Jack Grimmer
(ast. Aaron Morley)
90'+5
16'
(ast. Jamie Donley)
Kasey Palmer
27'
(ast. Nahki Wells)
Jamie Donley
46'
(ast. Jordan Clark)
Nahki Wells
84'
Devante Cole
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wycombe a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Luton 32%). The final result was Wycombe 1–4 Luton. In 2 previous meetings, Wycombe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Luton.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
14
7
Shots on target
7
2.33
Actual xG
2.95
3
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
6
16
Tackles
25
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
16'
ast. Jamie Donley ·
Kasey Palmer⚽
27'
ast. Nahki Wells ·
Jamie Donley⚽
40'
Kal Naismith
Ewan Henderson
/ Cauley Woodrow
45'
S. Parker
/ Jack Grimmer
45'
45'
Joseph Johnson
/
Kal Naismith
46'
ast. Jordan Clark ·
Nahki Wells⚽
Steve Cook
/ Malik Mothersille
57'
Josh Scowen
/ Caolan Boyd-Munce
57'
58'
Isaiah Jones
/
George Johnston
71'
Devante Cole
/
Nahki Wells
71'
Jake Richards
/
Kasey Palmer
Jayden Wareham
/ Emre Tezgel
76'
76'
Liam Walsh
83'
E. Lawrence
/
Tudor Mendel-Idowu
84'
Devante Cole⚽
⚽Jack Grimmer
· ast. Aaron Morley
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.19%
Wycombe
29.89%
X
32.93%
Luton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
32.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
2.33
+0.73
1.40
2.95
+1.55
Luton dominated by xG (2.95 vs 2.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
C. Hazard
G
C. Hazard
G
26
C. Taylor
D
C. Taylor
D
27
S. Cook
57'
D
S. Cook
57'
D
17
D. Casey
D
D. Casey
D
4
J. Scowen
57'
M
J. Scowen
57'
M
3
D. Harvie
M
D. Harvie
M
20
E. Henderson
45'
M
E. Henderson
45'
M
5
A. Morley
1 👟
M
A. Morley
1 👟
M
22
Sam Parker
45'
M
Sam Parker
45'
M
15
J. Wareham
76'
F
J. Wareham
76'
F
44
F. Onyedinma
F
F. Onyedinma
F
Bench
8
C. Boyd-Munce
33'
M
C. Boyd-Munce
33'
M
12
C. Woodrow
45'
F
C. Woodrow
45'
F
19
E. Tezgel
14'
F
E. Tezgel
14'
F
2
J. Grimmer
1 ⚽
45'
D
J. Grimmer
1 ⚽
45'
D
33
J. Wildsmith
G
J. Wildsmith
G
10
L. Leahy
M
L. Leahy
M
29
M. Mothersille
33'
F
M. Mothersille
33'
F
1
J. Shea
G
J. Shea
G
3
K. Naismith
45'
D
K. Naismith
45'
D
6
G. Johnston
58'
D
G. Johnston
58'
D
5
M. Andersen
D
M. Andersen
D
2
H. Odoffin
D
H. Odoffin
D
8
L. Walsh
M
L. Walsh
M
45
K. Palmer
1 ⚽
71'
M
K. Palmer
1 ⚽
71'
M
10
J. Donley
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
J. Donley
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
18
J. Clark
1 👟
M
J. Clark
1 👟
M
17
T. Mendel-Idowu
83'
M
T. Mendel-Idowu
83'
M
21
N. Wells
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
F
N. Wells
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
44
D. Cole
1 ⚽
19'
F
D. Cole
1 ⚽
19'
F
11
Emilio Lawrence
7'
F
Emilio Lawrence
7'
F
22
H. Fox
M
H. Fox
M
25
I. Jones
32'
F
I. Jones
32'
F
12
J. Johnson
45'
D
J. Johnson
45'
D
24
Joshua Keeley
G
Joshua Keeley
G
7
J. Richards
19'
M
J. Richards
19'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Donley
M · Luton
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 36 pass
N. Wells
F · Luton
8.41
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 9 pass
A. Morley
M · Wycombe
7.70
1 👟
· 52 pass
K. Palmer
M · Luton
7.56
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
D. Cole
F · Luton
7.52
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
J. Shea
G · Luton
7.52
· 35 pass
Wycombe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hazard | G | 90 | 5.56 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Cook | D | 57 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Casey | D | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Scowen | M | 57 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Harvie | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Henderson | M | 45 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Morley | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Parker | M | 45 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Wareham | F | 76 | 6.89 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Onyedinma | F | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Boyd-Munce | M | 33 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Woodrow | F | 45 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Tezgel | F | 14 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Grimmer | D | 45 | 6.71 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Mothersille | F | 33 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shea | G | 90 | 7.52 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Naismith | D | 45 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Johnston | D | 58 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Andersen | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Walsh | M | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 5 | 1 | — |
| K. Palmer | M | 71 | 7.56 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Donley | M | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clark | M | 90 | 7.26 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Mendel-Idowu | M | 83 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 71 | 8.41 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cole | F | 19 | 7.52 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Emilio Lawrence | F | 7 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Jones | F | 32 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Johnson | D | 45 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 19 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wycombe vs Luton?
The final score was Wycombe 1–4 Luton.
What did the model predict before Wycombe vs Luton?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Wycombe win, 29% to a draw, and 32% to an Luton win.