0 29 22% 0 1 —
Hugo Bueno D 89 6.77 — — 2 48 44% 1 1 —
L. Krejčí D 90 7.19 — — 0 79 68% 0 — —
Y. Mosquera D 90 7.50 — — 3 66 62% 1 — —
K. Trippier D 90 6.90 — — 0 78 61% 2 1 —
M. Munetsi M 90 6.01 — — 1 24 16% 1 — —
André M 90 6.86 — — 3 50 46% 4 — —
R. Saïd M 61 6.52 — — 3 27 20% 0 — —
J. James M 78 6.48 — — 2 34 27% 1 — —
J. Bellegarde M 89 7.20 — — 2 25 22% 2 — —
A. Armstrong F 78 8.03 1 — 5 6 2% 0 — —
M. Mane F 29 7.05 — — 1 9 8% 4 — —
S. Neave F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
T. Chirewa F 12 6.38 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
T. Doyle M 12 6.23 — — 2 5 2% 0 1 —
Toti Gomes D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ravaglia G 90 5.80 — — 0 32 11% 0 — —
K. Diatta D 62 6.78 — — 0 22 19% 4 — —
Branimir Mlačić D 90 6.49 — — 0 37 30% 1 — —
M. Pollock D 90 6.10 — — 0 35 25% 0 — —
K. Keben D 90 6.12 — — 0 25 19% 1 — —
M. Bola D 61 6.22 — — 0 19 13% 0 — —
Iker Bravo M 85 5.99 — — 2 26 21% 1 1 —
H. Kyprianou M 90 6.45 — — 0 30 23% 2 1 —
E. Kayembe M 90 6.33 — — 1 34 25% 1 — —
L. Kjerrumgaard F 72 6.24 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
M. Boadu F 72 6.37 — — 0 11 9% 2 — —
J. Zemura D 29 5.97 — — 1 10 5% 1 1 —
M. Doumbia F 18 6.26 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
M. Payero M 18 6.42 — — 0 6 3% 1 — —
O. Maamma F 28 6.62 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
R. Vata F 5 6.72 — — 0 0 0% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wolves vs Watford?
The final score was Wolves 1–0 Watford.
What did the model predict before Wolves vs Watford?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Wolves win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Watford win.