Championship
· Regular Season - 41
April 07, 2026 21:00
Josh Windass
(ast. Kieffer Moore)
34'
12'
(ast. Finn Azaz)
Kuryu Matsuki
22'
Flynn Downes
61'
Cyle Larin
81'
(ast. Welington)
Ross Stewart
83'
(ast. Shea Charles)
Finn Azaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Wrexham 27%). The final result was Wrexham 1–5 Southampton. In 2 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Southampton.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
9
1.09
Actual xG
2.58
4
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
4
11
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
12'
ast. Finn Azaz ·
Kuryu Matsuki⚽
22'
Flynn Downes⚽
⚽Josh Windass
· ast. Kieffer Moore
34'
Callum Doyle
37'
58'
Leo Scienza
/
Samuel Edozie
61'
Cyle Larin⚽
65'
Welington
/
Ryan Manning
66'
Jack Stephens
66'
Ross Stewart
/
Cyle Larin
72'
Welington
Nathan Broadhead
/ Oliver Rathbone
72'
George Dobson
/ Matty James
72'
Issa Kaboré
/ Ryan Longman
73'
79'
Finn Azaz
Ryan Longman
81'
81'
ast. Welington ·
Ross Stewart⚽
83'
ast. Shea Charles ·
Finn Azaz⚽
Kieffer Moore
/ Davis Keillor-Dunn
84'
Josh Windass
/ Sam Smith
84'
85'
Cameron Archer
/
Finn Azaz
85'
Nathan Wood
/
Kuryu Matsuki
Pre-match prediction
27.21%
Wrexham
23.32%
X
49.47%
Southampton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
49.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.09
-0.16
1.91
2.58
+0.67
Southampton dominated by xG (2.58 vs 1.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
5
D
27
M
4
M. Cleworth
D
M. Cleworth
D
2
C. Doyle
D
C. Doyle
D
12
I. Kaboré
73'
M
I. Kaboré
73'
M
15
G. Dobson
72'
M
G. Dobson
72'
M
33
N. Broadhead
72'
M
N. Broadhead
72'
M
14
George Thomason
M
George Thomason
M
10
J. Windass
1 ⚽
84'
F
J. Windass
1 ⚽
84'
F
19
K. Moore
1 👟
84'
F
K. Moore
1 👟
84'
F
Bench
11
B. Cadamarteri
F
B. Cadamarteri
F
24
Dan Scarr
D
Dan Scarr
D
37
M. James
22'
M
M. James
22'
M
20
O. Rathbone
22'
M
O. Rathbone
22'
M
47
R. Longman
21'
M
R. Longman
21'
M
28
S. Smith
10'
F
S. Smith
10'
F
26
Z. Vyner
D
Z. Vyner
D
41
G
14
J. Bree
D
J. Bree
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
5
J. Stephens
D
J. Stephens
D
3
R. Manning
65'
D
R. Manning
65'
D
4
F. Downes
1 ⚽
M
F. Downes
1 ⚽
M
24
S. Charles
1 👟
M
S. Charles
1 👟
M
27
K. Matsuki
1 ⚽
85'
M
K. Matsuki
1 ⚽
85'
M
10
F. Azaz
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
F. Azaz
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
23
S. Edozie
58'
M
S. Edozie
58'
M
9
C. Larin
1 ⚽
66'
F
C. Larin
1 ⚽
66'
F
Bench
48
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
19
C. Archer
9'
F
C. Archer
9'
F
20
C. Jander
M
C. Jander
M
13
Léo Scienza
36'
M
Léo Scienza
36'
M
11
R. Stewart
1 ⚽
28'
F
R. Stewart
1 ⚽
28'
F
18
T. Fellows
M
T. Fellows
M
34
Welington
1 👟
29'
D
Welington
1 👟
29'
D
Best on the pitch
F. Azaz
M · Southampton
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 34 pass
K. Matsuki
M · Southampton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
F. Downes
M · Southampton
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
T. Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.50
1 shots
· 46 pass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Welington
D · Southampton
7.20
1 👟
· 6 pass
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 59% | — | — | — | |
| M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Cleworth | D | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Doyle | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 57% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Broadhead | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| George Thomason | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Windass | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 84 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. James | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Rathbone | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Longman | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Smith | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| J. Bree | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Stephens | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Manning | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 85 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Edozie | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 66 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Archer | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Stewart | F | 28 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Welington | D | 29 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Southampton?
The final score was Wrexham 1–5 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Wrexham vs Southampton?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Wrexham win, 23% to a draw, and 49% to an Southampton win.