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Championship · Regular Season - 10 October 13, 2026 20:45 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Wrexham
#17 · 14 pts
1 – 2
Final score
West Brom
#5 · 21 pts
Kieffer Moore (ast. Oliver Rathbone) 64'
79' Isaac Price
84' (ast. Isaac Price) Aune Heggebo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 36% win probability (draw 33%, West Brom 30%). The final result was Wrexham 1–2 West Brom. In 2 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for West Brom.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
0.46
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
39'
Rabby Nzingoula
⚽Kieffer Moore · ast. Oliver Rathbone
64'
↕ Kieffer Moore / Sam Smith
69'
↕ Issa Kabore / Danny Imray
69'
↕ Oliver Rathbone / Lewis O'Brien
72'
76'
J. Morgan / Harry Whitwell ↕
76'
Aune Heggebo / Barney Stewart ↕
79'
Isaac Price⚽
80'
Nathaniel Phillips / Chris Mepham ↕
Zak Vyner
83'
83'
Ousmane·Diakite / Toby Collyer ↕
84'
ast. Isaac Price · Aune Heggebo⚽
↕ Jacques Ekomié / Ryan·Longman
88'
↕ Zak Vyner / B. Cadamarteri
88'
Pre-match prediction
36.65%
Wrexham
33.32%
X
30.03%
West ←
we assigned to the actual result (West Brom) 30.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wrexham
0.98
0.46
-0.52
West
0.81
1.01
+0.2
West Brom dominated by xG (1.01 vs 0.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Wrexham Wrexham 5-3-2
22 A. Patterson A. Patterson G 5.98
3 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié 88' D 6.89
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 6.69
5 D. Hyam D. Hyam D 6.87
26 Z. Vyner Z. Vyner 88' D 5.52
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 69' D 6.56
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 1 👟 72' M 7.27
8 B. Whiteman B. Whiteman M 7.20
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson M 6.24
17 C. O'Hare C. O'Hare F 6.12
19 K. Moore K. Moore 1 ⚽ 69' F 8.02
Bench
34 A. James A. James D 0.00
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri 2' F 6.48
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray 21' D 6.42
21 D. Ward D. Ward G 0.00
6 J. Worrall J. Worrall D 0.00
27 L. O'Brien L. O'Brien 18' M 6.28
47 R. Longman R. Longman 2' M 6.29
28 S. Smith S. Smith 21' F 5.93
West Brom West Brom 4-4-2
1 M. O’Leary M. O’Leary G 6.83
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 6.88
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 7.05
2 C. Mepham C. Mepham 80' D 6.94
18 B. Pereira B. Pereira D 6.99
21 I. Price I. Price 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby M 6.64
15 Tobias Christopher Collyer Tobias Christopher Collyer 83' M 6.59
29 Harry Whitwell Harry Whitwell 76' M 6.09
20 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula F 6.07
9 B. Stewart B. Stewart 76' F 6.34
Bench
19 A. Heggebø A. Heggebø 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.72
22 C. Townsend C. Townsend D 0.00
7 F. Myhre F. Myhre M 0.00
11 J. Morgan J. Morgan 14' F 6.55
35 M. Crowther M. Crowther M 0.00
13 M. Ingram M. Ingram G 0.00
3 N. Phillips N. Phillips 10' D 6.71
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité 7' M 6.31
23 T. Bany T. Bany F 0.00
Best on the pitch
I. Price
I. Price
M · West
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 50 pass
K. Moore
K. Moore
F · Wrexham
8.02
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
A. Heggebø
A. Heggebø
F · West
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
O. Rathbone
O. Rathbone
M · Wrexham
7.27
1 👟
· 26 pass
B. Whiteman
B. Whiteman
M · Wrexham
7.20
· 56 pass
G. Campbell
G. Campbell
D · West
7.05
1 shots · 72 pass
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Patterson G 90 5.98 — — 0 25 8% 0 — —
J. Ekomié D 88 6.89 — — 0 24 22% 3 — —
C. Doyle D 90 6.69 — — 0 57 48% 3 — —
D. Hyam D 90 6.87 — — 0 57 52% 0 — —
Z. Vyner D 88 5.52 — — 0 38 25% 2 1 —
I. Kaboré D 69 6.56 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
O. Rathbone M 72 7.27 — 1 0 26 24% 3 — —
B. Whiteman M 90 7.20 — — 0 56 49% 2 — —
G. Dobson M 90 6.24 — — 2 37 29% 0 — —
C. O'Hare F 90 6.12 — — 0 28 23% 0 — —
K. Moore F 69 8.02 1 — 5 16 10% 0 — —
B. Cadamarteri F 2 6.48 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Daniel Edward Peter Imray D 21 6.42 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
L. O'Brien M 18 6.28 — — 0 8 8% 2 — —
R. Longman M 2 6.29 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
S. Smith F 21 5.93 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. O’Leary G 90 6.83 — — 0 38 29% 0 — —
C. Styles D 90 6.88 — — 1 67 57% 3 — —
G. Campbell D 90 7.05 — — 1 72 65% 1 — —
C. Mepham D 80 6.94 — — 0 62 54% 3 — —
B. Pereira D 90 6.99 — — 1 57 50% 2 — —
I. Price M 90 9.00 1 1 3 50 41% 0 — —
J. Molumby M 90 6.64 — — 0 64 56% 1 — —
Tobias Christopher Collyer M 83 6.59 — — 0 53 50% 1 — —
Harry Whitwell M 76 6.09 — — 0 18 12% 2 — —
R. Nzingoula F 90 6.07 — — 1 30 25% 0 1 —
B. Stewart F 76 6.34 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
A. Heggebø F 14 7.72 1 — 1 4 4% 0 — —
J. Morgan F 14 6.55 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
N. Phillips D 10 6.71 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
O. Diakité M 7 6.31 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wrexham vs West Brom?
The final score was Wrexham 1–2 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Wrexham vs West Brom?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Wrexham win, 33% to a draw, and 30% to an West Brom win.