Xelajú - Aurora
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
11.1°C
💨 6 km/h
· Quetzaltenango
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.44%
Win
Xelajú
32.76%
Draw
31.79%
Win
Aurora
1.51
0.3
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.07%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
33%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Xelajú a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Aurora. Expected goals are 1.5 for Xelajú and 0.3 for Aurora (total 1.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.07% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Xelajú have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Aurora.
Season Stats
7W
3D
5L
1W
6D
8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.3
1.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
47%
53%
O 2.5
13%
60%
BTTS
27%
27%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
7W
2D
1L
· at home
0W
4D
6L
· away
1.8
gls/g
0.5
0.6
Conceded
1.8
70%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Xelajú
Aurora →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 24.7% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 18.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Xelajú
Attack
25
Defence
38
Form
38
Aurora
Attack
6
Defence
69
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Xelajú vs Aurora?
The model gives Xelajú a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Aurora win.
How many goals are expected in Xelajú vs Aurora?
Expected goals: Xelajú 1.5, Aurora 0.3 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Xelajú vs Aurora?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.07%.