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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 August 01, 2026 17:00 Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
WSG Wattens
#7 · 12 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sturm Graz
#4 · 18 pts
M. Olakigbe (ast. R. Gschosser) 42'
29' (ast. E. Soglo) S. Wlodarczyk
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 34% win probability (draw 32%, WSG Wattens 32%). The final result was WSG Wattens 1–1 Sturm Graz. In 2 previous meetings, WSG Wattens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sturm Graz.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
6
0.55
Actual xG
2.01
5
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
6
21
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
S. Seidl
18'
J. Hodl
19'
E. Soglo
25'
R. Fosso
29'
ast. E. Soglo · S. Wlodarczyk⚽
⚽M. Olakigbe · ast. R. Gschosser
42'
65'
S. Jatta / B. Beganovic ↕
66'
L. Balbo / E. Soglo ↕
72'
G. Mamageishvili / J. Hodl ↕
72'
A. Kayombo / S. Wlodarczyk ↕
↕ N. Baden Frederiksen / A. Ola-Adebomi
75'
↕ H. Balic / T. Goiginger
75'
R. Gschosser
84'
↕ D. Kubatta / D. Gugganig
85'
↕ M. Olakigbe / M. Bambara
85'
↕ L. Hinterseer / D. Falkner
89'
90'
J. Mitchell / P. Koller ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.59%
WSG
32.81%
X ←
34.6%
Sturm
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
WSG
1.43
0.55
-0.88
Sturm
1.80
2.01
+0.21
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 10 27
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 10 24
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz 10 19
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 10 18
5 Ried Ried 10 15
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10 14
7 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 10 12
8 Grazer AK Grazer AK 10 10
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach 10 9
10 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 10 8
11 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 10 7
12 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 10 5
Lineups
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 4-1-3-2
1 S. Hamzić S. Hamzić G 7.60
32 Raphael Gschösser Raphael Gschösser 1 👟 D 6.70
14 D. Kubatta D. Kubatta 85' D 6.90
23 M. Boras M. Boras D 8.20
5 D. Murray D. Murray D 6.30
43 N. Čelić N. Čelić M 6.50
17 M. Olakigbe M. Olakigbe 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.50
11 M. Şatin M. Şatin M 7.00
18 H. Balić H. Balić 75' M 6.20
16 L. Hinterseer L. Hinterseer 89' F 7.00
8 N. Frederiksen N. Frederiksen 75' F 6.70
Bench
9 Ademola Ola-Adebomi Ademola Ola-Adebomi 21' F 6.50
13 A. Eckmayr A. Eckmayr G
22 David Falkner David Falkner 7' M
3 D. Gugganig D. Gugganig 11' D 6.70
27 D. Jaunegg D. Jaunegg D
15 M. Bambara M. Bambara 11' M 6.60
31 Michael Neuner Michael Neuner M
38 Simon Wieser Simon Wieser M
36 T. Goiginger T. Goiginger 21' F 6.90
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-2-3-1
53 D. Khudyakov D. Khudyakov G 6.20
18 Emran Soglo Emran Soglo 1 👟 66' D 7.60
30 P. Koller P. Koller D 6.30
5 A. Vallci A. Vallci D 7.20
28 J. Heil J. Heil D 7.70
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 7.00
80 Ryan Fosso Ryan Fosso M 6.30
43 Jacob Peter Hödl Jacob Peter Hödl 72' M 6.20
19 S. Seidl S. Seidl M 5.60
26 B. Beganović B. Beganović 65' M 5.90
17 S. Włodarczyk S. Włodarczyk 1 ⚽ 72' F 6.70
Bench
22 A. Helac A. Helac G
11 A. Kayombo A. Kayombo 24' F 6.90
23 A. Malic A. Malic D
15 G. Mamageishvili G. Mamageishvili 24' M 6.50
40 J. Halwachs J. Halwachs M
2 J. Mitchell J. Mitchell 6' D
27 Luís Balbo Luís Balbo 30' D 6.20
21 P. Petrović P. Petrović D
20 S. Jatta S. Jatta 31' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Boras
M. Boras
D · WSG
8.20
· 49 pass
J. Heil
J. Heil
D · Sturm
7.70
· 46 pass
Emran Soglo
Emran Soglo
D · Sturm
7.60
1 👟
· 29 pass
S. Hamzić
S. Hamzić
G · WSG
7.60
· 41 pass
M. Olakigbe
M. Olakigbe
M · WSG
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
A. Vallci
A. Vallci
D · Sturm
7.20
· 68 pass
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Hamzić G 96 7.60 — — — 41 22% — — —
Raphael Gschösser D 96 6.70 — 1 — 28 17% — 1 —
D. Kubatta D 85 6.90 — — — 41 30% 3 — —
M. Boras D 96 8.20 — — — 49 38% 4 — —
D. Murray D 96 6.30 — — — 32 24% 2 — —
N. Čelić M 96 6.50 — — — 26 16% — — —
M. Olakigbe M 85 7.50 1 — 1 15 12% — — —
M. Şatin M 96 7.00 — — — 25 18% 4 — —
H. Balić M 75 6.20 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
L. Hinterseer F 89 7.00 — — 1 20 11% 3 — —
N. Frederiksen F 75 6.70 — — 3 6 5% 1 — —
Ademola Ola-Adebomi F 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
David Falkner M 7 — — — — — — — — —
D. Gugganig D 11 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
M. Bambara M 11 6.60 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
T. Goiginger F 21 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Khudyakov G 96 6.20 — — — 27 17% — — —
Emran Soglo D 66 7.60 — 1 — 29 17% 5 1 —
P. Koller D 90 6.30 — — — 37 32% — — —
A. Vallci D 96 7.20 — — — 68 52% 2 — —
J. Heil D 96 7.70 — — — 46 37% 2 — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 96 7.00 — — — 52 38% 2 — —
Ryan Fosso M 96 6.30 — — — 47 39% — 1 —
Jacob Peter Hödl M 72 6.20 — — — 15 12% 1 1 —
S. Seidl M 96 5.60 — — 4 32 20% 2 1 —
B. Beganović M 65 5.90 — — — 14 8% — — —
S. Włodarczyk F 72 6.70 1 — 2 11 5% — — —
A. Kayombo F 24 6.90 — — 2 4 3% — — —
G. Mamageishvili M 24 6.50 — — 3 6 6% — — —
J. Mitchell D 6 — — — — 3 2% — — —
Luís Balbo D 30 6.20 — — — 18 10% — — —
S. Jatta F 31 6.30 — — 1 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was WSG Wattens 1–1 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 32% probability to a WSG Wattens win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Sturm Graz win.