Wrexham 1–1 Watford — pre-match prediction — Championship — August 22, 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 16:00

Wrexham

#14 · 10 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Watford

#20 · 8 pts

D. Imray 22'

14' (ast. O. H. Traore) L. Kjerrumgaard

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Watford 32%). The final result was Wrexham 1–1 Watford. In 2 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Watford.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.85

Actual xG

0.33

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

14'

ast. O. H. Traore · L. Kjerrumgaard⚽

N. Broadhead

20'

⚽D. Imray

22'

45'

A. Eames / O. H. Traore ↕

58'

M. Payero / O. Maamma ↕

↕ K. Moore / S. Smith

63'

67'

E. Kayembe / E. Bove ↕

67'

R. Vata / L. Kjerrumgaard ↕

67'

M. Doumbia / A. Nabizada ↕

↕ O. Rathbone / B. Cadamarteri

70'

B. Whiteman

72'

↕ N. Broadhead / M. James

78'

↕ D. Imray / R. Longman

78'

↕ G. Thomason / M. Cleworth

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

35.15%

Wrexham

32.38%

X ←

32.47%

Watford

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.38% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Wrexham

1.66

0.85

-0.81

Watford

1.48

0.33

-1.15

Wrexham dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Swansea	8	17
2	West Ham	8	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	15
4	Wolves	7	14
5	West Brom	8	14
6	QPR	8	13
7	Stoke City	8	13
8	Bristol City	8	13
9	Charlton	8	12
10	Birmingham	8	11
11	Millwall	8	11
12	Lincoln	8	11
13	Southampton	8	10
14	Wrexham	8	10
15	Bolton	8	10
16	Blackburn	8	9
17	Norwich	8	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	9
19	Portsmouth	7	8
20	Watford	8	8
21	Cardiff	8	7
22	Derby	8	5
23	Preston	8	4
24	Burnley	8	4

Lineups

Wrexham 3-4-2-1

A. Patterson 48' G 6.60

C. Doyle 48' D 6.90

D. Hyam 48' D 6.30

Z. Vyner 48' D 6.30

George Thomason 48' M 6.90

L. O'Brien 48' M 6.70

B. Whiteman 48' M 6.70

Daniel Edward Peter Imray 1 ⚽ 48' M 7.20

N. Broadhead 48' F 7.30

O. Rathbone 48' F 6.60

K. Moore 48' F 6.90

Bench

B. Cadamarteri F

Dan Scarr D

D. Keillor-Dunn F

D. Ward G

G. Dobson M

M. Cleworth D

M. James M

R. Longman M

S. Smith F

Watford 4-2-3-1

F. Ravaglia 48' G 5.90

J. Zemura 48' D 6.20

K. Keben 48' D 6.30

M. Pollock 48' D 6.70

O. Traoré 1 👟 45' D 6.60

H. Kyprianou 48' M 7.00

E. Bove 48' M 6.90

O. Maamma 48' M 6.30

Iker Bravo 48' M 6.70

Amin Nabizada 48' M 6.50

L. Kjerrumgaard 1 ⚽ 48' F 7.30

Bench

Albert Eames 3' D

D. Bachmann G

E. Kayembe M

James Andrew Clarridge D

Leo Ramirez-Espain M

M. Adu-Poku F

M. Doumbia F

M. Payero M

R. Vata F

Best on the pitch

L. Kjerrumgaard

F · Watford

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

N. Broadhead

F · Wrexham

7.30

· 17 pass

Daniel Edward Peter Imray

M · Wrexham

7.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

H. Kyprianou

M · Watford

7.00

· 23 pass

C. Doyle

D · Wrexham

6.90

· 36 pass

E. Bove

M · Watford

6.90

· 23 pass

Wrexham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Patterson	G	48	6.60	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
C. Doyle	D	48	6.90	—	—	—	36	28%	1	—	—
D. Hyam	D	48	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	—	—	—
Z. Vyner	D	48	6.30	—	—	—	30	24%	1	—	—
George Thomason	M	48	6.90	—	—	1	27	22%	1	—	—
L. O'Brien	M	48	6.70	—	—	—	31	30%	—	—	—
B. Whiteman	M	48	6.70	—	—	—	27	23%	3	—	—
Daniel Edward Peter Imray	M	48	7.20	1	—	3	11	7%	—	—	—
N. Broadhead	F	48	7.30	—	—	—	17	12%	1	1	—
O. Rathbone	F	48	6.60	—	—	1	12	11%	1	—	—
K. Moore	F	48	6.90	—	—	—	8	5%	1	—	—

Watford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Ravaglia	G	48	5.90	—	—	—	13	4%	—	—	—
J. Zemura	D	48	6.20	—	—	1	16	12%	1	—	—
K. Keben	D	48	6.30	—	—	—	22	17%	1	—	—
M. Pollock	D	48	6.70	—	—	1	25	16%	2	—	—
O. Traoré	D	45	6.60	—	1	—	15	10%	1	—	—
H. Kyprianou	M	48	7.00	—	—	—	23	21%	1	—	—
E. Bove	M	48	6.90	—	—	—	23	19%	2	—	—
O. Maamma	M	48	6.30	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
Iker Bravo	M	48	6.70	—	—	—	17	17%	1	—	—
Amin Nabizada	M	48	6.50	—	—	1	13	9%	—	—	—
L. Kjerrumgaard	F	48	7.30	1	—	2	9	6%	—	—	—
Albert Eames	D	3	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Watford?

The final score was Wrexham 1–1 Watford.

What did the model predict before Wrexham vs Watford?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Wrexham win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Watford win.