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Championship · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 16:00 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Wrexham
#17 · 14 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Preston
#24 · 5 pts
Joe Worrall (ast. Danny Imray) 31'
Benjamin Whiteman 42'
Sam Smith (ast. Benjamin Whiteman) 59'
Kieffer Moore (ast. Joe Worrall) 63'
36' Alfie Devine
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Preston 23%). The final result was Wrexham 4–1 Preston. In 3 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Preston.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
1
1.97
Actual xG
0.79
0
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
2
9
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
9'
Andrija Vukčević
Benjamin Whiteman
21'
⚽Joe Worrall · ast. Danny Imray
31'
36'
Alfie Devine⚽
⚽Benjamin Whiteman
42'
56'
Brad Potts / Liam Lindsay ↕
⚽Sam Smith · ast. Benjamin Whiteman
59'
62'
Andrew Hughes
⚽Kieffer Moore · ast. Joe Worrall
63'
66'
Jordan Thompson
↕ Danny Imray / Issa Kabore
68'
69'
Delano Burgzorg / Johnny Kenny ↕
70'
Jusef Erabi / Callum Lang ↕
79'
Ed Nolan / Alfie Devine ↕
Callum Doyle
80'
80'
Leo Leroy
↕ Matty James / George Dobson
81'
↕ Kieffer Moore / B. Cadamarteri
81'
↕ Callum O'Hare / Oliver Rathbone
81'
↕ Sam Smith / Lewis O'Brien
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.39%
Wrexham ←
31.41%
X
23.2%
Preston
we assigned to the actual result (Wrexham) 45.39% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wrexham
1.24
1.97
+0.73
Preston
0.66
0.79
+0.13
Wrexham dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Wrexham Wrexham 3-4-1-2
22 A. Patterson A. Patterson G 6.10
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 6.32
6 J. Worrall J. Worrall 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.16
5 D. Hyam D. Hyam D 6.10
3 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié M 6.22
37 M. James M. James 81' M 6.43
8 B. Whiteman B. Whiteman 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray 1 👟 68' M 6.33
17 C. O'Hare C. O'Hare 81' M 6.02
28 S. Smith S. Smith 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.72
19 K. Moore K. Moore 1 ⚽ 81' F 8.20
Bench
34 A. James A. James D 0.00
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri 9' F 6.52
21 D. Ward D. Ward G 0.00
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson 9' M 6.68
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 22' D 6.56
27 L. O'Brien L. O'Brien 1' M 0.00
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 9' M 5.88
47 R. Longman R. Longman M 0.00
26 Z. Vyner Z. Vyner D 0.00
Preston Preston 3-4-2-1
1 D. Iversen D. Iversen G 5.63
16 A. Hughes A. Hughes D 4.78
6 L. Lindsay L. Lindsay 56' D 6.02
14 J. Storey J. Storey D 5.20
3 A. Vukčević A. Vukčević M 5.04
15 J. Thompson J. Thompson M 4.87
27 L. Leroy L. Leroy M 5.39
24 O. Offiah O. Offiah M 5.25
7 A. Devine A. Devine 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.76
10 C. Lang C. Lang 70' M 5.73
38 J. Kenny J. Kenny 69' F 6.44
Bench
23 A. Moran A. Moran M 0.00
44 B. Potts B. Potts 34' M 6.03
37 D. Burgzorg D. Burgzorg 21' F 6.23
32 Ed Nolan Ed Nolan 11' D 5.85
9 J. Erabi J. Erabi 20' F 6.29
21 L. Nicholls L. Nicholls G 0.00
2 Pol Valentín Pol Valentín D 0.00
11 T. Small T. Small D 0.00
Best on the pitch
B. Whiteman
B. Whiteman
M · Wrexham
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 63 pass
K. Moore
K. Moore
F · Wrexham
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
J. Worrall
J. Worrall
D · Wrexham
8.16
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 39 pass
A. Devine
A. Devine
M · Preston
7.76
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
S. Smith
S. Smith
F · Wrexham
7.72
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
G. Dobson
G. Dobson
M · Wrexham
6.68
· 7 pass
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Patterson G 90 6.10 — — 0 29 11% 0 — —
C. Doyle D 90 6.32 — — 1 64 48% 3 1 —
J. Worrall D 90 8.16 1 1 3 39 31% 0 — —
D. Hyam D 90 6.10 — — 0 57 37% 2 — —
J. Ekomié M 90 6.22 — — 0 28 24% 0 — —
M. James M 81 6.43 — — 0 52 44% 0 — —
B. Whiteman M 90 9.00 1 1 2 63 51% 1 1 —
Daniel Edward Peter Imray M 68 6.33 — 1 0 21 14% 1 — —
C. O'Hare M 81 6.02 — — 6 45 31% 0 — —
S. Smith F 89 7.72 1 — 3 16 11% 0 — —
K. Moore F 81 8.20 1 — 2 23 17% 1 — —
B. Cadamarteri F 9 6.52 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
G. Dobson M 9 6.68 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
I. Kaboré D 22 6.56 — — 0 7 3% 0 — —
L. O'Brien M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
O. Rathbone M 9 5.88 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 90 5.63 — — 0 24 4% 0 — —
A. Hughes D 90 4.78 — — 1 34 16% 2 1 —
L. Lindsay D 56 6.02 — — 0 18 10% 1 — —
J. Storey D 90 5.20 — — 0 28 14% 0 — —
A. Vukčević M 90 5.04 — — 0 21 13% 1 1 —
J. Thompson M 90 4.87 — — 0 34 22% 1 1 —
L. Leroy M 90 5.39 — — 0 30 18% 2 1 —
O. Offiah M 90 5.25 — — 0 28 16% 2 — —
A. Devine M 79 7.76 1 — 3 27 21% 2 — —
C. Lang M 70 5.73 — — 0 14 10% 1 — —
J. Kenny F 69 6.44 — — 3 7 5% 0 — —
B. Potts M 34 6.03 — — 4 11 9% 0 — —
D. Burgzorg F 21 6.23 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
Ed Nolan D 11 5.85 — — 0 4 2% 2 — —
J. Erabi F 20 6.29 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Preston?
The final score was Wrexham 4–1 Preston.
What did the model predict before Wrexham vs Preston?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Wrexham win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Preston win.