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#17 · 14 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#7 · 20 pts
C. Doyle (ast. L. O'Brien) 54'
13' (ast. A. Cochrane) P. Neumann
63' (ast. A. Priske) P. Neumann
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Birmingham 33%). The final result was Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham. In 2 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Birmingham.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.42
Actual xG
1.85
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
6
6
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
A. Cochrane
13'
ast. A. Cochrane · P. Neumann⚽
46'
P. Roberts / D. Gray ↕
50'
B. Osayi-Samuel
⚽C. Doyle · ast. L. O'Brien
54'
63'
ast. A. Priske · P. Neumann⚽
↕ J. Ekomie / R. Longman
71'
↕ N. Broadhead / S. Smith
71'
↕ O. Rathbone / J. Windass
71'
↕ D. Imray / I. Kabore
71'
74'
Paik Seung-Ho / J. Stansfield ↕
↕ K. Moore / B. Cadamarteri
79'
82'
L. Vazquez / A. Priske ↕
B. Cadamarteri
90'+3
90'
D. Fry / C. Vicente ↕
90'
E. Laird / B. Osayi-Samuel ↕
Pre-match prediction
33.46%
Wrexham
32.65%
X
33.89%
Birmingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 33.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wrexham
1.24
1.42
+0.18
Birmingham
1.49
1.85
+0.36
Birmingham dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Wrexham Wrexham 3-4-2-1
22 A. Patterson A. Patterson G 6.70
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle 1 ⚽ D 8.20
5 D. Hyam D. Hyam D 7.00
26 Z. Vyner Z. Vyner D 6.20
3 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié 71' M 6.50
27 L. O'Brien L. O'Brien 1 👟 M 7.00
8 B. Whiteman B. Whiteman M 6.60
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray 71' M 6.30
33 N. Broadhead N. Broadhead 70' F 6.90
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 71' F 7.30
19 K. Moore K. Moore 79' F 6.20
Bench
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri 13' F 6.30
24 Dan Scarr Dan Scarr D
21 D. Ward D. Ward G
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 21' D 7.30
10 J. Windass J. Windass 21' M 6.30
4 M. Cleworth M. Cleworth D
37 M. James M. James M
47 R. Longman R. Longman 21' M 6.30
28 S. Smith S. Smith 22' F 6.50
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle J. Beadle G 7.30
20 A. Cochrane A. Cochrane 1 👟 D 7.20
4 C. Klarer C. Klarer D 7.20
5 P. Neumann P. Neumann 2 ⚽ D 8.90
26 B. Osayi-Samuel B. Osayi-Samuel D 6.70
14 J. Solis J. Solis M 6.70
24 T. Iwata T. Iwata M 6.90
28 J. Stansfield J. Stansfield 74' M 6.20
10 D. Gray D. Gray 45' M 6.60
7 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente M 7.20
9 A. Priske A. Priske 1 👟 82' F 6.60
Bench
23 D. Fry D. Fry 2' D
2 E. Laird E. Laird 2' D
25 K. Lund K. Lund D
32 L. Vázquez L. Vázquez 10' F 6.30
33 M. Ducksch M. Ducksch F
16 P. Roberts P. Roberts 47' M 6.90
21 R. Allsop R. Allsop G
11 Scott Wright Scott Wright F
8 Seung Ho Paik Seung Ho Paik 18' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
D · Birmingham
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
C. Doyle
C. Doyle
D · Wrexham
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 81 pass
I. Kaboré
I. Kaboré
D · Wrexham
7.30
· 10 pass
O. Rathbone
O. Rathbone
F · Wrexham
7.30
· 25 pass
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
G · Birmingham
7.30
· 31 pass
Carlos Vicente
Carlos Vicente
M · Birmingham
7.20
1 shots · 17 pass
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Patterson G 92 6.70 — — — 25 16% — — —
C. Doyle D 92 8.20 1 — 1 81 54% — — —
D. Hyam D 92 7.00 — — — 59 51% 1 — —
Z. Vyner D 92 6.20 — — 1 61 51% 1 — —
J. Ekomié M 71 6.50 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
L. O'Brien M 92 7.00 — 1 — 63 52% — — —
B. Whiteman M 92 6.60 — — — 59 47% — — —
Daniel Edward Peter Imray M 71 6.30 — — 1 15 9% — — —
N. Broadhead F 70 6.90 — — — 22 19% — — —
O. Rathbone F 71 7.30 — — — 25 23% 3 — —
K. Moore F 79 6.20 — — 4 13 9% — — —
B. Cadamarteri F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
I. Kaboré D 21 7.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
J. Windass M 21 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
R. Longman M 21 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
S. Smith F 22 6.50 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Beadle G 92 7.30 — — — 31 11% — — —
A. Cochrane D 92 7.20 — 1 — 29 18% 2 1 —
C. Klarer D 92 7.20 — — 1 33 24% 2 — —
P. Neumann D 92 8.90 2 — 2 25 14% 2 — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 90 6.70 — — — 31 26% 2 1 —
J. Solis M 92 6.70 — — — 44 36% 1 — —
T. Iwata M 92 6.90 — — — 50 35% 1 — —
J. Stansfield M 74 6.20 — — 2 10 3% 1 — —
D. Gray M 45 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Carlos Vicente M 90 7.20 — — 1 17 14% — — —
A. Priske F 82 6.60 — 1 1 16 10% — — —
D. Fry D 2 — — — — — — — — —
E. Laird D 2 — — — — — — — — —
L. Vázquez F 10 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
P. Roberts M 47 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Seung Ho Paik M 18 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Birmingham?
The final score was Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Wrexham vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Wrexham win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Birmingham win.