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Model wrong — prediction FC BW Linz, result Draw
N. Baden Frederiksen (ast. V. Muller) 16'
71' (ast. I. Dahlqvist) S. Seidl
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 57% win probability (draw 19%, WSG Wattens 23%). The final result was WSG Wattens 1–1 FC BW Linz. In 3 previous meetings, WSG Wattens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC BW Linz.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
0.58
Actual xG
0.36
0
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
3
19
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Taferner
14'
N. Baden Frederiksen · ast. V. Muller
16'
D. Kubatta
42'
N. Baden Frederiksen / L. Hinterseer
60'
71'
ast. I. Dahlqvist · S. Seidl
75'
S. Seidl
M. Boras
75'
81'
C. Cvetko / S. Weissman
A. Ola-Adebomi / T. Anselm
84'
M. Wels / T. Sabitzer
87'
90'
D. Bumberger / M. Moormann
90'
P. Mensah / Ronivaldo
Pre-match prediction
23.2%
WSG
19.06%
X ←
57.73%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.06% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
WSG
1.33
0.58
-0.75
FC
2.68
0.36
-2.32
xG dominance was balanced (0.58 – 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
3 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 5 12
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 5 7
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5 6
7 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 5 5
8 Ried Ried 6 5
9 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 5 5
10 Grazer AK Grazer AK 5 4
11 SCR Altach SCR Altach 5 3
12 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 5 3
Lineups
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 3-4-3
40
G 6.60
14 D. Kubatta D. Kubatta D 6.90
5 J. Lawrence J. Lawrence D 6.30
23 M. Boras M. Boras D 6.60
6 Lukas Sulzbacher Lukas Sulzbacher M 7.50
4 V. Müller V. Müller 1 👟 M 6.90
30 M. Taferner M. Taferner M 7.20
17 Johannes Naschberger Johannes Naschberger M 6.90
37 Moritz Wels Moritz Wels 87' F 6.20
9 Ademola Ola-Adebomi Ademola Ola-Adebomi 84' F 6.90
8 N. Frederiksen N. Frederiksen 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.60
Bench
3 D. Gugganig D. Gugganig D
16 L. Hinterseer L. Hinterseer 33' F 6.90
10 Thomas Sabitzer Thomas Sabitzer 6' F
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2
58
G 6.00
16 M. Moormann M. Moormann D 6.50
15
D 6.90
17 A. Pašić A. Pašić D 6.70
60 S. Pirkl S. Pirkl M 6.20
19 A. Briedl A. Briedl M 7.30
20 S. Seidl S. Seidl 1 ⚽ M 8.00
5 I. Dahlqvist I. Dahlqvist 1 👟 M 6.70
30 N. Maier N. Maier F 6.60
18 S. Weissman S. Weissman 81' F 5.90
9 Ronivaldo Ronivaldo F 6.30
Bench
14 C. Cvetko C. Cvetko 12' M 6.30
23 David Bumberger David Bumberger 3' D
Best on the pitch
S. Seidl
S. Seidl
M · FC
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
F · WSG
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Lukas Sulzbacher
Lukas Sulzbacher
M · WSG
7.50
· 19 pass
A. Briedl
A. Briedl
M · FC
7.30
· 44 pass
M. Taferner
M. Taferner
M · WSG
7.20
1 shots · 33 pass
D. Kubatta
D. Kubatta
D · WSG
6.90
· 22 pass
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.60 27 12%
D. Kubatta D 93 6.90 22 18% 3 1
J. Lawrence D 93 6.30 1 18 12%
M. Boras D 93 6.60 27 12% 1
Lukas Sulzbacher M 93 7.50 19 11% 5
V. Müller M 93 6.90 1 1 26 22% 1
M. Taferner M 93 7.20 1 33 21% 3 1
Johannes Naschberger M 93 6.90 23 16% 1
Moritz Wels F 87 6.20 1 18 10% 1
Ademola Ola-Adebomi F 84 6.90 1 15 9% 3
N. Frederiksen F 60 7.60 1 2 9 7% 1
L. Hinterseer F 33 6.90 9 3% 1
Thomas Sabitzer F 6 1
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.00 33 15%
M. Moormann D 90 6.50 1 53 38% 2
D 93 6.90 59 47% 2
A. Pašić D 93 6.70 59 46% 2
S. Pirkl M 93 6.20 32 20% 1
A. Briedl M 93 7.30 44 36% 5
S. Seidl M 93 8.00 1 2 37 30% 3 1
I. Dahlqvist M 93 6.70 1 35 29% 2
N. Maier F 93 6.60 2 29 20% 2
S. Weissman F 81 5.90 1 14 11%
Ronivaldo F 90 6.30 12 6%
C. Cvetko M 12 6.30 6 5%
David Bumberger D 3 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of WSG Wattens vs FC BW Linz?
The final score was WSG Wattens 1–1 FC BW Linz.
What did the model predict before WSG Wattens vs FC BW Linz?
The model assigned 23% probability to a WSG Wattens win, 19% to a draw, and 57% to an FC BW Linz win.